Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 2, 2019

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $184.0000 (0.97%) ($182.4500 - $185.5900) on Tue. Jul. 2, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $184.0000(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IVW(68%)    IWF(67%)    DIA(66%)    IVE(65%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    VXX(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-13%)    IFRA(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $182.78(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.62(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $179.75(2.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $66.237b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.79%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2019	166.88	179.75	182.62	182.78	183.22	183.56	184(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	21	80	1.23	61%	0.19	105.6	1.12%	0	1	70	2.3
2	Jul_1_2019	166.57	179.04	182.15	182.77	183.1	183.17	182.23(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	9	80	2.15	61%	0.17	89.8	1.13%	0	0.6	66	2.1
3	Jun_28_2019	166.29	178.2	181.73	183.1	183.14	182.87	183.11(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10	-5	82	1.24	61%	0.19	75.7	1.12%	0	0.8	66	1.3
4	Jun_27_2019	165.97	177.15	181.14	182.74	183.21	183.02	182.05(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	0	-14	74	1.39	61%	0.19	68.2	1.12%	0	0.8	67	1.1
5	Jun_26_2019	165.65	176.36	180.75	182.93	183.01	183.42	182.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	13	102	0.93	61%	0.19	64.9	1.12%	0	0.9	75	0.9

6	Jun_25_2019	165.34	175.46	180.23	182.39	182.78	183.39	183.95(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	91	30	75	139	1.26	61%	0.3	59.9	1.12%	0	1.2	84	0.7
7	Jun_24_2019	164.85	174.58	179.56	181.43	181.62	182.61	183.91(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	40	58	142	1.1	61%	0.29	57.4	1.12%	0	1.4	85	1.3
8	Jun_21_2019	164.37	173.64	178.93	180.17	180.67	182.16	181.31(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	126	70	108	181	1.9	59%	0.28	51.8	1.13%	0	1.2	87	1.2
9	Jun_20_2019	163.91	172.84	178.47	179.28	179.48	180.63	182.96(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	134	50	107	213	1.36	59%	0.3	45.2	1.13%	0	1.5	93	1.8
10	Jun_19_2019	163.42	172.04	177.56	178.28	178.24	179.19	179.82(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	40	51	204	1.27	56%	0.31	42.3	1.12%	0	1.3	75	2.1

11	Jun_18_2019	162.91	171.43	176.62	177.75	177.95	178.34	179.14(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	100	20	61	217	1.54	56%	0.3	42.7	1.14%	0	1.3	76	1.6
12	Jun_17_2019	162.43	170.81	175.67	177.42	177.51	177.3	177.62(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	36	-10	-17	195	1.04	56%	0.31	45.3	1.13%	0	1.2	68	1.6
13	Jun_14_2019	161.93	170.28	174.41	177.42	177.66	177.57	176.88(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-0	-8	200	1.3	56%	0.33	50.8	1.15%	0	1.2	69	1.5
14	Jun_13_2019	161.4	169.93	172.93	177.5	177.71	177.72	177.95(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	0	20	206	1.29	56%	0.32	58.3	1.14%	0	1.5	70	-3.7
15	Jun_12_2019	160.88	169.48	171.7	176.69	177.22	177.75	177.17(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	92	30	54	205	1.24	56%	0.33	61.3	1.14%	0	1.6	64	1.1

16	Jun_11_2019	160.35	168.94	170.39	175.26	175.82	177.69	177.49(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	137	80	117	195	1.19	56%	0.11	57.1	1.15%	0	1.9	63	1
17	Jun_10_2019	160.18	168.29	169.24	173.61	173.65	176.69	178.02(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	211	120	213	206	0.99	56%	0.33	46.5	1.15%	0	2.4	65	1
18	Jun_7_2019	159.66	167.57	167.88	170.83	171.13	173.96	176.86(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	240	120	263	172	1.08	56%	0.33	19.4	1.15%	0	2.6	63	1.1
19	Jun_6_2019	159.13	166.95	166.66	167.67	167.88	170.62	173.93(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	152	120	179	69	1.58	53%	0.32	-14.7	1.14%	0	2.5	53	1.1
20	Jun_5_2019	158.62	166.55	165.93	166	165.63	168.3	169.99(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	145	110	182	33	1.08	48%	0.29	-44.3	1.12%	0	1.5	48	0.7

21	Jun_4_2019	158.16	166.39	165.67	164.82	164.58	165.15	169.24(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	90	20	123	-9	1.59	48%	0.29	-71.2	1.12%	0	1.3	53	0.4
22	Jun_3_2019	157.7	166.4	165.42	164.29	163.86	162.96	164.15(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-50	-78	-97	1.83	39%	0.25	-80.9	1.06%	0	-1	50	-0.8
23	May_31_2019	157.31	166.88	165.77	164.49	164.77	164.01	161.03(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-30	-67	-82	1.4	32%	0.24	-61.7	1.04%	0	-2.1	46	-0.4
24	May_30_2019	156.94	167.36	166.74	165.39	165.47	164.76	165.61(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-30	-47	-42	1.13	38%	0.25	-60	0.99%	0	-0.7	52	-0.3
25	May_29_2019	156.55	167.59	167.16	165.79	165.57	165.53	164.05(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-10	-69	-32	1.53	38%		-55.3	0.99%	0	-1.4	45	-0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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