Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $97.5000 (-0.05%) ($96.6800 - $97.7700) on Fri. Jun. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $97.5000(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IWD(62%)    IVE(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.97(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.66(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.24(2.37%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $35.099b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(42%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -0.9%(46%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.66%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2017	87.63	95.24	96.66	96.97	96.95	97.21	97.5(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	20	27	99	1.92	73%	0.18	70.3	0.86%	0	1.3	85	INF
2	Jun_15_2017	87.47	94.94	96.51	96.74	96.58	97.06	97.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	36	111	1.1	73%	0.17	60.1	0.86%	0	1.4	86	INF
3	Jun_14_2017	87.32	94.67	96.22	96.44	96.36	96.7	97.16(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	20	46	116	1.09	73%	0.2	51.8	0.86%	0	1.4	86	INF
4	Jun_13_2017	87.15	94.41	95.93	96.31	96.13	96.1	96.64(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10	7	111	1.01	73%	0.2	47.9	0.87%	0	1.2	88	INF
5	Jun_12_2017	86.98	94.2	95.67	96.23	96.12	96.02	96.01(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-14	109	1.3	73%	0.2	48.1	0.87%	0	1	73	INF

6	Jun_9_2017	86.81	94.04	95.46	96.29	96.24	96.16	96.35(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	-10	-1	116	1.21	77%	0.21	51.4	0.96%	0	1.4	78	INF
7	Jun_8_2017	86.63	93.86	95.19	96.24	96.2	96.22	96.05(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	0	6	134	0.93	77%	0.2	56.1	0.96%	0	1.4	81	INF
8	Jun_7_2017	86.46	93.75	94.89	95.95	96.05	96.31	96.51(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	20	33	142	1.21	77%	0.2	62.8	0.96%	0	1.8	76	INF
9	Jun_6_2017	86.29	93.56	94.45	95.47	95.56	96.18	96.23(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	50	48	134	1.42	77%	0.12	78	0.96%	0	1.9	76	INF
10	Jun_5_2017	86.19	93.36	94.11	95.02	95.01	95.78	96.3(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	89	60	74	132	0.82	77%	0.21	97	0.96%	0	2.3	69	INF

11	Jun_2_2017	86.01	93.18	93.71	94.5	94.4	94.94	96.13(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	74	40	63	107	2.33	73%	0.21	127.2	0.96%	0	2.8	66	INF
12	Jun_1_2017	85.83	92.95	93.23	94	93.92	94.23	94.56(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	20	34	69	1.37	73%	0.2	169.2	0.96%	0	1.9	60	INF
13	May_31_2017	85.66	92.79	92.97	93.69	93.68	93.85	94.14(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	34	46	1.26	75%	0.2	184.3	0.97%	0	1.6	48	INF
14	May_30_2017	85.49	92.48	92.75	93.26	93.31	93.6	93.99(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	17	17	1.02	71%	0.26	103.4	0.97%	0	1.1	55	INF
15	May_26_2017	85.27	92.15	92.59	93.05	93.07	93.51	93.7(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	37	17	0.85	73%	0.19	71.4	0.99%	0	0.8	56	INF

16	May_25_2017	85.11	91.84	92.5	92.79	92.82	93.03	93.59(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	41	9	1.22	73%	0.18	67.7	0.99%	0	0.8	53	INF
17	May_24_2017	84.96	91.55	92.41	92.34	92.44	92.64	93.03(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	20	13	-12	1.43	73%	0.19	62.6	1%	0	0.7	57	INF
18	May_23_2017	84.8	91.29	92.49	92.16	92.17	92.62	91.99(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	30	24	2	1.76	72%	0.09	62.5	0.99%	0	0.3	56	INF
19	May_22_2017	84.72	91.08	92.59	92.14	92	92.25	92.95(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	10	30	36	1.2	75%	0.19	59.7	0.98%	0	0.7	76	INF
20	May_19_2017	84.56	90.75	92.56	92.07	91.93	91.73	92.37(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-20	-11	51	3.27	75%	0.19	56.5	0.98%	0	0.6	76	INF

21	May_18_2017	84.4	90.41	92.61	92.18	92.18	91.75	91.38(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-30	-37	81	1.94	74%	0.18	56.3	0.98%	0	0.3	74	INF
22	May_17_2017	84.25	90.15	92.68	92.49	92.5	92.14	92.1(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-30	-43	120	2.64	76%	0.17	59.1	0.98%	0	0.6	76	INF
23	May_16_2017	84.11	89.84	92.62	92.88	92.85	92.61	91.9(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-20	-28	161	1.65	76%	0.1	63.9	1.01%	0	0.7	72	INF
24	May_15_2017	84.03	89.56	92.23	92.88	93.23	92.86	92.61(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	37	-20	-11	182	1.81	76%	0.18	67.9	1.01%	0	1	78	INF
25	May_12_2017	83.88	89.2	91.74	93.1	93.2	93.1	92.93(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-0	-22	194	1.3	76%		70.8	0.99%	0	1.2	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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