Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $91.3000 (4.37%) ($89.9800 - $91.9100) on Wed. May. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $91.3000(4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.1(3.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.37(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.26(5.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $32.867b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(27%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -0.81%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 0.86%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2017	82.76	86.26	87.37	88.1	88.22	89.1	91.3(4.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	128	70	122	145	5.12	79%	0.16	53.4	0.99%	0	3.1	78	0
2	May_2_2017	82.63	85.92	86.77	87.41	87.43	87.47	87.48(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	0	4	91	2.66	77%	0.12	57.1	0.84%	0	1.4	69	0
3	May_1_2017	82.53	85.72	86.64	87.39	87.52	87.35	87.18(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10	10	100	1.56	72%	0.1	46.4	0.9%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Apr_28_2017	82.45	85.6	86.47	87.15	87.35	87.39	87.14(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	3	96	1.72	72%	0.1	38.3	0.91%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Apr_27_2017	82.37	85.5	86.25	86.76	87.05	87.7	87.42(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	60	45	101	1.6	72%	0.11	25.4	0.92%	0	1.8	71	0

6	Apr_26_2017	82.28	85.4	86	86.48	86.52	87.32	87.81(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	81	70	75	100	2.71	72%	0.13	15.7	0.93%	0	2.5	65	0
7	Apr_25_2017	82.17	85.27	85.69	86.04	86.07	86.4	87.38(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	54	30	48	71	1.76	73%	0.13	-1.1	0.93%	0	2.6	64	0
8	Apr_24_2017	82.06	85.18	85.41	85.82	85.86	86.4	85.99(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10	5	54	1.31	73%	0.12	-15.6	0.93%	0	1.2	67	0
9	Apr_21_2017	81.96	85.17	85.24	85.7	85.8	85.73	85.18(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-0	-10	40	1.5	72%	0.12	-20.8	0.93%	0	0	53	0
10	Apr_20_2017	81.86	85.23	85.16	85.65	85.72	85.98	86.03(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	19	43	1.51	75%	0.11	-14.3	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0

11	Apr_19_2017	81.77	85.24	85.07	85.43	85.48	85.87	85.62(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	30	38	40	1.51	75%	0.09	-15.7	0.93%	0	0.5	50	0
12	Apr_18_2017	81.7	85.28	85.01	85.27	85.12	85.45	86.29(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	20	36	30	2.11	75%	0.1	-10.6	0.93%	0	1.3	52	0
13	Apr_17_2017	81.62	85.27	84.73	84.96	84.87	85.08	85.36(0.49%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	20	10	27	-3	0.76	76%	0.09	-14.6	0.92%	0	0.1	45	0
14	Apr_13_2017	81.55	85.3	84.66	84.72	84.69	84.8	84.94(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	16	-26	1.04	76%	0.1	-22.1	0.94%	0	-0.4	40	0
15	Apr_12_2017	81.47	85.33	84.69	84.6	84.5	84.66	84.92(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	10	1	-46	0.93	76%	0.09	-11.6	0.94%	0	-0.5	37	0

16	Apr_11_2017	81.4	85.33	84.74	84.67	84.53	84.59	84.85(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	0	6	-49	0.99	77%	0.09	3.2	0.94%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Apr_10_2017	81.33	85.36	84.81	84.71	84.71	84.34	84.72(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-30	-1	-55	1.07	77%	0.1	16	0.96%	0	-0.8	35	0
18	Apr_7_2017	81.25	85.4	84.91	84.46	84.73	84.47	84.15(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10	-35	-84	1.1	77%	0.07	23.7	0.97%	0	-1.6	30	0
19	Apr_6_2017	81.19	85.48	85.1	84.59	84.74	85.08	84.37(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	30	-3	-66	1.81	77%	0.1	38	0.98%	0	-1.2	38	0
20	Apr_5_2017	81.11	85.43	85.31	84.79	84.74	84.99	85.24(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	10	30	-41	2.67	80%	0.1	39.3	0.97%	0	-0.2	48	0

21	Apr_4_2017	81.03	85.33	85.42	84.84	84.83	84.39	85.06(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-40	-25	-55	2.69	82%	0.09	31.9	0.97%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Apr_3_2017	80.96	85.23	85.56	84.95	85.1	84.67	83.5(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-30	-53	-51	2.67	80%	0.07	31.8	0.97%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Mar_31_2017	80.9	85.21	85.88	85.42	85.44	85.28	84.79(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10	-25	-14	2.08	86%	0.09	40.4	0.95%	0	-0.3	46	0
24	Mar_30_2017	80.83	85.13	86.01	85.66	85.61	85.54	85.34(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-16	0	1.37	86%	0.06	41.5	0.96%	0	0.2	46	0
25	Mar_29_2017	80.78	85.02	86.05	85.9	85.83	85.61	85.52(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-16	28	1.3	86%		42.2	0.97%	0	0.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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