Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $85.9600 (0.44%) ($85.4000 - $86.6600) on Fri. Mar. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $85.9600(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.4(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.48(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.1(2.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $30.944b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.19%(38%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2017	80.49	84.1	84.48	85.4	85.34	85.67	85.96(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	20	24	95	2.24	83%	0	54.5	1%	0	1.6	68	0
2	Mar_16_2017	80.49	83.96	84.18	85.37	85.22	85.27	85.58(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-0	27	90	0.92	77%	0	60.8	1.01%	0	1.5	59	0
3	Mar_15_2017	80.49	83.85	83.9	84.83	85.16	85.01	85.33(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-0	18	57	1.41	77%	-0.01	55.6	1.05%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Mar_14_2017	80.5	83.74	83.76	84.35	84.63	85.17	84.78(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	50	17	39	1.13	77%	-0.02	44.1	1.05%	0	1.1	52	0
5	Mar_13_2017	80.52	83.63	83.56	83.95	84.15	85.3	85.37(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	78	100	90	42	1.52	77%	-0.01	31.5	1.05%	0	1.9	52	0

6	Mar_10_2017	80.53	83.49	83.3	83.41	83.44	84.09	85.78(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	62	60	81	6	3.6	72%	-0.01	14.6	1.07%	0	2.7	51	0
7	Mar_9_2017	80.54	83.32	83.06	82.85	82.83	82.99	82.88(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	14	-43	0.96	67%	-0.05	0	0.99%	0	-0.6	49	0
8	Mar_8_2017	80.58	83.31	83.17	82.86	82.72	82.78	82.93(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	0	-7	-49	1.13	69%	-0.06	16.3	0.99%	0	-0.5	47	0
9	Mar_7_2017	80.63	83.33	83.29	83.08	82.97	82.67	82.77(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-30	-7	-35	1.27	69%	-0.06	38.8	1%	0	-0.8	48	0
10	Mar_6_2017	80.68	83.34	83.47	83.1	83.21	82.66	82.71(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-40	-34	-33	1.18	69%	-0.06	52.9	1.01%	0	-0.9	53	0

11	Mar_3_2017	80.73	83.36	83.7	83.15	83.28	83.28	82.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	0	-31	-14	1.37	71%	-0.07	69	1.02%	0	-0.6	55	0
12	Mar_2_2017	80.79	83.32	83.74	83.31	83.41	83.75	82.92(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	30	20	17	3.46	71%	-0.06	72.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	54	0
13	Mar_1_2017	80.84	83.19	83.82	83.53	83.32	83.28	84.05(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10	3	26	1.62	69%	-0.04	49.2	1.01%	0	0.8	63	0
14	Feb_28_2017	80.87	83.06	83.82	83.56	83.51	83.08	82.85(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-21	-40	-32	12	1.56	64%	-0.06	49.3	1.04%	0	-0.2	47	0
15	Feb_27_2017	80.92	82.97	83.74	83.92	83.87	83.36	82.97(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-34	-40	-51	18	1.26	64%	-0.06	58.2	1.04%	0	0	53	0

16	Feb_24_2017	80.97	82.88	83.72	84.32	84.33	83.95	83.75(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-30	-25	42	1.23	65%	-0.06	70.1	1.04%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Feb_23_2017	81.02	82.79	83.62	84.23	84.57	84.38	84.02(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-0	-6	51	1.5	65%	-0.05	80.4	1.05%	0	1	66	0
18	Feb_22_2017	81.06	82.69	83.47	84.13	84.29	84.72	84.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	11	71	1.6	65%	-0.05	90.1	1.05%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Feb_21_2017	81.1	82.51	83.38	83.94	84.02	84.75	84.64(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	60	67	102	2.41	65%	-0.14	90.7	1.05%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Feb_17_2017	81.21	82.27	83.19	83.53	83.48	83.86	85(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	30	52	94	6.47	67%	-0.02	77.2	1.04%	0	2	71	0

21	Feb_16_2017	81.23	82	82.97	83.05	83.03	83.29	83.27(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	17	77	1.53	65%	-0.06	70.1	1.03%	0	0.9	65	0
22	Feb_15_2017	81.28	81.79	82.85	82.93	82.85	83.1	83.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	26	77	2.04	65%	-0.07	67.2	1.04%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Feb_14_2017	81.34	81.57	82.51	82.72	82.85	82.77	83.25(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	7	49	1.67	65%	-0.06	71.5	1.03%	0	1.2	56	0
24	Feb_13_2017	81.39	81.4	82.31	82.75	82.65	82.61	82.59(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-0	51	1.05	65%	-0.07	79.8	1.04%	0	0.9	61	0
25	Feb_10_2017	81.45	81.22	82.14	82.79	82.76	82.53	82.59(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-13	57	1.68	59%		76	1.04%	0	0.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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