Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $84.6400 (-0.42%) ($84.4800 - $85.7100) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $84.6400(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.94(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.38(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.51(2.58%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $30.469b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(89%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(11%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.16%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2017	81.1	82.51	83.38	83.94	84.02	84.75	84.64(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	60	67	102	2.41	65%	-0.14	90.7	1.05%	0	1.7	67	0
2	Feb_17_2017	81.21	82.27	83.19	83.53	83.48	83.86	85(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	30	52	94	6.47	67%	-0.02	77.2	1.04%	0	2	71	0
3	Feb_16_2017	81.23	82	82.97	83.05	83.03	83.29	83.27(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	17	77	1.53	65%	-0.06	70.1	1.03%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Feb_15_2017	81.28	81.79	82.85	82.93	82.85	83.1	83.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	26	77	2.04	65%	-0.07	67.2	1.04%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Feb_14_2017	81.34	81.57	82.51	82.72	82.85	82.77	83.25(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	7	49	1.67	65%	-0.06	71.5	1.03%	0	1.2	56	0

6	Feb_13_2017	81.39	81.4	82.31	82.75	82.65	82.61	82.59(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-0	51	1.05	65%	-0.07	79.8	1.04%	0	0.9	61	0
7	Feb_10_2017	81.45	81.22	82.14	82.79	82.76	82.53	82.59(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-13	57	1.68	59%	-0.07	76	1.04%	0	0.9	66	0
8	Feb_9_2017	81.51	81.05	81.99	82.88	82.86	82.69	82.66(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-11	67	1.54	59%	-0.07	79.6	1.1%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Feb_8_2017	81.57	80.84	81.91	82.75	82.88	82.99	82.49(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	10	13	92	2.26	59%	-0.06	73.9	1.1%	0	1.1	69	0
10	Feb_7_2017	81.62	80.59	81.85	82.23	82.74	83.03	83.4(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	40	42	104	2.4	61%	-0.05	60.6	1.09%	0	1.7	70	0

11	Feb_6_2017	81.66	80.32	81.58	81.79	82.04	82.76	82.82(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	70	36	91	2.11	61%	-0.06	61.3	1.11%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Feb_3_2017	81.71	80.13	81.27	81.4	81.55	82.45	83.02(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	80	72	97	3.4	57%	-0.06	64.3	1.12%	0	2	69	0
13	Feb_2_2017	81.76	79.9	80.92	80.99	81.09	81.32	82(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	20	36	71	5.02	48%	-0.07	67.9	1.15%	0	1.6	64	0
14	Feb_1_2017	81.82	79.73	80.62	80.98	80.84	80.64	79.92(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-20	-28	43	4.87	43%	-0.1	74.4	1.3%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Jan_31_2017	81.9	79.61	80.57	81.4	81.32	80.86	81.21(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-40	-8	77	1.89	45%	-0.1	75.6	1.29%	0	1.2	73	0

16	Jan_30_2017	81.98	79.38	80.44	81.32	81.46	81.03	80.87(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-21	79	1.67	45%	-0.09	67.5	1.29%	0	1.1	64	0
17	Jan_27_2017	82.05	79.2	80.24	81.07	81.33	81.77	80.96(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	50	10	84	1.19	45%	-0.09	55.2	1.29%	0	1.2	58	0
18	Jan_26_2017	82.12	79.01	80.06	80.81	80.9	81.9	81.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	90	69	103	2.75	45%	-0.09	49.2	1.29%	0	2.1	66	0
19	Jan_25_2017	82.19	78.81	79.69	80.19	80.15	80.89	82.01(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	68	60	64	80	2	45%	-0.09	47.9	1.29%	0	2.5	65	0
20	Jan_24_2017	82.26	78.62	79.22	79.65	79.51	79.9	80.79(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	30	27	50	1.28	43%	-0.02	54.8	1.27%	0	2	67	0

21	Jan_23_2017	82.28	78.5	78.95	79.46	79.37	79.4	79.65(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	13	48	1.19	40%	-0.12	62	1.26%	0	1.2	67	0
22	Jan_20_2017	82.38	78.42	78.89	79.29	79.41	79.12	79.63(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-20	-5	47	1.85	39%	-0.12	60.9	1.26%	0	1.3	62	0
23	Jan_19_2017	82.48	78.32	78.78	79.19	79.41	79.34	78.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-12	49	1.72	39%	-0.13	55.5	1.26%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Jan_18_2017	82.59	78.19	78.76	79.08	79.34	79.71	79.27(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	40	36	68	1.62	39%	-0.13	43.1	1.26%	0	1.3	54	0
25	Jan_17_2017	82.7	78.04	78.57	78.69	78.77	79.34	79.85(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	50	32	49	2.25	39%		12.4	1.26%	0	2.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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