Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $83.2700 (-0.32%) ($82.5200 - $83.7000) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $83.2700(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.05(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.97(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82(1.55%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $29.976b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.78%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.55%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	81.23	82	82.97	83.05	83.03	83.29	83.27(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	17	77	1.53	65%	-0.06	70.1	1.03%	0	0.9	65	0
2	Feb_15_2017	81.28	81.79	82.85	82.93	82.85	83.1	83.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	26	77	2.04	65%	-0.07	67.2	1.04%	0	1.2	58	0
3	Feb_14_2017	81.34	81.57	82.51	82.72	82.85	82.77	83.25(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	7	49	1.67	65%	-0.06	71.5	1.03%	0	1.2	56	0
4	Feb_13_2017	81.39	81.4	82.31	82.75	82.65	82.61	82.59(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-0	51	1.05	65%	-0.07	79.8	1.04%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Feb_10_2017	81.45	81.22	82.14	82.79	82.76	82.53	82.59(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-13	57	1.68	59%	-0.07	76	1.04%	0	0.9	66	0

6	Feb_9_2017	81.51	81.05	81.99	82.88	82.86	82.69	82.66(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-11	67	1.54	59%	-0.07	79.6	1.1%	0	1.1	66	0
7	Feb_8_2017	81.57	80.84	81.91	82.75	82.88	82.99	82.49(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	10	13	92	2.26	59%	-0.06	73.9	1.1%	0	1.1	69	0
8	Feb_7_2017	81.62	80.59	81.85	82.23	82.74	83.03	83.4(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	40	42	104	2.4	61%	-0.05	60.6	1.09%	0	1.7	70	0
9	Feb_6_2017	81.66	80.32	81.58	81.79	82.04	82.76	82.82(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	70	36	91	2.11	61%	-0.06	61.3	1.11%	0	1.6	64	0
10	Feb_3_2017	81.71	80.13	81.27	81.4	81.55	82.45	83.02(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	80	72	97	3.4	57%	-0.06	64.3	1.12%	0	2	69	0

11	Feb_2_2017	81.76	79.9	80.92	80.99	81.09	81.32	82(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	20	36	71	5.02	48%	-0.07	67.9	1.15%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Feb_1_2017	81.82	79.73	80.62	80.98	80.84	80.64	79.92(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-20	-28	43	4.87	43%	-0.1	74.4	1.3%	0	0.2	61	0
13	Jan_31_2017	81.9	79.61	80.57	81.4	81.32	80.86	81.21(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-40	-8	77	1.89	45%	-0.1	75.6	1.29%	0	1.2	73	0
14	Jan_30_2017	81.98	79.38	80.44	81.32	81.46	81.03	80.87(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-21	79	1.67	45%	-0.09	67.5	1.29%	0	1.1	64	0
15	Jan_27_2017	82.05	79.2	80.24	81.07	81.33	81.77	80.96(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	50	10	84	1.19	45%	-0.09	55.2	1.29%	0	1.2	58	0

16	Jan_26_2017	82.12	79.01	80.06	80.81	80.9	81.9	81.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	90	69	103	2.75	45%	-0.09	49.2	1.29%	0	2.1	66	0
17	Jan_25_2017	82.19	78.81	79.69	80.19	80.15	80.89	82.01(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	68	60	64	80	2	45%	-0.09	47.9	1.29%	0	2.5	65	0
18	Jan_24_2017	82.26	78.62	79.22	79.65	79.51	79.9	80.79(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	30	27	50	1.28	43%	-0.02	54.8	1.27%	0	2	67	0
19	Jan_23_2017	82.28	78.5	78.95	79.46	79.37	79.4	79.65(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	13	48	1.19	40%	-0.12	62	1.26%	0	1.2	67	0
20	Jan_20_2017	82.38	78.42	78.89	79.29	79.41	79.12	79.63(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-20	-5	47	1.85	39%	-0.12	60.9	1.26%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Jan_19_2017	82.48	78.32	78.78	79.19	79.41	79.34	78.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-12	49	1.72	39%	-0.13	55.5	1.26%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Jan_18_2017	82.59	78.19	78.76	79.08	79.34	79.71	79.27(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	40	36	68	1.62	39%	-0.13	43.1	1.26%	0	1.3	54	0
23	Jan_17_2017	82.7	78.04	78.57	78.69	78.77	79.34	79.85(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	50	32	49	2.25	39%	-0.24	12.4	1.26%	0	2.2	56	0
24	Jan_13_2017	82.9	77.92	78.24	78.37	78.3	78.97	78.79(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	33	27	1.93	35%	-0.14	-6.8	1.24%	0	1	49	0
25	Jan_12_2017	83.02	77.87	78.09	78.44	78.19	78.19	79.14(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10	25	22	3.34	37%		-7	1.24%	0	1.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.