Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $79.2700 (-0.73%) ($79.2200 - $80.4300) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $79.2700(-0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.08(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.76(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.19(1.38%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $28.536b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.63%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.75%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2017	82.59	78.19	78.76	79.08	79.34	79.71	79.27(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	40	36	68	1.62	39%	-0.13	43.1	1.26%	0	1.3	54	INF
2	Jan_17_2017	82.7	78.04	78.57	78.69	78.77	79.34	79.85(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	50	32	49	2.25	39%	-0.24	12.4	1.26%	0	2.2	56	INF
3	Jan_13_2017	82.9	77.92	78.24	78.37	78.3	78.97	78.79(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	33	27	1.93	35%	-0.14	-6.8	1.24%	0	1	49	INF
4	Jan_12_2017	83.02	77.87	78.09	78.44	78.19	78.19	79.14(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10	25	22	3.34	37%	-0.14	-7	1.24%	0	1.4	55	INF
5	Jan_11_2017	83.14	77.84	77.9	78.34	78.17	77.63	78.33(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-50	-29	-6	2.79	37%	-0.17	-4.6	1.24%	0	0.6	54	INF

6	Jan_10_2017	83.28	77.83	77.88	78.34	78.39	78.19	77.35(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-15	-20	-23	10	2.47	35%	-0.17	3.6	1.23%	0	-0.6	58	INF
7	Jan_9_2017	83.42	77.94	77.98	78.41	78.47	78.72	78.24(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	20	20	41	1.4	35%	-0.17	23.9	1.22%	0	0.4	64	INF
8	Jan_6_2017	83.56	77.98	78.02	78.06	78.18	78.58	79.16(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	40	35	42	1.63	35%	-0.2	27	1.22%	0	1.2	57	INF
9	Jan_5_2017	83.73	77.93	77.9	77.68	77.68	78.22	78.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	29	50	29	28	1.59	35%	-0.17	19.5	1.21%	0	0.7	52	INF
10	Jan_4_2017	83.87	77.87	77.8	77.4	77.47	77.78	78.7(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	30	32	13	1.55	35%	-0.18	6.6	1.22%	0	0.9	48	INF

11	Jan_3_2017	84.02	77.8	77.56	77.31	77.35	77.13	77.33(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-20	-11	-19	2.08	31%	-0.3	-2.5	1.19%	0	-0.5	45	INF
12	Dec_30_2016	84.27	77.74	77.46	77.52	77.57	77.16	76.49(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-40	-38	-43	1.24	35%	-0.19	-9.2	1.18%	0	-1.2	33	INF
13	Dec_29_2016	84.43	77.72	77.58	77.98	77.99	77.56	77.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-40	-27	-32	0.85	33%	-0.19	-4.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	39	INF
14	Dec_28_2016	84.59	77.75	77.65	78.15	78.25	77.98	77.22(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-20	-21	-26	1.22	33%	-0.2	0	1.23%	0	-0.5	45	INF
15	Dec_27_2016	84.76	77.81	77.65	78.23	78.29	78.43	78.23(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	10	11	-4	1.12	36%	-0.28	5.1	1.22%	0	0.4	54	INF

16	Dec_23_2016	85	77.82	77.79	77.84	78	78.53	78.38(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	50	38	-1	1.29	36%	-0.18	-0.7	1.23%	0	0.5	57	INF
17	Dec_22_2016	85.15	77.83	77.89	77.39	77.45	78.15	78.78(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	70	44	7	2.3	36%	-0.19	-10.1	1.23%	0	0.9	64	INF
18	Dec_21_2016	85.31	77.77	77.92	77.15	76.99	77.47	78.12(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	40	31	12	1.97	36%	-0.18	-13.3	1.22%	0	0.3	62	INF
19	Dec_20_2016	85.46	77.75	77.92	77.12	76.97	76.74	77.63(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-30	-4	1	2.23	36%	-0.19	-14.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	50	INF
20	Dec_19_2016	85.62	77.76	77.93	77.34	77.32	76.52	76.28(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-70	-51	-16	2.44	33%	-0.2	-8.1	1.21%	0	-1.4	41	INF

21	Dec_16_2016	85.79	77.83	78.04	77.73	77.89	77.21	76.13(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-54	-50	-67	-16	4.16	33%	-0.19	-1.6	1.2%	0	-1.7	41	INF
22	Dec_15_2016	85.95	77.93	78.06	78.44	78.44	78.12	77.58(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-30	-38	6	3.18	34%	-0.17	19.5	1.19%	0	-0.4	45	INF
23	Dec_14_2016	86.1	77.91	77.92	78.78	78.89	78.58	77.96(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-20	-12	18	3.11	34%	-0.17	13.2	1.19%	0	0.1	51	INF
24	Dec_13_2016	86.25	77.9	77.89	78.86	78.98	78.77	78.73(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10	-10	22	2.2	34%	-0.17	3.3	1.18%	0	0.9	55	INF
25	Dec_12_2016	86.4	77.84	77.86	78.6	78.86	79.2	78.23(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	40	15	28	2.81	37%		-18.6	1.18%	0	0.4	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.