Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $78.1100 (1.43%) ($76.8400 - $78.5900) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $78.1100(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EL declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $70.14(-10.2%)
Resistance Level   $81.75
5 Day Moving Average   $77.77(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.67(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.75(-4.45%)
To recent high   -17.9%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $28.119b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.75%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.02%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.3%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2016	88.81	81.75	78.67	77.77	77.76	77.52	78.11(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-20	-10	-192	2.32	33%	-0.13	-62.3	1.21%	0	-1	23	INF
2	Nov_16_2016	88.93	82.16	78.82	77.79	77.85	77.7	77.01(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-10	-38	-242	2.25	30%	-0.12	-63.9	1.2%	0	-1.3	21	INF
3	Nov_15_2016	89.04	82.69	79.27	78.46	78.32	77.7	77.75(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-30	-19	-238	2.84	30%	-0.11	-61.7	1.2%	0	-1.3	23	INF
4	Nov_14_2016	89.14	83.19	80.08	78.97	78.64	78	77.6(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-101	-70	-55	-238	1.97	30%	-0.13	-59.8	1.2%	0	-1.5	22	INF
5	Nov_11_2016	89.26	83.7	80.99	79.57	79.29	78.64	78.36(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-70	-42	-213	2.29	30%	-0.19	-59.1	1.2%	0	-1.5	22	INF

6	Nov_10_2016	89.43	84.16	81.78	79.7	79.8	79.28	78.21(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-79	-40	-35	-209	2.85	30%	-0.17	-61.7	1.2%	0	-1.8	22	INF
7	Nov_9_2016	89.58	84.67	82.56	79.97	79.89	79.93	80.39(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	0	-29	-209	2.5	33%	-0.14	-64.9	1.16%	0	-1.4	27	INF
8	Nov_8_2016	89.71	85.07	83.09	80.21	80.15	80.32	80.31(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-67	10	-19	-209	1.96	33%	-0.14	-66.2	1.16%	0	-1.6	24	INF
9	Nov_7_2016	89.84	85.44	83.69	81.41	80.69	79.84	80.56(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-108	-100	-76	-204	1.68	33%	-0.12	-60.3	1.16%	0	-1.8	24	INF
10	Nov_4_2016	89.95	85.81	84.31	82.72	82.35	79.98	79.02(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-163	-210	-150	-202	1.91	28%	-0.14	-53	1.13%	0	-2.7	16	INF

11	Nov_3_2016	90.08	86.28	85.1	84.2	84.2	81.55	79.57(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-199	-220	-205	-180	3.71	28%	-0.13	-48.3	1.13%	0	-3.2	18	INF
12	Nov_2_2016	90.2	86.74	85.83	85.47	85.68	84.71	81.6(-5.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.8	-135	-70	-138	-125	6.83	31%	-0.11	-43.5	1.09%	0	-3.7	20	INF
13	Nov_1_2016	90.3	87.08	86.46	86.3	86.48	86.85	86.3(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	40	19	-48	1.98	39%	-0.06	-52.3	0.88%	0	-1	33	INF
14	Oct_31_2016	90.35	87.14	86.59	86.28	86.26	86.65	87.13(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	18	30	37	-40	1.76	41%	-0.04	-64.8	0.87%	0	-0	48	INF
15	Oct_28_2016	90.39	87.19	86.62	86.18	86.15	86.12	86.41(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-0	13	-55	1.42	41%	-0.07	-66	0.87%	0	-1	40	INF

16	Oct_27_2016	90.45	87.29	86.71	86.2	86.19	85.87	85.92(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-30	-23	-74	1.04	41%	-0.08	-65.2	0.87%	0	-1.7	33	INF
17	Oct_26_2016	90.52	87.35	86.92	86.28	86.26	86.19	85.76(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-10	-37	-78	1.49	41%	-0.09	-77.3	0.87%	0	-2.1	28	INF
18	Oct_25_2016	90.6	87.49	87.17	86.64	86.52	86.51	86.18(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-0	-8	-50	1.25	41%	-0.08	-62.2	0.87%	0	-1.7	36	INF
19	Oct_24_2016	90.67	87.65	87.29	86.94	86.79	86.34	86.63(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-40	-27	-47	1.62	41%	-0.07	-43.4	0.87%	0	-1.4	45	INF
20	Oct_21_2016	90.73	87.73	87.39	87.12	87.12	86.53	86.51(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-50	-56	-55	1.53	41%	-0.08	-32.9	0.87%	0	-1.8	38	INF

21	Oct_20_2016	90.8	87.82	87.53	87.29	87.45	87.23	86.3(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-10	-43	-48	1.73	41%	-0.08	-25.3	0.87%	0	-2.3	34	INF
22	Oct_19_2016	90.87	87.95	87.73	87.66	87.63	87.71	87.6(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	10	-2	-6	1.19	44%	-0.04	-4.7	0.86%	0	-0.6	57	INF
23	Oct_18_2016	90.91	87.98	87.77	87.77	87.69	87.66	87.67(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0.2	5	-10	7	-1	1.11	44%	-0.03	6.1	0.86%	0	-0.5	45	INF
24	Oct_17_2016	90.94	87.98	87.75	87.7	87.7	87.56	87.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10	-7	-24	1.3	44%	-0.05	-1.5	0.86%	0	-0.7	40	INF
25	Oct_14_2016	90.99	87.97	87.8	87.69	87.65	87.71	87.33(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	0	-13	-29	2.2	44%		-12.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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