Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $93.0100 (1.59%) ($91.8300 - $93.1700) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $93.0100(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.75(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.55(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.4(1.76%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $33.482b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.8%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	93.09	91.4	90.55	91.75	91.54	91.91	93.01(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	20	44	-14	1.28	42%	0.02	-13.8	1.29%	0	0.9	53	0
2	Jul_7_2016	93.07	91.35	90.67	91.35	91.33	91.08	91.55(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-20	9	-25	1.11	40%	0.02	-23	1.28%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Jul_6_2016	93.05	91.41	90.83	90.98	91.09	91.17	91.03(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	10	3	-27	1.54	40%	0.02	-28.9	1.28%	0	-0.2	51	0
4	Jul_5_2016	93.03	91.51	91.02	90.41	90.69	91.58	91.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	80	55	-15	1.69	40%	0.03	-34.2	1.29%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Jul_1_2016	93	91.59	91.02	89.6	89.84	91.02	91.82(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	50	100	74	-24	1.54	42%	0.05	-44.3	1.28%	0	0.1	52	0

6	Jun_30_2016	92.95	91.64	91.17	89.18	89	89.81	91.02(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	60	27	-54	2.72	42%	0.03	-46.5	1.27%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Jun_29_2016	92.92	91.75	91.23	89.96	89.21	88.66	89.71(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-70	-26	-57	2.5	40%	-0.01	-32.3	1.26%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Jun_28_2016	92.93	91.92	91.39	90.74	90.52	88.19	88.19(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-105	-190	-113	-80	2.48	36%	-0.01	-19.4	1.24%	0	-2.1	35	0
9	Jun_27_2016	92.94	92.12	91.75	91.72	91.89	89.75	87.24(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-152	-160	-175	-84	2.28	36%	-0.04	-1.2	1.24%	0	-3.1	30	0
10	Jun_24_2016	92.98	92.39	92.22	92.89	93.12	92.85	89.73(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-56	-10	-69	-16	3.22	40%	0.03	34.2	1.2%	0	-2.4	36	0

11	Jun_23_2016	92.95	92.49	92.43	93.33	93.6	94.04	94.95(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	63	40	67	49	1.56	49%	0.09	53.8	0.98%	0	2.6	61	0
12	Jun_22_2016	92.87	92.33	92.14	92.68	92.93	93.4	93.59(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	40	42	10	1.17	46%	0.1	54.2	0.97%	0	1.6	51	0
13	Jun_21_2016	92.78	92.25	92.04	92.17	92.36	93.15	93.1(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	42	70	57	-4	1.56	46%	0.09	38.5	0.97%	0	1.2	49	0
14	Jun_20_2016	92.7	92.14	92.02	91.84	91.9	92.46	93.08(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	52	40	70	-4	1.69	46%	0.09	13.4	0.97%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Jun_17_2016	92.62	92.01	91.99	91.48	91.4	91.56	91.94(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	10	15	-35	1.65	43%	0.09	-12.5	0.96%	0	-0.1	51	0

16	Jun_16_2016	92.54	91.97	92.1	91.4	91.35	91.33	91.71(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-0	0	-34	1.4	43%	0.11	-34.1	0.97%	0	-0.3	55	0
17	Jun_15_2016	92.44	91.92	92.24	91.52	91.42	91.23	91.01(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-20	-22	-32	1.08	43%	0.09	-50	0.97%	0	-1	43	0
18	Jun_14_2016	92.36	91.98	92.45	91.89	91.65	91.36	91.45(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-30	-36	-19	1.22	43%	0.09	-57.9	0.97%	0	-0.6	45	0
19	Jun_13_2016	92.28	92.04	92.5	92.22	92.16	91.6	91.29(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-40	-39	-1	1.28	43%	0.05	-52.1	0.97%	0	-0.9	58	0
20	Jun_10_2016	92.23	92.11	92.59	92.58	92.58	91.94	91.55(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-39	-50	-57	14	1.68	47%	0.1	-49	0.99%	0	-0.6	62	0

21	Jun_9_2016	92.14	92.25	92.6	92.88	92.96	92.72	92.28(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-20	-37	37	1.67	47%	0.1	-28.6	0.98%	0	0	62	0
22	Jun_8_2016	92.05	92.37	92.59	93.07	93.2	93.22	92.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	2	70	1.09	47%	0.11	-14.1	0.98%	0	0.4	70	0
23	Jun_7_2016	91.95	92.48	92.52	93.09	93.16	93.2	93.12(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	10	15	79	1.17	47%	0.01	-4.7	0.98%	0	0.5	56	0
24	Jun_6_2016	91.94	92.51	92.29	92.82	92.89	93.18	93.06(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	16	57	1.31	47%	0.12	-20.7	0.99%	0	0.4	50	0
25	Jun_3_2016	91.83	92.54	92.04	92.61	92.63	93.12	93.07(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	40	42	48	1.29	47%		-30.7	0.99%	0	0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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