Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $88.1900 (1.09%) ($87.0800 - $88.6700) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $88.1900(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $91.92
5 Day Moving Average   $90.74(-2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.39(-3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.92(-4.06%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $31.747b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.7%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.99%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.17%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2016	92.93	91.92	91.39	90.74	90.52	88.19	88.19(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-105	-190	-113	-80	2.48	36%	-0.01	-19.4	1.24%	0	-2.1	35	INF
2	Jun_27_2016	92.94	92.12	91.75	91.72	91.89	89.75	87.24(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-152	-160	-175	-84	2.28	36%	-0.04	-1.2	1.24%	0	-3.1	30	INF
3	Jun_24_2016	92.98	92.39	92.22	92.89	93.12	92.85	89.73(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-56	-10	-69	-16	3.22	40%	0.03	34.2	1.2%	0	-2.4	36	INF
4	Jun_23_2016	92.95	92.49	92.43	93.33	93.6	94.04	94.95(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	63	40	67	49	1.56	49%	0.09	53.8	0.98%	0	2.6	61	INF
5	Jun_22_2016	92.87	92.33	92.14	92.68	92.93	93.4	93.59(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	40	42	10	1.17	46%	0.1	54.2	0.97%	0	1.6	51	INF

6	Jun_21_2016	92.78	92.25	92.04	92.17	92.36	93.15	93.1(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	42	70	57	-4	1.56	46%	0.09	38.5	0.97%	0	1.2	49	INF
7	Jun_20_2016	92.7	92.14	92.02	91.84	91.9	92.46	93.08(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	52	40	70	-4	1.69	46%	0.09	13.4	0.97%	0	1.2	61	INF
8	Jun_17_2016	92.62	92.01	91.99	91.48	91.4	91.56	91.94(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	10	15	-35	1.65	43%	0.09	-12.5	0.96%	0	-0.1	51	INF
9	Jun_16_2016	92.54	91.97	92.1	91.4	91.35	91.33	91.71(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-0	0	-34	1.4	43%	0.11	-34.1	0.97%	0	-0.3	55	INF
10	Jun_15_2016	92.44	91.92	92.24	91.52	91.42	91.23	91.01(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-20	-22	-32	1.08	43%	0.09	-50	0.97%	0	-1	43	INF

11	Jun_14_2016	92.36	91.98	92.45	91.89	91.65	91.36	91.45(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-30	-36	-19	1.22	43%	0.09	-57.9	0.97%	0	-0.6	45	INF
12	Jun_13_2016	92.28	92.04	92.5	92.22	92.16	91.6	91.29(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-40	-39	-1	1.28	43%	0.05	-52.1	0.97%	0	-0.9	58	INF
13	Jun_10_2016	92.23	92.11	92.59	92.58	92.58	91.94	91.55(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-39	-50	-57	14	1.68	47%	0.1	-49	0.99%	0	-0.6	62	INF
14	Jun_9_2016	92.14	92.25	92.6	92.88	92.96	92.72	92.28(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-20	-37	37	1.67	47%	0.1	-28.6	0.98%	0	0	62	INF
15	Jun_8_2016	92.05	92.37	92.59	93.07	93.2	93.22	92.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	2	70	1.09	47%	0.11	-14.1	0.98%	0	0.4	70	INF

16	Jun_7_2016	91.95	92.48	92.52	93.09	93.16	93.2	93.12(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	10	15	79	1.17	47%	0.01	-4.7	0.98%	0	0.5	56	INF
17	Jun_6_2016	91.94	92.51	92.29	92.82	92.89	93.18	93.06(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	16	57	1.31	47%	0.12	-20.7	0.99%	0	0.4	50	INF
18	Jun_3_2016	91.83	92.54	92.04	92.61	92.63	93.12	93.07(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	40	42	48	1.29	47%	0.1	-30.7	0.99%	0	0.4	51	INF
19	Jun_2_2016	91.74	92.55	91.83	92.28	92.34	92.6	93.2(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	20	37	13	1.02	47%	0.11	-49	0.99%	0	0.5	40	INF
20	Jun_1_2016	91.64	92.54	91.55	92.05	92.34	92.15	92.99(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	10	8	-34	1.76	47%	0.1	-64.1	0.99%	0	0.3	38	INF

21	May_31_2016	91.55	92.55	91.43	91.88	92.05	92.07	91.78(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	10	14	-59	1.71	43%	0.2	-74.2	0.99%	0	-0.5	29	INF
22	May_27_2016	91.37	92.79	91.52	91.67	91.94	91.95	92(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	10	14	-74	1.45	43%	0.1	-57.2	0.99%	0	-0.4	42	INF
23	May_26_2016	91.28	92.98	91.56	91.37	91.57	92.03	91.44(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	40	14	-93	1.09	43%	0.08	-52.6	1%	0	-0.8	38	INF
24	May_25_2016	91.21	93.25	91.85	91.28	91.32	91.94	92.04(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	29	50	62	-71	1.23	43%	0.04	-45.9	1%	0	-0.6	45	INF
25	May_24_2016	91.17	93.45	92.11	90.97	90.88	91.1	92.14(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	10	24	-88	1.57	43%		-51.1	1.01%	0	-0.6	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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