Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $80.6800 (2.48%) ($79.3700 - $80.7600) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $80.6800(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)    VT(60%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.98(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.59(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78(3.44%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $29.044b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2015	85.25	78	78.59	78.98	79.05	79.07	80.68(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	50	0	45	65	2.87	41%	-0.08	1.3	1.7%	0	2.3	67	INF
2	Sep_29_2015	85.32	77.82	78.31	78.52	78.52	78.08	78.73(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-40	-24	35	2.34	37%	-0.11	-4.6	1.67%	0	0.9	60	INF
3	Sep_28_2015	85.41	77.85	78.18	78.24	78.49	79.03	77.19(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	11	60	2	38	2.66	34%	-0.14	2.1	1.67%	0	-0.6	49	INF
4	Sep_25_2015	85.53	77.85	78.13	78.5	78.3	78.95	79.77(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	50	44	59	2.03	39%	-0.09	9.7	1.64%	0	1.5	60	INF
5	Sep_24_2015	85.61	78	77.79	78.08	77.93	77.95	78.54(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-0	8	22	1.72	39%	-0.11	-7.6	1.63%	0	0.4	45	INF

6	Sep_23_2015	85.7	77.99	77.55	78.14	77.95	77.65	78.35(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-7	-30	-11	5	1.92	39%	-0.1	-25	1.63%	0	0.3	47	INF
7	Sep_22_2015	85.79	77.86	77.36	78.09	78.14	77.91	77.35(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-20	-12	0	1.2	39%	-0.07	-51.2	1.62%	0	-0.4	51	INF
8	Sep_21_2015	85.85	77.83	77.38	78.1	78.24	78.24	78.51(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	9	-0	1.84	39%	-0.06	-71.5	1.61%	0	0.5	44	INF
9	Sep_18_2015	85.9	77.89	77.25	77.68	77.86	78.38	77.64(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	50	17	-22	2.5	39%	-0.03	-104.4	1.6%	0	-0.2	39	INF
10	Sep_17_2015	85.93	78.09	77.39	77.43	77.44	78.23	78.86(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	33	70	50	-20	2.03	39%	-0.05	-112.1	1.59%	0	0.5	44	INF

11	Sep_16_2015	85.97	78.29	77.35	76.86	76.78	77.34	78.11(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	50	35	-40	1.29	40%	-0.06	-111.9	1.59%	0	-0.1	49	INF
12	Sep_15_2015	86.02	78.55	77.25	76.53	76.38	76.65	77.4(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	10	-53	1.46	40%	-0.07	-113.3	1.6%	0	-0.5	57	INF
13	Sep_14_2015	86.08	78.8	77.46	76.58	76.51	76.22	76.38(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-6	-46	1.26	40%	-0.07	-119.2	1.59%	0	-1	52	INF
14	Sep_11_2015	86.14	79.39	77.85	76.78	76.88	76.1	76.42(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-70	-41	-53	1.86	40%	-0.07	-93.9	1.59%	0	-0.9	41	INF
15	Sep_10_2015	86.2	80.02	78.21	77.35	77.38	76.8	76.01(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-50	-49	-51	2.08	40%	-0.08	-76.3	1.59%	0	-1	35	INF

16	Sep_9_2015	86.27	80.64	78.47	77.89	78.11	77.65	76.46(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-17	-46	2	40%	-0.07	-70.1	1.59%	0	-1	34	INF
17	Sep_8_2015	86.33	81.31	78.45	78.05	78.34	77.96	77.65(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-20	-26	-81	2.26	40%	-0.01	-64.6	1.58%	0	-0.8	35	INF
18	Sep_4_2015	86.34	81.9	78.37	78.47	78.3	78.58	77.35(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	20	-23	-97	2.05	40%	-0.08	-56.6	1.57%	0	-0.9	37	INF
19	Sep_3_2015	86.41	82.54	78.62	79.07	78.78	78.71	79.27(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	15	-107	2.53	42%	-0.06	-51.9	1.54%	0	-0.6	30	INF
20	Sep_2_2015	86.46	83.06	78.87	79.23	79	78.03	78.74(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-90	-31	-155	1.41	42%	-0.07	-49.4	1.54%	0	-0.8	28	INF

21	Sep_1_2015	86.52	83.66	79.29	79.16	79	78.84	77.23(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-40	-33	-185	2.88	40%	-0.07	-48.6	1.52%	0	-1.2	27	INF
22	Aug_31_2015	86.58	84.32	79.93	78.86	79.31	79.98	79.77(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	80	32	-202	1.7	43%	-0.05	-50.2	1.47%	0	-0.9	28	INF
23	Aug_28_2015	86.62	84.8	80.21	78.22	78.62	79.78	80.35(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	120	60	-238	1.91	42%	-0.05	-52.4	1.48%	0	-0.9	30	INF
24	Aug_27_2015	86.66	85.25	80.97	78.12	77.63	78.64	80.07(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	70	26	-266	2.42	42%	-0.05	-53.4	1.47%	0	-1	28	INF
25	Aug_26_2015	86.7	85.73	81.87	78.54	77.93	77.47	78.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-79	-60	-13	-278	2.62	37%		-52.3	1.45%	0	-1.5	25	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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