Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $90.2800 (0.43%) ($88.9000 - $90.3500) on Tue. Aug. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $90.2800(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.34(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.98(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.36(1.03%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $32.5b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2015	86.83	89.36	89.98	90.34	90.27	90.17	90.28(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-22	63	2.45	58%	0.09	75	0.93%	0	1	54	INF
2	Aug_10_2015	86.75	89.3	89.77	90.32	90.59	90.4	89.89(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10	9	68	1.93	58%	0.07	83.3	0.93%	0	0.7	53	INF
3	Aug_7_2015	86.69	89.26	89.5	90.24	90.39	90.38	90.47(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	0	-9	49	1.66	58%	0.1	86.5	0.92%	0	1.3	60	INF
4	Aug_6_2015	86.6	89.11	89.29	89.97	90.2	90.78	90.04(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	50	32	53	1.28	58%	0.1	67.8	0.93%	0	0.9	57	INF
5	Aug_5_2015	86.51	88.93	89.19	89.87	89.9	90.4	91.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	40	63	61	1.4	66%	0.12	54.1	0.92%	0	1.7	57	INF

6	Aug_4_2015	86.41	88.69	89	89.59	89.49	89.62	90.19(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	10	27	33	0.96	66%	0.1	51.2	1.04%	0	1.4	53	INF
7	Aug_3_2015	86.32	88.59	88.89	89.16	89.23	89.41	89.51(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	26	17	1.18	66%	0.12	49.6	1.04%	0	0.8	51	INF
8	Jul_31_2015	86.22	88.46	88.78	88.63	88.8	89.37	89.11(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	50	32	-3	1.28	68%	0.09	31.7	1.05%	0	0.6	49	INF
9	Jul_30_2015	86.14	88.39	88.74	88.49	88.31	89.05	89.53(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	50	43	3	0.85	65%	0.1	31.5	1.07%	0	1	63	INF
10	Jul_29_2015	86.05	88.29	88.7	88.41	88.2	88.23	89.62(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-0	29	12	1.2	65%	0.09	31.4	1.08%	0	1.2	69	INF

11	Jul_28_2015	85.97	88.14	88.66	88.35	88.31	87.56	88.02(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-60	-44	-1	1.36	63%	0.07	26	1.07%	0	-0.1	64	INF
12	Jul_27_2015	85.91	88.05	88.78	88.6	88.71	88.16	86.87(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-43	-40	-60	8	1.69	61%	0.05	21.1	1.06%	0	-1	45	INF
13	Jul_24_2015	85.87	88.12	89.03	88.93	89.06	89.07	88.4(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	10	-9	55	0.9	65%	0.07	28.7	1.04%	0	0.2	59	INF
14	Jul_23_2015	85.81	88.04	88.96	88.98	89.02	89.26	89.15(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	12	67	0.76	65%	0.08	23.3	1.03%	0	0.9	59	INF
15	Jul_22_2015	85.74	87.95	88.69	89.02	88.92	89.05	89.32(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	9	60	0.86	65%	0.07	23.1	1.03%	0	1.2	59	INF

16	Jul_21_2015	85.68	87.86	88.4	89.04	89.06	88.78	89.24(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-20	-3	55	1.17	65%	0.07	24.8	1.03%	0	1.3	63	INF
17	Jul_20_2015	85.62	87.81	88.29	89.03	89.14	88.79	88.53(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-20	-33	57	1.46	65%	0.07	33.3	1.03%	0	0.7	64	INF
18	Jul_17_2015	85.56	87.79	88.14	89.16	89.27	89.33	88.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	10	-1	70	1.35	65%	0.08	43.3	1.03%	0	0.8	52	INF
19	Jul_16_2015	85.49	87.76	88.02	88.91	89.21	89.5	89.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	44	84	1.93	65%	0.08	41	1.04%	0	1.5	60	INF
20	Jul_15_2015	85.42	87.69	87.84	88.29	88.61	89.22	89.42(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	60	46	64	1.5	65%	0.09	23.4	1.04%	0	1.8	57	INF

21	Jul_14_2015	85.34	87.59	87.56	87.64	87.99	88.93	89.2(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	90	65	43	1.28	68%	0.08	4.9	1.05%	0	1.8	55	INF
22	Jul_13_2015	85.27	87.45	87.23	87.45	87.41	88.01	89.18(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	52	50	62	21	1.27	68%	0.09	-6.3	1.07%	0	2.1	52	INF
23	Jul_10_2015	85.19	87.34	87.09	87	87.14	87.06	87.42(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-0	15	-17	0.95	65%	0.07	-26.7	1.04%	0	0.1	46	INF
24	Jul_9_2015	85.13	87.35	87.02	87.02	87.05	86.8	86.22(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-20	-34	-45	1.3	63%	0.06	-24.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	40	INF
25	Jul_8_2015	85.08	87.46	87.15	87.31	87.3	87.22	86.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10	-10	-28	2.29	63%		-8.4	1.04%	0	-1.7	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.