Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $84.0700 (1.42%) ($83.1600 - $84.2700) on Mon. Mar. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $84.0700(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.28(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.75(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.28(2.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $30.264b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.76%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2015	77.69	82.28	82.75	83.28	83.42	83.17	84.07(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-20	15	64	1.23	59%	0.1	23.8	1.49%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Mar_27_2015	77.61	82.23	82.46	83.04	83.44	82.83	82.89(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-40	-34	32	1.27	59%	0.09	24.6	1.47%	0	0.7	49	0
3	Mar_26_2015	77.54	82.22	82.23	83.17	83.59	83.68	82.36(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	20	-9	39	1.46	59%	0.08	33.3	1.48%	0	0.1	50	0
4	Mar_25_2015	77.48	82.21	82.13	83.03	83.54	84.04	83.72(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	60	39	46	2.71	62%	0.1	35	1.46%	0	1.5	50	0
5	Mar_24_2015	77.4	82.11	81.8	82.64	82.82	83.51	83.36(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	60	37	27	1.92	62%	0.1	27.4	1.47%	0	1.3	54	0

6	Mar_23_2015	77.32	82.03	81.58	82.13	82.19	83.05	82.88(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	80	50	11	1.47	64%	0.09	13	1.47%	0	1	49	0
7	Mar_20_2015	77.25	81.98	81.55	81.78	81.58	82.13	83.53(2.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2	35	40	47	-3	1.76	64%	0.1	0.9	1.48%	0	1.8	48	0
8	Mar_19_2015	77.17	81.89	81.39	81.18	81.11	81.33	81.67(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	20	15	-35	1.06	62%	0.09	-15	1.47%	0	-0.3	45	0
9	Mar_18_2015	77.1	81.87	81.52	81.09	80.95	81.04	81.74(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	0	10	-36	1.45	64%	0.08	-14	1.47%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Mar_17_2015	77.04	81.86	81.56	80.84	80.89	80.9	80.82(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	0	1	-45	1.11	66%	0.06	-15	1.49%	0	-1.3	46	0

11	Mar_16_2015	76.99	81.91	81.77	80.93	80.84	80.87	81.15(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-0	-10	-43	1.2	67%	0.08	1	1.5%	0	-0.9	48	0
12	Mar_13_2015	76.93	81.98	81.98	81.28	81.03	80.89	80.53(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-20	-12	-30	1.25	65%	0.07	29.6	1.5%	0	-1.8	43	0
13	Mar_12_2015	76.88	82.01	82.21	81.62	81.46	80.82	81.22(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-26	-22	1.5	63%	0.08	58.5	1.5%	0	-1	48	0
14	Mar_11_2015	76.82	82.01	82.33	82.02	81.83	81.18	80.5(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-60	-48	-15	2.04	63%	0.08	111.9	1.51%	0	-1.8	50	0
15	Mar_10_2015	76.76	81.98	82.49	82.37	82.4	82.11	81.27(-1.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-15	-20	-22	6	1.84	60%	0.09	155.1	1.51%	0	-0.8	51	0

16	Mar_9_2015	76.69	81.9	82.56	82.69	82.59	82.49	82.88(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10	-10	20	1.58	64%	0.12	177.8	1.5%	0	1	57	0
17	Mar_6_2015	76.6	81.74	82.49	82.8	82.68	82.49	82.23(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-0	-3	25	2.45	63%	0.12	207.4	1.49%	0	0.4	48	0
18	Mar_5_2015	76.51	81.57	82.46	82.89	82.78	82.69	83.22(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	6	36	1.88	63%	0.13	203.1	1.49%	0	1.3	64	0
19	Mar_4_2015	76.41	81.07	82.25	82.7	82.67	82.67	82.23(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-0	-3	31	2.13	63%	0.12	119.4	1.49%	0	0.5	64	0
20	Mar_3_2015	76.32	80.64	82.18	82.63	82.55	82.87	82.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	20	15	44	1.26	64%	0.14	97.5	1.48%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Mar_2_2015	76.21	80.11	82.06	82.4	82.29	82.68	83.4(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	24	53	1.78	64%	0.16	80.6	1.48%	0	1	76	0
22	Feb_27_2015	76.09	79.5	81.95	82.15	82.04	82.23	82.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	17	57	1.76	64%	0.14	65.9	1.48%	0	0.8	73	0
23	Feb_26_2015	75.98	78.99	81.77	81.97	81.9	81.91	82.28(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	9	62	1.8	64%	0.13	57.8	1.49%	0	0.8	77	0
24	Feb_25_2015	75.88	78.41	81.59	81.73	81.72	81.86	81.88(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	10	3	89	1.5	64%	0.15	49.2	1.5%	0	0.8	88	0
25	Feb_24_2015	75.77	77.92	81.42	81.66	81.58	81.89	81.77(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	12	124	1.17	64%		45	1.52%	0	0.9	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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