Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $80.8200 (-0.41%) ($80.5200 - $81.0700) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $80.8200(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $81.86
5 Day Moving Average   $80.84(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.56(-0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.86(-1.27%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $29.094b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	77.04	81.86	81.56	80.84	80.89	80.9	80.82(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	0	1	-45	1.11	66%	0.06	-15	1.49%	0	-1.3	46	INF
2	Mar_16_2015	76.99	81.91	81.77	80.93	80.84	80.87	81.15(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-0	-10	-43	1.2	67%	0.08	1	1.5%	0	-0.9	48	INF
3	Mar_13_2015	76.93	81.98	81.98	81.28	81.03	80.89	80.53(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-20	-12	-30	1.25	65%	0.07	29.6	1.5%	0	-1.8	43	INF
4	Mar_12_2015	76.88	82.01	82.21	81.62	81.46	80.82	81.22(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-26	-22	1.5	63%	0.08	58.5	1.5%	0	-1	48	INF
5	Mar_11_2015	76.82	82.01	82.33	82.02	81.83	81.18	80.5(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-60	-48	-15	2.04	63%	0.08	111.9	1.51%	0	-1.8	50	INF

6	Mar_10_2015	76.76	81.98	82.49	82.37	82.4	82.11	81.27(-1.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-15	-20	-22	6	1.84	60%	0.09	155.1	1.51%	0	-0.8	51	INF
7	Mar_9_2015	76.69	81.9	82.56	82.69	82.59	82.49	82.88(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10	-10	20	1.58	64%	0.12	177.8	1.5%	0	1	57	INF
8	Mar_6_2015	76.6	81.74	82.49	82.8	82.68	82.49	82.23(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-0	-3	25	2.45	63%	0.12	207.4	1.49%	0	0.4	48	INF
9	Mar_5_2015	76.51	81.57	82.46	82.89	82.78	82.69	83.22(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	6	36	1.88	63%	0.13	203.1	1.49%	0	1.3	64	INF
10	Mar_4_2015	76.41	81.07	82.25	82.7	82.67	82.67	82.23(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-0	-3	31	2.13	63%	0.12	119.4	1.49%	0	0.5	64	INF

11	Mar_3_2015	76.32	80.64	82.18	82.63	82.55	82.87	82.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	20	15	44	1.26	64%	0.14	97.5	1.48%	0	0.8	70	INF
12	Mar_2_2015	76.21	80.11	82.06	82.4	82.29	82.68	83.4(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	24	53	1.78	64%	0.16	80.6	1.48%	0	1	76	INF
13	Feb_27_2015	76.09	79.5	81.95	82.15	82.04	82.23	82.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	17	57	1.76	64%	0.14	65.9	1.48%	0	0.8	73	INF
14	Feb_26_2015	75.98	78.99	81.77	81.97	81.9	81.91	82.28(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	9	62	1.8	64%	0.13	57.8	1.49%	0	0.8	77	INF
15	Feb_25_2015	75.88	78.41	81.59	81.73	81.72	81.86	81.88(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	10	3	89	1.5	64%	0.15	49.2	1.5%	0	0.8	88	INF

16	Feb_24_2015	75.77	77.92	81.42	81.73	81.58	81.89	81.77(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	12	124	1.17	64%	0.13	45	1.52%	0	0.9	86	INF
17	Feb_23_2015	75.67	77.48	81.2	81.66	81.49	81.59	82.14(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	0	10	162	1.52	64%	0.16	44	1.53%	0	1	89	INF
18	Feb_20_2015	75.55	77.04	80.94	81.73	81.46	81.27	81.8(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-30	-4	204	1.23	64%	0.15	45.8	1.54%	0	1.1	90	INF
19	Feb_19_2015	75.44	76.69	80.62	81.55	81.6	81.39	81.08(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	57	-20	-3	235	1.19	64%	0.15	47.7	1.55%	0	1	80	INF
20	Feb_18_2015	75.33	76.32	79.84	81.41	81.45	81.64	81.5(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	67	20	5	251	1.28	64%	0.15	47.6	1.56%	0	1.2	84	INF

21	Feb_17_2015	75.22	75.95	79.02	81.11	81.13	81.81	81.78(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	92	60	34	264	2.05	64%	0.17	48.4	1.58%	0	1.5	77	INF
22	Feb_13_2015	75.09	75.54	78.06	80.65	80.67	81.25	82.49(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	100	50	47	258	3.7	64%	0.19	47.6	1.59%	0	1.8	74	INF
23	Feb_12_2015	74.95	75.07	76.88	80.06	80.02	80.45	80.91(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	40	25	226	1.67	62%	0.16	45.9	1.58%	0	1.7	68	INF
24	Feb_11_2015	74.83	74.7	75.98	79.56	79.69	80.1	80.36(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	40	59	213	1.77	62%	0.16	45.5	1.6%	0	1.8	61	INF
25	Feb_10_2015	74.71	74.38	74.98	77.99	78.77	79.58	80.01(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	100	66	157	2.4	62%		35.9	1.61%	0	2	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.