Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $82.9100 (-0.59%) ($82.5500 - $83.2300) on Tue. Mar. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $82.9100(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.63(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.18(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.64(2.81%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $29.846b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.95%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2015	76.32	80.64	82.18	82.63	82.55	82.87	82.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	20	15	44	1.26	64%	0.14	97.5	1.48%	0	0.8	70	INF
2	Mar_2_2015	76.21	80.11	82.06	82.4	82.29	82.68	83.4(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	24	53	1.78	64%	0.16	80.6	1.48%	0	1	76	INF
3	Feb_27_2015	76.09	79.5	81.95	82.15	82.04	82.23	82.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	17	57	1.76	64%	0.14	65.9	1.48%	0	0.8	73	INF
4	Feb_26_2015	75.98	78.99	81.77	81.97	81.9	81.91	82.28(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	9	62	1.8	64%	0.13	57.8	1.49%	0	0.8	77	INF
5	Feb_25_2015	75.88	78.41	81.59	81.73	81.72	81.86	81.88(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	10	3	89	1.5	64%	0.15	49.2	1.5%	0	0.8	88	INF

6	Feb_24_2015	75.77	77.92	81.42	81.73	81.58	81.89	81.77(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	12	124	1.17	64%	0.13	45	1.52%	0	0.9	86	INF
7	Feb_23_2015	75.67	77.48	81.2	81.66	81.49	81.59	82.14(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	0	10	162	1.52	64%	0.16	44	1.53%	0	1	89	INF
8	Feb_20_2015	75.55	77.04	80.94	81.73	81.46	81.27	81.8(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-30	-4	204	1.23	64%	0.15	45.8	1.54%	0	1.1	90	INF
9	Feb_19_2015	75.44	76.69	80.62	81.55	81.6	81.39	81.08(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	57	-20	-3	235	1.19	64%	0.15	47.7	1.55%	0	1	80	INF
10	Feb_18_2015	75.33	76.32	79.84	81.41	81.45	81.64	81.5(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	67	20	5	251	1.28	64%	0.15	47.6	1.56%	0	1.2	84	INF

11	Feb_17_2015	75.22	75.95	79.02	81.11	81.13	81.81	81.78(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	92	60	34	264	2.05	64%	0.17	48.4	1.58%	0	1.5	77	INF
12	Feb_13_2015	75.09	75.54	78.06	80.65	80.67	81.25	82.49(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	100	50	47	258	3.7	64%	0.19	47.6	1.59%	0	1.8	74	INF
13	Feb_12_2015	74.95	75.07	76.88	80.06	80.02	80.45	80.91(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	40	25	226	1.67	62%	0.16	45.9	1.58%	0	1.7	68	INF
14	Feb_11_2015	74.83	74.7	75.98	79.56	79.69	80.1	80.36(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	40	59	213	1.77	62%	0.16	45.5	1.6%	0	1.8	61	INF
15	Feb_10_2015	74.71	74.38	74.98	77.99	78.77	79.58	80.01(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	100	66	157	2.4	62%	0.15	35.9	1.61%	0	2	64	INF

16	Feb_9_2015	74.6	74.06	74.12	76.56	76.98	79.28	79.46(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	230	96	116	2.67	62%	0.13	23.7	1.63%	0	2.2	61	INF
17	Feb_6_2015	74.5	73.79	73.41	75.03	75.3	77.96	79.55(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	148	260	166	95	5.21	62%	0.15	6.1	1.65%	0	2.6	61	INF
18	Feb_5_2015	74.39	73.54	72.74	73.24	73.27	74.67	78.4(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	87	130	108	22	6.22	62%	0.12	-22.2	1.65%	0	2.7	61	INF
19	Feb_4_2015	74.3	73.31	72.32	71.96	71.89	72.65	72.55(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	70	53	-53	2.39	53%	-0.05	-61.9	1.16%	0	-0.5	44	INF
20	Feb_3_2015	74.34	73.38	72.45	71.53	71.55	71.86	72.84(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	30	45	-77	2.16	53%	-0.05	-80.9	1.17%	0	-0.4	43	INF

21	Feb_2_2015	74.38	73.47	72.59	71.31	71.21	71.14	71.83(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10	-11	-109	3.29	51%	-0.08	-93.8	1.16%	0	-1.1	40	INF
22	Jan_30_2015	74.44	73.66	72.82	71.51	71.31	71.23	70.59(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-20	-31	-117	2.36	48%	-0.12	-96.4	1.14%	0	-2.1	32	INF
23	Jan_29_2015	74.53	73.94	73.16	72.14	71.81	71.28	71.97(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-70	-39	-110	2.65	52%	-0.08	-101.7	1.12%	0	-1.5	34	INF
24	Jan_28_2015	74.59	74.2	73.38	72.76	72.53	71.39	70.4(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-94	-120	-88	-111	2.64	47%	-0.15	-85.1	1.07%	0	-2.9	33	INF
25	Jan_27_2015	74.7	74.56	73.82	73.48	73.4	72.35	71.75(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-90	-100	-93	-82	3.38	51%		-75.3	1.04%	0	-2.4	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.