Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $37.7000 (-0.45%) ($37.5700 - $37.7900) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $37.7000(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)    VT(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-16%)    IBUY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.56(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.1(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.54(3.17%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.4%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2016	34.35	36.54	37.1	37.56	37.62	37.78	37.7(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	12	102	62.08	53%	0.12	68.5	1.31%	0	1.6	78	INF
2	Aug_15_2016	34.31	36.43	36.92	37.45	37.49	37.66	37.87(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	30	20	99	55.16	53%	0.12	71.1	1.32%	0	2.1	83	INF
3	Aug_12_2016	34.27	36.33	36.75	37.25	37.31	37.46	37.48(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	15	90	54.79	49%	0.12	81.8	1.34%	0	1.9	83	INF
4	Aug_11_2016	34.23	36.24	36.61	37.08	37.16	37.33	37.62(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	40	23	86	82.54	49%	0.15	90.8	1.34%	0	2.5	75	INF
5	Aug_10_2016	34.18	36.14	36.45	36.79	36.93	37.16	37.14(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	60	21	71	59.11	53%	0.09	107.5	1.33%	0	2.1	74	INF

6	Aug_9_2016	34.15	36.05	36.33	36.57	36.67	37	37.13(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	70	29	60	65.82	53%	0.09	118	1.35%	0	2.5	71	INF
7	Aug_8_2016	34.12	35.95	36.2	36.32	36.34	36.7	36.88(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	70	24	45	43.64	53%	0.09	120	1.36%	0	2.2	71	INF
8	Aug_5_2016	34.09	35.85	36.07	36.17	36.11	36.35	36.62(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	40	19	29	55.76	53%	0.09	103.8	1.36%	0	1.6	58	INF
9	Aug_4_2016	34.06	35.75	36	36.09	36.03	35.98	36.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10	6	22	70.53	50%	0.09	80.6	1.35%	0	0.8	59	INF
10	Aug_3_2016	34.03	35.63	35.95	36.09	36.01	35.87	36(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-9	13	42.84	46%	0.09	66.5	1.37%	0	0.5	54	INF

11	Aug_2_2016	34	35.53	35.93	36.09	36.01	36.08	35.88(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-3	21	81.85	46%	0.09	65.4	1.42%	0	0.5	62	INF
12	Aug_1_2016	33.97	35.44	35.91	36.05	36.05	36.16	36.14(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	11	31	57.79	46%	0.09	76	1.41%	0	0.9	65	INF
13	Jul_29_2016	33.94	35.37	35.9	35.95	35.96	36.02	36.21(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	10	7	35	85.27	46%	0.12	86	1.42%	0	1.1	72	INF
14	Jul_28_2016	33.9	35.28	35.84	35.9	35.86	35.94	36.02(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	4	45	45.59	46%	0.12	82.8	1.42%	0	1	73	INF
15	Jul_27_2016	33.86	35.18	35.81	35.84	35.85	35.89	36.01(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	10	6	64	67.89	46%	0.12	79.7	1.43%	0	1.1	79	INF

16	Jul_26_2016	33.82	35.04	35.74	35.8	35.8	35.79	35.89(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-0	2	76	63.59	46%	0.09	66.9	1.43%	0	1	76	INF
17	Jul_25_2016	33.79	34.87	35.69	35.75	35.77	35.8	35.61(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	10	-3	88	44.17	46%	0.09	47.8	1.44%	0	0.7	73	INF
18	Jul_22_2016	33.76	34.73	35.62	35.83	35.76	35.81	35.97(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	5	101	45.5	46%	0.12	44.4	1.43%	0	1.1	64	INF
19	Jul_21_2016	33.72	34.66	35.48	35.77	35.74	35.75	35.71(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-0	1	99	56.35	46%	0.12	51.8	1.43%	0	1	65	INF
20	Jul_20_2016	33.68	34.57	35.3	35.79	35.73	35.71	35.82(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10	4	101	48.09	46%	0.12	56.3	1.44%	0	1.2	69	INF

21	Jul_19_2016	33.64	34.48	35.11	35.67	35.71	35.73	35.64(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	10	4	103	54.83	46%	0.18	61.4	1.44%	0	1.1	74	INF
22	Jul_18_2016	33.58	34.38	34.94	35.61	35.61	35.74	36.01(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	30	13	125	75.86	46%	0.18	66.7	1.44%	0	1.7	82	INF
23	Jul_15_2016	33.52	34.24	34.8	35.37	35.49	35.7	35.69(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	50	21	138	82.12	46%	0.15	62.1	1.44%	0	1.6	75	INF
24	Jul_14_2016	33.47	34.11	34.66	35.14	35.28	35.48	35.77(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	50	30	123	99.97	46%	0.18	51.6	1.44%	0	1.9	54	INF
25	Jul_13_2016	33.41	33.98	34.48	34.74	34.93	35.28	35.26(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	90	26	98	62.03	47%		34.5	1.43%	0	1.6	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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