Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $34.2800 (1.03%) ($34.2700 - $34.5800) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $34.2800(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)    VT(80%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    SPLV(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.7(1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.77(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.18(3.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.71%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	31.85	33.18	33.77	33.7	33.65	33.99	34.28(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	70	20	59	53.13	56%	0	109.2	1.69%	0	1.5	70	0
2	Mar_29_2016	31.85	33.04	33.59	33.64	33.45	33.5	33.93(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10	3	52	81.64	56%	0	107.7	1.7%	0	1.2	70	0
3	Mar_28_2016	31.85	32.87	33.49	33.68	33.53	33.31	33.47(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-9	53	40.6	56%	-0.19	88	1.69%	0	0.6	58	0
4	Mar_24_2016	31.91	32.71	33.47	33.79	33.69	33.39	33.36(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-70	-18	61	61.48	56%	-0.09	72.9	1.69%	0	0.6	56	0
5	Mar_23_2016	31.94	32.56	33.39	33.89	33.91	33.76	33.44(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-30	-5	76	58.63	57%	-0.06	71.4	1.69%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Mar_22_2016	31.96	32.41	33.29	33.82	33.94	34	34.02(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	15	88	41.96	59%	-0.06	66.8	1.69%	0	1.2	73	0
7	Mar_21_2016	31.98	32.23	33.11	33.51	33.62	34.06	34.1(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	100	21	82	59.92	59%	-0.03	63.2	1.69%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Mar_18_2016	31.99	32.07	32.97	33.28	33.21	33.87	34.03(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	130	31	98	102.19	59%	-0.03	66.4	1.69%	0	1.6	81	0
9	Mar_17_2016	32	31.88	32.84	33.1	32.95	33.19	33.85(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	40	31	117	114.75	59%	-0.03	71.3	1.69%	0	1.7	81	0
10	Mar_16_2016	32.01	31.7	32.66	32.83	32.79	32.55	33.12(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-50	2	110	98.22	59%	-0.06	74.6	1.68%	0	1.3	75	0

11	Mar_15_2016	32.03	31.57	32.54	32.68	32.72	32.71	32.47(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	0	-8	116	66.97	58%	-0.12	77.3	1.68%	0	0.8	73	0
12	Mar_14_2016	32.07	31.44	32.44	32.63	32.73	33.02	32.94(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	70	13	136	43.84	59%	-0.12	78.5	1.68%	0	1.4	77	0
13	Mar_11_2016	32.11	31.26	32.19	32.6	32.55	32.74	33.14(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	14	131	75	57%	-0.09	73.4	1.69%	0	1.6	68	0
14	Mar_10_2016	32.14	31.05	31.89	32.53	32.45	32.43	32.46(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10	3	123	69.72	56%	-0.09	65	1.71%	0	1.2	70	0
15	Mar_9_2016	32.17	30.89	31.69	32.48	32.51	32.35	32.41(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-30	3	122	54.89	56%	-0.09	61.2	1.71%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Mar_8_2016	32.2	30.73	31.48	32.36	32.4	32.47	32.21(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	20	3	115	50.51	56%	-0.12	58.8	1.71%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Mar_7_2016	32.24	30.6	31.29	32.2	32.24	32.67	32.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	100	35	124	67.82	56%	-0.12	54.1	1.7%	0	1.9	74	0
18	Mar_4_2016	32.28	30.45	31.1	31.71	31.86	32.34	32.82(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	63	120	46	115	102.49	56%	-0.09	44.5	1.72%	0	2.4	78	0
19	Mar_3_2016	32.31	30.31	30.83	31.16	31.29	31.81	32.18(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	49	130	34	93	66.93	54%	-0.12	39.1	1.7%	0	2.3	78	0
20	Mar_2_2016	32.35	30.2	30.63	30.79	30.87	31.39	31.82(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	130	36	84	66.98	54%	-0.09	38.4	1.69%	0	2.3	70	0

21	Mar_1_2016	32.38	30.07	30.49	30.48	30.53	30.77	31.4(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	60	26	75	69.32	54%	-0.12	30.1	1.69%	0	2.1	69	0
22	Feb_29_2016	32.42	30	30.35	30.27	30.25	30.35	30.32(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	20	-4	58	65.54	51%	-0.18	36.1	1.61%	0	0.6	57	0
23	Feb_26_2016	32.48	30.01	30.26	30.4	30.27	30.28	30.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10	0	61	54.64	50%	-0.18	53	1.63%	0	0.1	51	0
24	Feb_25_2016	32.54	29.99	30.15	30.4	30.41	30.14	30.36(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-3	47	45.9	50%	-0.15	66.1	1.64%	0	0.7	49	0
25	Feb_24_2016	32.59	29.93	30.05	30.44	30.4	30.26	30.26(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-40	-17	33	59.33	50%		71.6	1.64%	0	0.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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