Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $30.3800 (-0.59%) ($30.3100 - $30.6700) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $30.3800(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)    VT(80%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.81(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.76(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.63(2.53%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.6%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.89%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	32.74	29.63	29.76	29.81	29.99	30.46	30.38(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	130	26	3	59.14	49%	-0.09	36.4	1.6%	0	1.2	55	INF
2	Feb_17_2016	32.77	29.53	29.72	29.6	29.57	30.15	30.56(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	130	35	2	69.3	49%	-0.03	16.5	1.61%	0	1.6	60	INF
3	Feb_16_2016	32.78	29.44	29.59	29.32	29.34	29.53	29.97(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	50	24	-22	54.4	49%	-0.03	0.9	1.58%	0	0.8	56	INF
4	Feb_12_2016	32.79	29.37	29.61	29.25	29.15	28.98	29.32(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-50	-13	-26	68.44	47%	-0.12	-9.5	1.57%	0	-0.1	56	INF
5	Feb_11_2016	32.83	29.38	29.73	29.39	29.25	29.14	28.82(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-40	-26	-7	86.8	45%	-0.12	-5	1.55%	0	-0.9	48	INF

6	Feb_10_2016	32.87	29.41	29.73	29.69	29.58	29.33	29.31(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-70	-13	36	67.19	47%	-0.09	-2.3	1.54%	0	-0.2	59	INF
7	Feb_9_2016	32.9	29.42	29.82	29.86	29.81	29.35	29.19(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-110	-19	57	67.28	45%	-0.15	-8.3	1.54%	0	-0.4	59	INF
8	Feb_8_2016	32.95	29.44	29.84	29.88	29.81	29.83	29.6(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-20	-20	64	72.72	45%	-0.15	-19.8	1.56%	0	0.3	56	INF
9	Feb_5_2016	33	29.43	29.77	30.02	29.95	30.26	30.01(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	70	1	89	70.37	45%	-0.12	-32.7	1.56%	0	0.9	62	INF
10	Feb_4_2016	33.04	29.43	29.71	30.13	29.97	30.08	30.36(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	10	21	104	99.92	45%	-0.12	-46.3	1.56%	0	1.5	54	INF

11	Feb_3_2016	33.08	29.42	29.51	29.98	29.95	29.64	30.13(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-80	3	77	117.14	45%	-0.12	-63.2	1.56%	0	1.1	55	INF
12	Feb_2_2016	33.12	29.47	29.33	29.78	29.91	29.85	29.3(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-0	-11	44	75.52	44%	-0.12	-69.4	1.52%	0	-0.2	49	INF
13	Feb_1_2016	33.16	29.56	29.29	29.77	29.84	30.25	30.28(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	100	28	53	43.25	47%	-0.12	-71.8	1.5%	0	0.8	55	INF
14	Jan_29_2016	33.2	29.64	29.1	29.48	29.57	29.97	30.57(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	100	37	22	81.97	47%	-0.09	-84.8	1.49%	0	1.1	56	INF
15	Jan_28_2016	33.23	29.71	28.99	29.23	29.24	29.42	29.61(1.58%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	16	40	23	-6	84.74	43%	-0.09	-80.6	1.43%	0	-0.1	47	INF

16	Jan_27_2016	33.26	29.85	28.94	28.98	29.15	29.17	29.15(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	17	-49	74.02	41%	-0.12	-74.6	1.42%	0	-0.6	36	INF
17	Jan_26_2016	33.3	30.02	28.97	28.8	28.93	29.06	29.25(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	40	6	-92	60.02	41%	-0.12	-69.8	1.42%	0	-0.6	33	INF
18	Jan_25_2016	33.34	30.2	28.99	28.73	28.93	29.13	28.83(-1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	100	16	-120	59.62	39%	-0.12	-65.1	1.4%	0	-0.9	30	INF
19	Jan_22_2016	33.38	30.41	29.05	28.66	28.68	28.79	29.33(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	30	22	-159	75.89	43%	-0.12	-67.1	1.4%	0	-0.7	28	INF
20	Jan_21_2016	33.42	30.57	29.09	28.72	28.47	28.23	28.36(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-90	-27	-215	81.85	38%	-0.15	-62	1.35%	0	-1.4	17	INF

21	Jan_20_2016	33.47	30.78	29.33	28.89	28.74	28.56	28.25(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-60	-28	-229	103.22	38%	-0.12	-57.7	1.35%	0	-1.6	14	INF
22	Jan_19_2016	33.51	31	29.63	29.16	29.11	28.71	28.88(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-100	-17	-228	79.54	41%	-0.15	-52.9	1.33%	0	-1.3	16	INF
23	Jan_15_2016	33.56	31.2	29.87	29.28	29.26	28.92	28.46(-3.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-94	-80	-40	-255	117.57	42%	-0.18	-52.6	1.31%	0	-1.8	9	INF
24	Jan_14_2016	33.62	31.45	30.24	29.49	29.55	29.51	29.63(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-68	-0	-8	-247	65.52	47%	-0.12	-51.8	1.27%	0	-1.3	11	INF
25	Jan_13_2016	33.66	31.6	30.49	29.53	29.64	29.6	29.25(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-79	0	-19	-258	71.79	45%		-53	1.26%	0	-1.7	14	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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