Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $39.3800 (1.39%) ($39.2300 - $39.4500) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $39.3800(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.98(-18.79%)
Resistance Level   $39.88
5 Day Moving Average   $38.51(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.68(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.88(-1.25%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.87%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	42.2	39.88	38.68	38.51	38.63	39.06	39.38(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	90	42	-127	47.4	39%	-0.12	-50.7	1.12%	0	-0.3	34	0
2	Dec_19_2014	42.25	40.02	38.74	38.2	38.21	38.69	38.84(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	90	31	-164	61.24	36%	-0.12	-51.1	1.12%	0	-0.8	27	0
3	Dec_18_2014	42.3	40.14	38.93	38.1	38.03	38.21	38.57(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	30	17	-187	70.09	36%	-0.14	-53.7	1.12%	0	-1	19	0
4	Dec_17_2014	42.36	40.28	39.15	38.18	38.04	37.74	38.05(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-75	-70	-26	-220	119.53	33%	-0.14	-54.2	1.1%	0	-1.5	9	0
5	Dec_16_2014	42.42	40.44	39.43	38.43	38.36	37.86	37.73(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-98	-100	-55	-228	117.07	35%	-0.19	-53.7	1.1%	0	-2	14	0

6	Dec_15_2014	42.5	40.62	39.75	38.86	38.83	38.34	37.79(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-97	-90	-58	-214	93.92	35%	-0.16	-52.5	1.11%	0	-2.3	14	0
7	Dec_12_2014	42.57	40.82	40.06	39.36	39.27	38.86	38.34(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-92	-80	-56	-201	79.27	35%	-0.16	-48.6	1.1%	0	-2.4	14	0
8	Dec_11_2014	42.64	40.97	40.38	39.87	39.72	39.32	38.98(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-75	-80	-47	-160	65.85	37%	-0.14	-42.5	1.09%	0	-2.3	36	0
9	Dec_10_2014	42.7	41.09	40.72	40.27	40.16	39.68	39.31(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-63	-90	-44	-119	55.59	37%	-0.12	-37.6	1.09%	0	-2.4	37	0
10	Dec_9_2014	42.75	41.2	40.98	40.58	40.52	40.13	39.9(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-70	-39	-89	54.56	37%	-0.09	-35.1	1.08%	0	-2.1	40	0

11	Dec_8_2014	42.79	41.28	41.2	40.76	40.8	40.63	40.28(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-30	-20	-56	43.44	36%	-0.09	-35.9	1.09%	0	-1.9	46	0
12	Dec_5_2014	42.83	41.33	41.41	40.86	40.9	40.92	40.88(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	10	-8	-33	32.5	39%	-0.07	-42.2	1.08%	0	-0.9	46	0
13	Dec_4_2014	42.86	41.34	41.45	40.98	40.92	40.96	40.96(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	0	-13	-26	31.46	39%	-0.07	-45.6	1.09%	0	-0.8	50	0
14	Dec_3_2014	42.89	41.36	41.48	41.26	41.09	40.96	40.89(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-50	-18	-7	37.51	41%	-0.09	-31.5	1.09%	0	-1	49	0
15	Dec_2_2014	42.93	41.41	41.53	41.45	41.43	40.88	40.78(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-29	-90	-38	-3	47.27	41%	-0.07	-18	1.1%	0	-1.4	47	0

16	Dec_1_2014	42.96	41.46	41.56	41.71	41.71	41.3	40.79(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-39	-70	-54	7	75.11	41%	-0.07	8.3	1.1%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Nov_28_2014	42.99	41.53	41.64	42.04	42.02	41.98	41.5(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10	-8	54	49.14	41%	-0.09	41.5	1.08%	0	-0.1	54	0
18	Nov_26_2014	43.03	41.55	41.6	41.97	42.17	42.13	42.35(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	21	64	30.95	43%	-0.05	50	1.06%	0	1.8	67	0
19	Nov_25_2014	43.05	41.51	41.48	41.74	41.9	42.07	41.82(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	40	5	39	43.79	43%	-0.05	49	1.05%	0	0.8	54	0
20	Nov_24_2014	43.07	41.49	41.43	41.62	41.68	42.21	42.09(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	90	41	38	38.06	43%	-0.02	43.3	1.05%	0	1.4	51	0

21	Nov_21_2014	43.08	41.43	41.35	41.4	41.43	41.72	42.44(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	38	50	45	16	111.46	43%	-0.05	28.7	1.05%	0	2.4	55	0
22	Nov_20_2014	43.1	41.35	41.21	41.2	41.12	41.16	41.13(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	0	1	-31	28.93	37%	-0.05	21.3	0.96%	0	-0.6	32	0
23	Nov_19_2014	43.12	41.34	41.2	41.2	41.14	41.14	41.2(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-0	2	-45	49.22	37%	-0.07	25.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	37	0
24	Nov_18_2014	43.15	41.32	41.22	41.19	41.16	41.09	41.22(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10	-4	-50	23.11	39%	-0.05	26.8	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
25	Nov_17_2014	43.17	41.31	41.28	41.21	41.19	41.13	41(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10	-10	-48	38.24	39%		26.3	0.97%	0	-0.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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