Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.4900 (1.17%) ($41.2400 - $41.4900) on Tue. Apr. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $41.4900(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(0%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.71(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.96(3.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.53(4.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(64%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.92%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2014	40.03	39.53	39.96	40.71	40.88	41.23	41.49(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	70	32	135	65.72	44%	0	47	1.29%	0	2.3	70	0
2	Mar_31_2014	40.03	39.41	39.74	40.38	40.54	40.93	41.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	80	35	123	75.26	44%	0	44.9	1.29%	0	2.2	69	0
3	Mar_28_2014	40.03	39.29	39.52	40.05	40.23	40.53	40.74(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	70	38	101	67.46	44%	0	32.5	1.28%	0	2.3	61	0
4	Mar_27_2014	40.03	39.22	39.28	39.69	39.85	40.15	40.42(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	60	29	63	73.44	47%	-0.05	20.3	1.28%	0	2.1	56	0
5	Mar_26_2014	40.05	39.18	39.05	39.36	39.56	39.93	39.9(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	80	34	23	91.29	45%	-0.05	9.6	1.29%	0	1.5	46	0

6	Mar_25_2014	40.07	39.13	38.94	39.09	39.18	39.55	39.81(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	70	22	-6	93.53	45%	-0.07	-5.8	1.29%	0	1.4	52	0
7	Mar_24_2014	40.1	39.13	38.83	39.01	38.94	39.2	39.36(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	40	20	-19	54.33	45%	-0.07	-13.9	1.3%	0	0.6	49	0
8	Mar_21_2014	40.13	39.09	38.81	38.91	38.91	38.8	38.98(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-20	11	-25	86.97	45%	-0.1	-22.6	1.28%	0	-0.2	53	0
9	Mar_20_2014	40.17	39.11	38.86	38.8	38.84	38.68	38.74(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-8	-40	60.57	45%	-0.1	-27.8	1.29%	0	-0.8	44	0
10	Mar_19_2014	40.21	39.13	38.97	38.69	38.81	39.02	38.57(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	50	-0	-42	95.95	43%	-0.12	-34.8	1.29%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	Mar_18_2014	40.26	39.16	38.97	38.75	38.74	39.01	39.41(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	12	50	24	-25	68.13	47%	-0.1	-34.6	1.28%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Mar_17_2014	40.3	39.15	38.97	38.63	38.62	38.6	38.87(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-0	0	-38	57.49	45%	-0.1	-30.9	1.28%	0	-0.7	50	0
13	Mar_14_2014	40.34	39.19	39.06	38.71	38.68	38.47	38.4(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-40	-20	-49	64.59	45%	-0.1	-16.1	1.26%	0	-1.8	42	0
14	Mar_13_2014	40.38	39.23	39.17	38.93	38.88	38.63	38.19(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-50	-31	-38	79.97	45%	-0.12	4.9	1.27%	0	-2.6	40	0
15	Mar_12_2014	40.43	39.29	39.33	39.3	39.15	38.89	38.89(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-60	-21	-4	56.88	47%	-0.12	59.3	1.25%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	Mar_11_2014	40.48	39.3	39.35	39.42	39.46	39.12	38.81(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-12	-60	-18	5	72.69	44%	-0.12	89.9	1.25%	0	-1.6	50	0
17	Mar_10_2014	40.53	39.28	39.38	39.54	39.54	39.4	39.25(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-20	-14	12	57.75	44%	-0.1	103.3	1.28%	0	-0.1	50	0
18	Mar_7_2014	40.57	39.26	39.4	39.45	39.61	39.8	39.52(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	50	10	13	66.57	44%	-0.1	99	1.26%	0	0.7	48	0
19	Mar_6_2014	40.61	39.21	39.39	39.44	39.39	39.68	40.03(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	50	15	17	86.03	49%	-0.07	96.2	1.27%	0	2	58	0
20	Mar_5_2014	40.64	39.1	39.3	39.38	39.29	39.43	39.47(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	15	14	42.86	47%	-0.07	78.9	1.29%	0	0.8	54	0

21	Mar_4_2014	40.67	39.02	39.25	39.29	39.33	39.1	39.44(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-40	3	2	63.1	47%	-0.1	62.3	1.29%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Mar_3_2014	40.71	38.91	39.23	39.2	39.24	39.16	38.78(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10	-24	-4	98.83	44%	-0.1	40.7	1.27%	0	-0.2	58	0
23	Feb_28_2014	40.75	38.89	39.32	39.33	39.34	39.57	39.48(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	40	11	29	88.24	44%	-0.07	45.1	1.26%	0	0.9	59	0
24	Feb_27_2014	40.78	38.82	39.29	39.32	39.32	39.32	39.75(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	0	13	37	67.96	44%	-0.05	37.7	1.27%	0	1.4	65	0
25	Feb_26_2014	40.8	38.72	39.23	39.2	39.29	39.12	39.01(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-20	-8	38	59.12	41%		17	1.25%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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