Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $39.4000 (1.18%) ($38.9200 - $39.5000) on Thu. Sep. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $39.4000(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(3%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.47(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.24(3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.68(1.86%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2013	40.2	38.68	38.24	38.47	38.59	38.95	39.4(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	70	34	6	59.05	46%	-0.02	-23	1.47%	0	0.9	45	0
2	Sep_4_2013	40.21	38.68	38.05	38.08	38.25	38.56	38.94(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	70	29	-43	60.08	44%	-0.07	-39.6	1.48%	0	0.4	39	0
3	Sep_3_2013	40.24	38.63	37.99	37.76	37.93	38.23	38.26(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	70	15	-83	62.69	44%	-0.1	-52.4	1.47%	0	-0.5	34	0
4	Aug_30_2013	40.28	38.69	38.01	37.75	37.69	37.94	38.02(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	40	3	-100	104.22	42%	-0.12	-51.2	1.48%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Aug_29_2013	40.33	38.77	38.13	37.88	37.8	37.64	37.73(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-40	-0	-96	63.99	41%	-0.12	-47.5	1.48%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Aug_28_2013	40.38	38.88	38.31	37.97	37.97	37.45	37.43(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-100	-22	-98	69.41	41%	-0.1	-48.6	1.48%	0	-1.8	35	0
7	Aug_27_2013	40.42	38.96	38.57	38	38.15	37.96	37.35(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-20	-28	-86	89.37	41%	-0.12	-56.3	1.48%	0	-2.2	43	0
8	Aug_26_2013	40.47	39.06	38.83	38.23	38.23	38.5	38.23(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	50	3	-53	42.26	43%	-0.07	-61.6	1.47%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Aug_23_2013	40.5	39.12	38.98	38.3	38.24	38.33	38.65(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	7	-46	57.35	43%	-0.07	-62.7	1.47%	0	-0.7	44	0
10	Aug_22_2013	40.53	39.18	39.05	38.43	38.3	37.96	38.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-70	-23	-54	57.47	42%	-0.1	-54	1.46%	0	-1.6	38	0

11	Aug_21_2013	40.57	39.27	39.17	38.72	38.64	38.14	37.59(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-45	-100	-43	-51	108.75	40%	-0.12	-40.5	1.45%	0	-2.8	31	0
12	Aug_20_2013	40.62	39.38	39.29	39.22	39.07	38.63	38.49(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-34	-90	-37	-25	53.7	42%	-0.1	-23.8	1.42%	0	-1.9	47	0
13	Aug_19_2013	40.66	39.46	39.35	39.51	39.48	39.14	38.56(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-60	-28	-6	53.83	42%	-0.05	-0.9	1.42%	0	-2	45	0
14	Aug_16_2013	40.68	39.52	39.45	39.75	39.78	39.52	39.3(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-40	-12	16	72.81	44%	-0.07	19.2	1.41%	0	-0.6	50	0
15	Aug_15_2013	40.71	39.53	39.45	39.76	39.82	39.83	39.64(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	10	-4	19	59.75	44%	-0.07	24.2	1.41%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Aug_14_2013	40.74	39.51	39.49	39.69	39.78	40.04	40.1(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	50	25	25	48.29	44%	-0.07	19.2	1.4%	0	1.5	50	0
17	Aug_13_2013	40.77	39.5	39.38	39.38	39.53	39.81	39.97(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	60	25	-0	61.26	43%	-0.05	25.5	1.4%	0	1.3	52	0
18	Aug_12_2013	40.79	39.47	39.3	39.17	39.19	39.52	39.73(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	60	15	-25	61.38	43%	-0.05	31.9	1.4%	0	0.7	44	0
19	Aug_9_2013	40.81	39.45	39.26	39.12	39.05	39.24	39.36(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	30	11	-34	56.2	43%	-0.07	50	1.4%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Aug_8_2013	40.84	39.43	39.3	39.19	39.07	39.24	39.28(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-50	-7	-33	75.53	43%	-0.07	75.5	1.4%	0	-0.4	51	0

21	Aug_7_2013	40.87	39.44	39.35	39.28	39.23	38.85	38.54(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-70	-25	-30	54.24	41%	-0.07	71.2	1.38%	0	-1.6	42	0
22	Aug_6_2013	40.9	39.4	39.48	39.37	39.47	39.3	38.96(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-20	-13	-22	51.42	41%	-0.1	65.8	1.38%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Aug_5_2013	40.94	39.36	39.59	39.43	39.46	39.6	39.46(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	30	0	-7	41.16	41%	-0.07	53.5	1.37%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Aug_2_2013	40.97	39.26	39.61	39.4	39.43	39.65	39.71(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	40	12	-1	46.53	41%	-0.1	40.2	1.38%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Aug_1_2013	41.01	39.15	39.57	39.43	39.36	39.32	39.72(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10	2	-1	81.92	40%		35.9	1.38%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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