Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.6400 (0.02%) ($41.3800 - $41.6400) on Mon. Nov. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $41.6400(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.28(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.94(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.18(1.12%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.92%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2012	40.49	41.18	40.94	41.28	41.22	41.54	41.64(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	31	7	38.36	59%	0.07	-10.1	1.04%	0	0.9	46	0
2	Nov_23_2012	40.46	41.15	40.86	41.03	41.07	41.23	41.63(1.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	24	30	38	-17	38.73	59%	0.05	-33.3	1.04%	0	0.9	49	0
3	Nov_21_2012	40.44	41.12	40.78	40.76	40.75	40.9	40.96(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	30	11	-62	49.86	56%	0.05	-57.4	1.02%	0	-0.3	39	0
4	Nov_20_2012	40.42	41.16	40.82	40.6	40.59	40.92	41.04(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	60	21	-69	49.35	56%	0.05	-64.5	1.02%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Nov_19_2012	40.4	41.18	40.92	40.55	40.48	40.6	41.12(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	20	18	-64	60.8	56%	0.05	-61.2	1.02%	0	-0.1	49	0

6	Nov_16_2012	40.38	41.23	40.97	40.56	40.43	40.25	40.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-19	-77	55.42	52%	0.07	-55.8	1%	0	-1.5	39	0
7	Nov_15_2012	40.35	41.32	41.09	40.68	40.66	40.37	40.29(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-50	-24	-64	56.28	52%	0.05	-38.9	1%	0	-1.9	44	0
8	Nov_14_2012	40.33	41.41	41.25	40.8	40.86	40.61	40.16(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-40	-36	-49	65.06	52%	0.07	-28.6	1%	0	-2.4	43	0
9	Nov_13_2012	40.3	41.48	41.36	41.06	41.05	40.96	40.78(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-20	-28	-36	56.93	57%	0.1	-18.5	0.98%	0	-1.6	39	0
10	Nov_12_2012	40.26	41.51	41.42	41.33	41.25	41.12	41.16(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-30	-14	-13	43.64	57%	0.07	-9.1	0.98%	0	-0.9	47	0

11	Nov_9_2012	40.23	41.51	41.45	41.46	41.47	41.14	41(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-50	-23	-15	60.59	57%	0.1	-6.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	39	0
12	Nov_8_2012	40.19	41.53	41.47	41.58	41.62	41.39	40.92(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-32	-40	-34	-25	73.47	57%	0.02	-4.3	0.98%	0	-1.6	38	0
13	Nov_7_2012	40.18	41.55	41.49	41.76	41.77	41.8	41.44(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	10	-1	-10	65.26	61%	0.05	3.3	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Nov_6_2012	40.16	41.56	41.54	41.7	41.8	41.86	42.13(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	20	23	0	48.1	67%	0.07	-3.2	0.95%	0	1.5	56	0
15	Nov_5_2012	40.13	41.56	41.46	41.52	41.59	41.73	41.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	30	6	-20	33.48	67%	0.07	-10.3	0.95%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Nov_2_2012	40.1	41.56	41.49	41.46	41.48	41.74	41.6(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	14	50	21	-7	53.94	73%	0.1	-10.1	1.02%	0	0.1	53	0
17	Nov_1_2012	40.06	41.55	41.49	41.35	41.41	41.46	41.82(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	10	21	-0	63.48	73%	0.07	-9.9	1.03%	0	0.7	59	0
18	Oct_31_2012	40.03	41.54	41.55	41.2	41.31	41.23	41.15(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	-13	-18	58.46	70%	0.2	-14.3	1.01%	0	-1	50	0
19	Oct_26_2012	39.95	41.57	41.59	41.35	41.27	41.37	41.21(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	10	-7	-5	36.21	77%	0.08	-3.4	1.05%	0	-1	47	0
20	Oct_25_2012	39.92	41.58	41.61	41.4	41.43	41.38	41.5(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10	2	-5	41.01	77%	0.1	-4.8	1.08%	0	-0.2	45	0

21	Oct_24_2012	39.88	41.58	41.6	41.54	41.47	41.17	41.08(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-60	-30	-14	35.06	77%	0.1	4.4	1.08%	0	-1.3	41	0
22	Oct_23_2012	39.84	41.59	41.61	41.77	41.69	41.47	41.04(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-40	-29	-2	58.44	69%	0.1	10.1	1.08%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Oct_22_2012	39.8	41.6	41.64	41.95	41.95	41.76	41.9(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-4	15	42.52	75%	0.13	14.9	1.1%	0	0.8	51	0
24	Oct_19_2012	39.75	41.59	41.61	41.88	41.96	41.9	41.5(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-0	-7	6	49.58	75%	0.1	7.1	1.11%	0	-0.3	47	0
25	Oct_18_2012	39.71	41.6	41.65	41.83	41.9	42.14	42.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	50	17	20	48.73	81%		-4.8	1.1%	0	1.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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