Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.8000 (0.14%) ($41.5900 - $42.0200) on Tue. Oct. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $41.8000(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.47(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.56(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.26(1.31%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2012	39.25	41.26		41.47	41.63	41.82	41.8(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	40	21	-10	36.83	73%	0.08	55.8	1.19%	0	0.6	62	0
2	Oct_1_2012	39.22	41.13	41.56	41.47	41.39	41.59	41.74(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	40	8	-10	40.3	73%	0.03	49.2	1.19%	0	0.6	64	0
3	Sep_28_2012	39.21	41.01	41.58	41.34	41.32	41.44	41.33(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	20	4	7	55.36	77%	0.03	43.4	1.3%	0	0.3	65	0
4	Sep_27_2012	39.2	40.9	41.68	41.43	41.38	41.2	41.58(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-30	-3	27	40.57	77%	0.03	38	1.3%	0	0.6	60	0
5	Sep_26_2012	39.19	40.79	41.68	41.45	41.49	41.19	40.92(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-50	-26	42	44.75	76%	0.03	33.7	1.29%	0	0.1	64	0

6	Sep_25_2012	39.18	40.73	41.71	41.65	41.64	41.57	41.12(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10	-17	80	49.65	72%	-0.03	34.8	1.29%	0	0.3	72	0
7	Sep_24_2012	39.19	40.66	41.68	41.81	41.75	41.78	41.74(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	-0	115	29.07	75%	0.03	35.8	1.3%	0	0.9	75	0
8	Sep_21_2012	39.18	40.57	41.53	41.85	41.81	41.78	41.78(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-20	-5	127	49.93	65%	-0.03	36.1	1.3%	0	1	72	0
9	Sep_20_2012	39.19	40.48	41.42	41.96	41.84	41.71	41.68(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-30	-13	138	46.22	65%	-0.03	38	1.44%	0	1.1	74	0
10	Sep_19_2012	39.2	40.4	41.24	42	42.07	41.91	41.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	46	-20	9	157	39.32	67%	0	41.5	1.44%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Sep_18_2012	39.2	40.32	40.94	41.77	41.9	41.97	41.93(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	5	138	37.26	67%	0	38	1.45%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Sep_17_2012	39.2	40.23	40.66	41.51	41.63	42.23	41.91(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	110	34	132	47.65	67%	-0.03	33.5	1.45%	0	1.8	66	0
13	Sep_14_2012	39.21	40.15	40.4	41.15	41.24	41.84	42.37(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	110	51	113	85.09	68%	0	24.2	1.45%	0	2.5	65	0
14	Sep_13_2012	39.21	40.05	40.04	40.8	40.71	41.02	41.88(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	50	32	77	95.67	68%	0	17	1.45%	0	2.5	63	0
15	Sep_12_2012	39.21	39.96	39.77	40.37	40.51	40.65	40.78(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	30	29	42	44.01	68%	-0.03	0	1.42%	0	1.3	51	0

16	Sep_11_2012	39.22	39.93	39.64	39.99	40.17	40.4	40.6(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	50	20	8	32.69	65%	-0.03	-17.9	1.44%	0	1.2	50	0
17	Sep_10_2012	39.23	39.91	39.53	39.68	39.76	40.37	40.12(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	110	27	-15	37.36	65%	-0.05	-31.5	1.44%	0	0.4	45	0
18	Sep_7_2012	39.25	39.94	39.51	39.52	39.47	39.94	40.64(2.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	29	80	46	-22	59.9	65%	-0.03	-32.7	1.44%	0	1.2	49	0
19	Sep_6_2012	39.26	39.93	39.43	39.17	39.17	39.14	39.73(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10	10	-65	47.87	66%	-0.08	-35.8	1.41%	0	-0.3	34	0
20	Sep_5_2012	39.29	39.96	39.49	39.1	39.06	39	38.86(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10	-15	-78	33.05	64%	-0.08	-30	1.43%	0	-1.8	27	0

21	Sep_4_2012	39.32	40.03	39.64	39.24	39.21	39.19	39.07(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-3	-66	32.63	64%	-0.15	-17	1.43%	0	-1.8	28	0
22	Aug_31_2012	39.38	40.1	39.78	39.35	39.32	39.11	39.28(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-40	-12	-62	41.55	60%	-0.1	-4.2	1.46%	0	-1.7	30	0
23	Aug_30_2012	39.42	40.13	39.9	39.51	39.45	39.23	38.91(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-33	-40	-23	-62	36.61	57%	-0.08	7.6	1.45%	0	-2.3	17	0
24	Aug_29_2012	39.45	40.13	40.08	39.73	39.69	39.53	39.37(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-16	-46	31.37	60%	-0.05	22.8	1.46%	0	-1.5	27	0
25	Aug_28_2012	39.47	40.14	40.18	39.94	39.87	39.67	39.56(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-40	-15	-34	24.38	60%		47	1.5%	0	-1.1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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