Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.2900 (0.27%) ($40.2300 - $40.5800) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $40.2900(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.66(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.27(2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.82(3.79%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	39.84	38.82	39.27	39.66	39.74	40.23	40.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	90	20	75	43.26	52%	-0.1	25.7	1.62%	0	1.8	59	NAN
2	Aug_6_2012	39.88	38.71	38.99	39.43	39.55	39.93	40.18(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	80	30	55	37.18	52%	-0.1	14	1.62%	0	2	58	NAN
3	Aug_3_2012	39.92	38.63	38.73	39.25	39.36	39.25	39.93(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10	7	30	60.51	51%	-0.1	4.2	1.63%	0	2	60	NAN
4	Aug_2_2012	39.96	38.56	38.58	39.17	39.25	39.17	38.73(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10	-10	21	50.87	48%	-0.12	10.8	1.58%	0	0.3	53	NAN
5	Aug_1_2012	40.01	38.59	38.62	39.12	39.36	39.46	39.19(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	21	44	49.85	48%	-0.12	21.1	1.58%	0	1	62	NAN

6	Jul_31_2012	40.06	38.59	38.57	38.8	39.04	39.33	39.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	70	21	31	58.79	48%	-0.12	23.1	1.59%	0	0.7	55	NAN
7	Jul_30_2012	40.11	38.62	38.54	38.46	38.61	39.26	39.3(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	130	36	25	41.41	48%	-0.1	23.1	1.59%	0	1	58	NAN
8	Jul_27_2012	40.15	38.6	38.44	38.12	38.16	38.74	39.53(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	31	110	39	5	50.86	48%	-0.12	17.8	1.59%	0	1.4	55	NAN
9	Jul_26_2012	40.2	38.5	38.32	37.93	37.74	37.96	38.45(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	30	6	-22	50.71	45%	-0.1	9	1.55%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
10	Jul_25_2012	40.24	38.5	38.26	38.07	37.82	37.58	37.6(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-60	-13	-38	34.49	43%	-0.12	2.2	1.52%	0	-1.2	34	NAN

11	Jul_24_2012	40.29	38.5	38.34	38.31	38.18	37.52	37.42(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-130	-33	-47	46.78	43%	-0.17	-2.7	1.52%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
12	Jul_23_2012	40.36	38.46	38.44	38.61	38.45	38.06	37.58(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-80	-38	-41	55.6	41%	-0.17	-3.1	1.52%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
13	Jul_20_2012	40.43	38.48	38.55	38.78	38.75	38.85	38.59(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	20	3	-21	43.77	43%	-0.15	-4.2	1.51%	0	0.2	45	NAN
14	Jul_19_2012	40.49	38.44	38.56	38.76	38.67	38.84	39.17(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	20	21	-3	44.7	43%	-0.15	-8.7	1.5%	0	1	64	NAN
15	Jul_18_2012	40.55	38.45	38.58	38.47	38.47	38.64	38.81(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	12	-6	47.42	43%	-0.12	-10	1.5%	0	0.5	60	NAN

16	Jul_17_2012	40.6	38.48	38.67	38.39	38.25	38.49	38.91(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	30	13	12	40.02	43%	-0.12	-3.8	1.5%	0	0.5	63	NAN
17	Jul_16_2012	40.65	38.49	38.69	38.25	38.17	38.3	38.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	7	21	26.28	43%	-0.15	0.5	1.49%	0	-0.1	62	NAN
18	Jul_13_2012	40.71	38.51	38.76	38.3	38.23	38	38.49(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-50	-5	33	37.18	42%	-0.12	7.9	1.49%	0	-0	56	NAN
19	Jul_12_2012	40.76	38.5	38.68	38.35	38.31	38.04	37.76(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-18	-50	-32	24	45.11	43%	-0.17	9.7	1.48%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
20	Jul_11_2012	40.83	38.52	38.69	38.7	38.58	38.47	38.4(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-19	32	37.13	44%	-0.12	22.1	1.51%	0	-0.1	42	NAN

21	Jul_10_2012	40.88	38.51	38.6	39	38.87	38.57	38.2(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-60	-16	30	48.65	43%	-0.07	38.9	1.51%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
22	Jul_9_2012	40.91	38.48	38.51	39.19	39.15	38.7	38.63(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-80	-21	21	34.53	41%	-0.12	47.1	1.53%	0	0.2	47	NAN
23	Jul_6_2012	40.96	38.45	38.43	39.29	39.26	39.17	38.77(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-20	-6	22	49.42	41%	-0.12	56.6	1.53%	0	0.4	49	NAN
24	Jul_5_2012	41.01	38.42	38.33	39.03	39.28	39.6	39.49(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	80	31	17	33.52	43%	-0.17	52.2	1.53%	0	1.2	58	NAN
25	Jul_3_2012	41.08	38.34	38.31	38.66	38.74	39.36	39.91(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	120	40	13	36.1	41%		43.3	1.53%	0	1.8	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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