Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $39.5700 (-0.33%) ($39.1800 - $39.8200) on Wed. Jun. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $39.5700(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(94%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.12(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.58(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.01(4.1%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.72%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.77%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2012	41.57	38.01	38.58	39.12	39.2	39.58	39.57(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	70	34	131	58.82	39%	-0.07	44.5	1.3%	0	1.9	64	0
2	Jun_19_2012	41.6	37.91	38.41	38.81	38.83	39.25	39.7(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	80	38	119	50.14	39%	-0.05	32.3	1.31%	0	2.4	66	0
3	Jun_18_2012	41.62	37.82	38.14	38.5	38.46	38.81	39.07(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	60	34	86	37.55	37%	-0.07	18.6	1.29%	0	2	55	0
4	Jun_15_2012	41.65	37.73	37.92	38.17	38.24	38.41	38.99(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	40	25	57	63.03	37%	-0.07	-16.9	1.29%	0	2.3	62	0
5	Jun_14_2012	41.68	37.65	37.68	37.96	38.02	38.12	38.28(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	20	5	28	46.47	33%	-0.1	-59.1	1.27%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Jun_13_2012	41.72	37.64	37.62	37.96	37.94	38.06	38.02(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	20	4	30	43.93	37%	-0.1	-80.8	1.28%	0	0.8	54	0
7	Jun_12_2012	41.76	37.67	37.57	37.95	38.04	37.91	38.16(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-20	15	32	54.03	37%	-0.1	-92	1.33%	0	0.9	52	0
8	Jun_11_2012	41.8	37.7	37.56	37.71	37.97	37.81	37.39(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10	-3	9	51.8	34%	-0.1	-109.4	1.31%	0	-0.5	44	0
9	Jun_8_2012	41.84	37.82	37.54	37.6	37.73	38.16	37.93(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	90	17	8	39.73	38%	-0.1	-97.5	1.3%	0	0.1	55	0
10	Jun_7_2012	41.88	37.94	37.48	37.36	37.48	38.12	38.26(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	34	130	46	-1	49.64	38%	-0.05	-93.3	1.33%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Jun_6_2012	41.9	38.02	37.39	37.24	37.05	37.29	38.03(2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	30	21	-25	55.3	36%	-0.07	-94.1	1.33%	0	0	48	0
12	Jun_5_2012	41.93	38.15	37.36	37.15	37.03	36.83	36.95(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-50	-13	-57	58.86	31%	-0.12	-91.4	1.33%	0	-1	36	0
13	Jun_4_2012	41.98	38.37	37.48	37.4	37.18	36.82	36.85(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-90	-25	-55	57.11	31%	-0.05	-79.2	1.34%	0	-1.1	33	0
14	Jun_1_2012	42	38.59	37.53	37.46	37.52	37.22	36.69(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-50	-19	-77	79.96	31%	-0.07	-77.3	1.34%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	May_31_2012	42.03	38.85	37.63	37.58	37.61	37.55	37.7(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10	-8	-96	66.54	32%	-0.05	-71.1	1.33%	0	-0.7	29	0

16	May_30_2012	42.05	39.08	37.68	37.55	37.55	37.82	37.54(-1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	50	5	-118	80.09	32%	-0.05	-65.7	1.32%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	May_29_2012	42.07	39.32	37.78	37.6	37.5	37.67	38.2(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	20	16	-135	71.18	34%	0.07	-60	1.32%	0	-0.6	29	0
18	May_25_2012	42.04	39.51	37.85	37.59	37.46	37.29	37.15(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-40	-7	-180	47.69	29%	-0.02	-55.8	1.26%	0	-1.2	16	0
19	May_24_2012	42.05	39.77	38.12	37.62	37.62	37.34	37.33(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-61	-50	-15	-197	57.71	29%	-0.05	-56.5	1.27%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	May_23_2012	42.07	40.02	38.43	37.68	37.66	37.63	37.52(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-68	-10	-20	-212	72.03	29%	-0.02	-57.4	1.28%	0	-1.3	17	0

21	May_22_2012	42.08	40.25	38.7	37.81	37.81	37.91	37.78(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-56	20	-1	-221	52.85	29%	-0.12	-59.1	1.28%	0	-1.4	17	0
22	May_21_2012	42.13	40.45	39	38	37.92	37.68	38.18(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-50	-15	-234	62.51	29%	0	-62.1	1.28%	0	-1.3	17	0
23	May_18_2012	42.13	40.62	39.32	38.18	38.18	37.72	37.29(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-102	-80	-50	-257	75.16	25%	0	-62.8	1.23%	0	-2	10	0
24	May_17_2012	42.13	40.89	39.73	38.71	38.6	38.15	37.65(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-102	-90	-57	-236	74.32	25%	0	-61.1	1.24%	0	-2.2	11	0
25	May_16_2012	42.13	41.12	40.18	39.28	39.14	38.65	38.17(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-86	-100	-47	-202	82.69	26%		-61.7	1.23%	0	-2.3	13	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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