Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $48.4800 (1.38%) ($48.2800 - $48.6300) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $48.4800(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.04(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.17(2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.73(3.74%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2011	47.41	46.73	47.17	48.04	48.04	48.14	48.48(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	10	21	126	49.54	39%	0.04	20.2	1.25%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Jul_6_2011	47.39	46.65	46.88	47.76	47.79	48.01	47.82(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	30	17	108	56.13	37%	0.06	10.9	1.23%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Jul_5_2011	47.36	46.62	46.75	47.53	47.55	47.94	48.14(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	60	41	100	51.38	37%	0.08	-2.2	1.23%	0	1.8	55	0
4	Jul_1_2011	47.32	46.56	46.5	47.11	47.09	47.57	48.16(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	70	47	73	44.64	40%	0.08	-20.7	1.23%	0	2	61	0
5	Jun_30_2011	47.28	46.53	46.25	46.58	46.61	47.17	47.6(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	90	48	36	46.19	41%	0.04	-36	1.23%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Jun_29_2011	47.26	46.54	46.05	46.17	46.17	46.61	47.09(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	31	70	43	-6	55.29	41%	0	-42.4	1.23%	0	0.7	45	0
7	Jun_28_2011	47.26	46.56	45.93	45.88	45.75	46.05	46.66(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	40	17	-44	45.6	41%	0	-41.5	1.24%	0	0.1	45	0
8	Jun_27_2011	47.26	46.64	45.96	45.86	45.61	45.72	46.03(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	0	9	-53	53.45	39%	0	-29.9	1.23%	0	-0.7	38	0
9	Jun_24_2011	47.26	46.73	45.99	45.8	45.76	45.46	45.5(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-50	-4	-70	44.23	39%	-0.02	-28.6	1.22%	0	-1.3	38	0
10	Jun_23_2011	47.27	46.82	46.09	45.86	45.75	45.51	45.58(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-40	-27	-90	63.56	41%	-0.02	-29.5	1.23%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	Jun_22_2011	47.28	46.88	46.27	45.89	45.75	46.05	45.64(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	20	-1	-85	40.59	41%	-0.04	-36.3	1.24%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Jun_21_2011	47.3	46.94	46.42	45.98	45.91	45.99	46.56(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	10	6	-85	48.52	46%	0.02	-38.7	1.21%	0	-0.5	41	0
13	Jun_20_2011	47.29	46.92	46.5	46.08	45.9	45.77	45.72(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-30	-17	-100	40.03	43%	0.02	-38.2	1.21%	0	-1.5	29	0
14	Jun_17_2011	47.28	47	46.64	46.22	46.27	45.83	45.79(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-17	-100	61.27	45%	-0.02	-35.2	1.21%	0	-1.6	38	0
15	Jun_16_2011	47.29	47.08	46.85	46.35	46.42	46.04	45.73(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-50	-46	-99	66.08	43%	-0.04	-36.4	1.22%	0	-1.9	42	0

16	Jun_15_2011	47.31	47.19	47.09	46.71	46.66	46.7	46.08(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	0	-18	-54	66.9	41%	0	-25.4	1.25%	0	-1.7	49	0
17	Jun_14_2011	47.31	47.24	47.25	46.92	46.91	46.81	47.09(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-20	5	-24	46.39	44%	0	-32.3	1.24%	0	-0.2	55	0
18	Jun_13_2011	47.31	47.23	47.39	46.99	46.94	46.62	46.39(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-50	-27	-11	37.67	41%	0	-39.5	1.22%	0	-1.4	55	0
19	Jun_10_2011	47.31	47.27	47.53	47.13	47.21	47	46.47(-2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-18	-30	-25	5	61.95	39%	0	-45.5	1.23%	0	-1.4	48	0
20	Jun_9_2011	47.31	47.34	47.63	47.41	47.4	47.26	47.5(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-20	-13	24	40.82	41%	0	-30.8	1.26%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Jun_8_2011	47.31	47.36	47.55	47.54	47.51	47.42	47.13(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-20	-12	22	63.86	42%	-0.02	-27	1.25%	0	-0.4	46	0
22	Jun_7_2011	47.32	47.44	47.51	47.64	47.7	47.53	47.47(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-13	24	58.09	41%	0	-19.1	1.26%	0	0	54	0
23	Jun_6_2011	47.32	47.48	47.51	47.85	47.81	47.61	47.1(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-30	-21	26	51.48	41%	-0.02	-20.4	1.27%	0	-0.5	53	0
24	Jun_3_2011	47.33	47.53	47.39	47.98	48.07	47.87	47.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-2	44	42.96	45%	0	-26.2	1.25%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Jun_2_2011	47.33	47.52	47.34	47.86	48.05	48.02	48.11(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	6	35	38.99	47%		-44.3	1.27%	0	0.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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