Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.0200 (-0.16%) ($42.9600 - $43.3100) on Fri. Sep. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $43.0200(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.19(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.6(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.58(3.46%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2010	40	41.58	42.6	43.19		43.09	43.02(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10	4	131	40.12	58%	0	45.3	1.4%	0	1.2	72	0
2	Sep_16_2010	40	41.48	42.46	43.04	43.15	43.11	43.09(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	0	8	144	36.08	58%	0.03	46.7	1.41%	0	1.4	77	0
3	Sep_15_2010	39.99	41.39	42.29	42.84	42.94	43.11	43.31(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	15	156	41.11	62%	0.05	49.1	1.4%	0	1.7	75	0
4	Sep_14_2010	39.97	41.29	41.98	42.55	42.69	43.2	43.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	90	37	146	65.15	62%	0	45.4	1.45%	0	1.9	72	0
5	Sep_13_2010	39.97	41.17	41.64	42.19	42.34	42.69	43.27(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	70	34	120	63.31	62%	0.03	33.6	1.45%	0	2.3	66	0

6	Sep_10_2010	39.96	41.03	41.35	41.94	41.95	42.18	42.26(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	40	12	96	33.24	63%	-0.03	22.8	1.42%	0	1.6	58	0
7	Sep_9_2010	39.97	40.94	41.09	41.79	41.9	42	42.11(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	20	17	75	34.93	63%	0	8.8	1.48%	0	1.6	56	0
8	Sep_8_2010	39.97	40.85	40.87	41.67	41.72	41.71	41.87(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	0	12	52	40.61	65%	-0.03	-8.2	1.48%	0	1.5	51	0
9	Sep_7_2010	39.98	40.83	40.69	41.3	41.55	41.81	41.42(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	21	24	45.21	65%	-0.1	-26.6	1.5%	0	0.9	48	0
10	Sep_3_2010	40.02	40.86	40.6	40.98	41.14	41.73	42.03(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	110	33	8	48.72	59%	-0.02	-36.1	1.56%	0	1.5	56	0

11	Sep_2_2010	40.03	40.85	40.48	40.68	40.65	41.29	41.54(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	31	110	42	-2	47.36	63%	-0.07	-43.5	1.56%	0	0.9	57	0
12	Sep_1_2010	40.06	40.87	40.42	40.29	40.33	40.55	41.47(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	40	32	-20	83.44	63%	-0.05	-48.8	1.61%	0	0.7	58	0
13	Aug_31_2010	40.08	40.9	40.4	39.97	40.01	40.02	40.06(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	0	-3	-44	72.41	59%	-0.07	-51.2	1.57%	0	-1	48	0
14	Aug_30_2010	40.11	41.01	40.53	39.99	39.96	40.11	39.82(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	20	-2	-45	48.06	59%	-0.1	-45.2	1.59%	0	-1.3	34	0
15	Aug_27_2010	40.15	41.14	40.66	40.15	39.97	40.01	40.49(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10	-1	-46	77.01	67%	-0.07	-37.7	1.59%	0	-0.8	33	0

16	Aug_26_2010	40.18	41.19	40.68	40.26	40.16	39.81	39.62(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-70	-16	-55	59.97	66%	-0.1	-34.2	1.73%	0	-1.9	27	0
17	Aug_25_2010	40.22	41.28	40.78	40.56	40.42	39.92	39.87(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-100	-33	-61	89.92	66%	-0.1	-24.7	1.73%	0	-1.9	28	0
18	Aug_24_2010	40.26	41.35	40.85	40.88	40.81	40.51	40.13(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-60	-25	-59	80.72	66%	-0.07	-4.9	1.73%	0	-1.8	28	0
19	Aug_23_2010	40.29	41.42	41.01	41.15	41.14	40.93	40.65(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-40	-10	-45	44.77	66%	0	16	1.73%	0	-1.2	32	0
20	Aug_20_2010	40.29	41.46	41.16	41.23	41.28	41.1	41.02(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-5	-41	54.13	61%	-0.05	37.2	1.77%	0	-0.7	32	0

21	Aug_19_2010	40.31	41.48	41.26	41.17	41.26	41.35	41.14(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	20	3	-34	56.73	61%	-0.02	53.1	1.88%	0	-0.6	49	0
22	Aug_18_2010	40.32	41.47	41.36	41.03	41.11	41.47	41.46(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	70	18	-29	38.01	59%	-0.02	47.4	1.88%	0	-0	54	0
23	Aug_17_2010	40.33	41.39	41.43	40.82	40.81	41.17	41.49(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	60	13	-32	39.42	59%	0	33.9	1.9%	0	0.1	55	0
24	Aug_16_2010	40.33	41.32	41.5	40.86	40.59	40.75	41.06(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	10	-2	-30	34.65	59%	0	31.2	1.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Aug_13_2010	40.33	41.24	41.64	41.11	40.8	40.46	40.68(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-80	-13	-17	28.67	56%		31.7	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.