Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.1500 (0.69%) ($40.4900 - $41.1900) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $41.1500(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.19(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.94(3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.31(4.68%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.57%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.38%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2010	40.3	39.31	39.94	40.19	40.24	40.76	41.15(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	90	28	51	65.68	50%	0.02	13.9	2.29%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Jul_22_2010	40.29	39.19	39.81	39.69	39.77	40.27	40.87(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	90	22	45	74.05	50%	0.02	-2.9	2.29%	0	1.8	73	0
3	Jul_21_2010	40.28	39.19	39.66	39.48	39.38	39.71	39.67(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	9	47	66.01	48%	0	-11	2.26%	0	0.6	70	0
4	Jul_20_2010	40.28	39.12	39.63	39.55	39.34	39.27	40.08(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-30	3	59	92.26	48%	0	-9.6	2.25%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Jul_19_2010	40.28	39.13	39.47	39.56	39.45	39.05	39.16(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-80	-13	51	46.72	46%	0	-0.4	2.24%	0	0	50	0

6	Jul_16_2010	40.28	39.17	39.35	39.66	39.7	39.4	38.65(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-18	43	99.5	44%	0	7.9	2.23%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Jul_15_2010	40.28	39.17	39.27	39.92	39.7	39.84	39.84(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-2	53	66.75	46%	0.02	21.7	2.23%	0	0.7	56	0
8	Jul_14_2010	40.27	39.22	39.03	39.85	39.87	40	40.03(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	7	40	46.62	47%	0.05	32.6	2.23%	0	0.9	51	0
9	Jul_13_2010	40.25	39.2	38.78	39.71	39.72	39.9	40.11(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	15	24	52.19	47%	0.02	40.8	2.24%	0	1	50	0
10	Jul_12_2010	40.24	39.14	38.67	39.37	39.42	39.74	39.65(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	3	53.21	47%	0	42	2.23%	0	0.5	41	0

11	Jul_9_2010	40.24	39.09	38.63	38.99	39.12	39.54	39.98(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	18	90	28	-11	43.78	47%	0	39.1	2.23%	0	1	49	0
12	Jul_8_2010	40.24	39.02	38.63	38.52	38.62	39.09	39.49(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	90	26	-35	60.96	47%	0	24.9	2.23%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Jul_7_2010	40.24	38.91	38.5	38.08	38.12	38.71	39.3(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	110	25	-55	68.04	47%	0	4.4	2.23%	0	0.4	45	0
14	Jul_6_2010	40.24	38.83	38.53	37.74	37.81	38.14	38.45(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	70	13	-75	76.52	47%	0	-4.9	2.21%	0	-0.4	38	0
15	Jul_2_2010	40.24	38.75	38.73	37.88	37.62	37.54	37.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-12	-71	63.85	47%	-0.02	-6.7	2.18%	0	-0.9	45	0

16	Jul_1_2010	40.25	38.73	38.95	38.21	38.01	37.49	37.59(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-110	-18	-54	113.35	49%	-0.02	-4.5	2.2%	0	-1	44	0
17	Jun_30_2010	40.26	38.79	39.17	38.49	38.47	37.7	37.32(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-140	-35	-44	84.18	49%	0	10.5	2.21%	0	-1.3	44	0
18	Jun_29_2010	40.26	38.87	39.45	38.96	38.87	38.54	37.57(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-70	-32	-8	120.42	51%	0	31.8	2.21%	0	-1.2	57	0
19	Jun_28_2010	40.26	38.88	39.7	39.41	39.33	39.24	39.16(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-9	35	36.25	54%	0.05	46.1	2.16%	0	0.3	67	0
20	Jun_25_2010	40.24	38.82	39.68	39.7	39.57	39.2	39.43(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-80	-13	60	60.66	54%	0.05	56.9	2.16%	0	0.6	74	0

21	Jun_24_2010	40.22	38.79	39.63	39.8	39.95	39.43	38.97(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-80	-18	74	82.64	52%	0	71.5	2.16%	0	0.2	65	0
22	Jun_23_2010	40.22	38.67	39.6	39.95	40.13	39.93	39.67(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-15	84	93.97	52%	0	64.3	2.15%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Jun_22_2010	40.22	38.52	39.38	40.01	40.17	40.48	39.83(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	70	5	87	100.34	52%	0	56	2.16%	0	1	57	0
24	Jun_21_2010	40.22	38.38	39.16	40.03	40.06	40.33	40.61(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	24	99	96.72	52%	0.07	48.5	2.14%	0	1.8	68	0
25	Jun_18_2010	40.19	38.21	38.77	39.66	39.76	39.86	39.92(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	30	10	70	64.64	52%		35.9	2.14%	0	1.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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