Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.1100 (1.16%) ($39.8900 - $40.2400) on Tue. Jul. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.1100(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.71(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.78(3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.2(2.32%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.21%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2010	40.25	39.2	38.78	39.71	39.72	39.9	40.11(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	15	24	52.19	47%	0.02	40.8	2.24%	0	1	50	0
2	Jul_12_2010	40.24	39.14	38.67	39.37	39.42	39.74	39.65(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	3	53.21	47%	0	42	2.23%	0	0.5	41	0
3	Jul_9_2010	40.24	39.09	38.63	38.99	39.12	39.54	39.98(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	18	90	28	-11	43.78	47%	0	39.1	2.23%	0	1	49	0
4	Jul_8_2010	40.24	39.02	38.63	38.52	38.62	39.09	39.49(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	90	26	-35	60.96	47%	0	24.9	2.23%	0	0.5	47	0
5	Jul_7_2010	40.24	38.91	38.5	38.08	38.12	38.71	39.3(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	110	25	-55	68.04	47%	0	4.4	2.23%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Jul_6_2010	40.24	38.83	38.53	37.74	37.81	38.14	38.45(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	70	13	-75	76.52	47%	0	-4.9	2.21%	0	-0.4	38	0
7	Jul_2_2010	40.24	38.75	38.73	37.88	37.62	37.54	37.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-12	-71	63.85	47%	-0.02	-6.7	2.18%	0	-0.9	45	0
8	Jul_1_2010	40.25	38.73	38.95	38.21	38.01	37.49	37.59(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-110	-18	-54	113.35	49%	-0.02	-4.5	2.2%	0	-1	44	0
9	Jun_30_2010	40.26	38.79	39.17	38.49	38.47	37.7	37.32(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-140	-35	-44	84.18	49%	0	10.5	2.21%	0	-1.3	44	0
10	Jun_29_2010	40.26	38.87	39.45	38.96	38.87	38.54	37.57(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-70	-32	-8	120.42	51%	0	31.8	2.21%	0	-1.2	57	0

11	Jun_28_2010	40.26	38.88	39.7	39.41	39.33	39.24	39.16(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-9	35	36.25	54%	0.05	46.1	2.16%	0	0.3	67	0
12	Jun_25_2010	40.24	38.82	39.68	39.7	39.57	39.2	39.43(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-80	-13	60	60.66	54%	0.05	56.9	2.16%	0	0.6	74	0
13	Jun_24_2010	40.22	38.79	39.63	39.8	39.95	39.43	38.97(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-80	-18	74	82.64	52%	0	71.5	2.16%	0	0.2	65	0
14	Jun_23_2010	40.22	38.67	39.6	39.95	40.13	39.93	39.67(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-15	84	93.97	52%	0	64.3	2.15%	0	0.8	57	0
15	Jun_22_2010	40.22	38.52	39.38	40.01	40.17	40.48	39.83(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	70	5	87	100.34	52%	0	56	2.16%	0	1	57	0

16	Jun_21_2010	40.22	38.38	39.16	40.03	40.06	40.33	40.61(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	24	99	96.72	52%	0.07	48.5	2.14%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Jun_18_2010	40.19	38.21	38.77	39.66	39.76	39.86	39.92(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	30	10	70	64.64	52%	0.02	35.9	2.14%	0	1.5	60	0
18	Jun_17_2010	40.18	38.02	38.49	39.43	39.54	39.79	39.74(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	50	14	54	68.66	52%	0.02	13.9	2.14%	0	1.5	54	0
19	Jun_16_2010	40.17	37.93	38.36	39.19	39.18	39.65	39.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	35	80	26	63	63.91	52%	0.02	-2.1	2.14%	0	1.9	66	0
20	Jun_15_2010	40.16	37.83	38.21	38.66	38.82	39.3	39.94(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	100	33	59	96.5	52%	0	-26.2	2.15%	0	2.2	66	0

21	Jun_14_2010	40.16	37.78	37.95	38.16	38.31	38.72	38.77(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	90	26	40	83.99	50%	-0.02	-51	2.12%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Jun_11_2010	40.17	37.8	37.87	37.73	37.84	38.34	38.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	100	23	27	66.5	50%	-0.05	-55.5	2.12%	0	1	57	0
23	Jun_10_2010	40.19	37.86	37.85	37.73	37.49	37.91	38.56(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	80	16	29	92.86	50%	-0.07	-47.9	2.12%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Jun_9_2010	40.22	37.95	37.65	37.42	37.3	37.33	37.26(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-0	-6	10	87.95	47%	-0.15	-38.5	2.07%	0	-0.6	47	0
25	Jun_8_2010	40.28	38.09	37.59	37.71	37.59	37.08	37.46(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-100	-8	10	108.44	47%		-31.1	2.07%	0	-0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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