Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.5100 (0.02%) ($41.0400 - $41.5500) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $41.5100(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    SPY(79%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.23(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.53(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.84(4.19%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.02%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	40.44	39.84	40.53	41.23	41.21	41.38	41.51(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	18	126	42.42	51%	0.02	99.2	1.5%	0	1.7	69	0
2	Mar_10_2010	40.43	39.66	40.25	40.91	41.04	41.24	41.5(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	40	23	101	73.99	51%	0.02	83.5	1.5%	0	1.9	64	0
3	Mar_9_2010	40.42	39.48	39.98	40.63	40.68	41.04	41.21(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	70	18	80	66.76	51%	-0.02	72.2	1.5%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Mar_8_2010	40.43	39.26	39.71	40.41	40.48	40.85	40.98(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	70	32	65	56.72	49%	0	49.2	1.5%	0	1.8	63	0
5	Mar_5_2010	40.43	39.08	39.54	40.13	40.24	40.32	40.95(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	26	57	78.18	49%	0	36.8	1.51%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Mar_4_2010	40.43	38.91	39.37	39.74	39.95	40.11	39.91(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	40	14	35	61.07	46%	-0.05	21.8	1.49%	0	1.1	59	0
7	Mar_3_2010	40.45	38.87	39.34	39.47	39.65	40.15	40.12(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	100	31	44	68.78	46%	0	16.2	1.49%	0	1.4	68	0
8	Mar_2_2010	40.45	38.83	39.27	39.22	39.14	39.79	40.07(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	110	39	48	66.35	46%	0	11.9	1.49%	0	1.4	66	0
9	Mar_1_2010	40.45	38.79	39.2	38.91	38.83	39.14	39.62(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	26	50	73.15	49%	0	-0.5	1.49%	0	1	71	0
10	Feb_26_2010	40.45	38.72	39.2	38.87	38.68	38.49	38.96(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-50	-8	44	65.73	43%	-0.02	-9.4	1.58%	0	0.3	65	0

11	Feb_25_2010	40.46	38.7	39.08	38.96	38.87	38.53	38.57(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-24	55	73.64	43%	-0.02	-16.5	1.58%	0	-0.2	59	0
12	Feb_24_2010	40.47	38.72	39.04	39.19	39.15	38.87	38.89(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-50	-18	58	73.04	43%	0	-24.1	1.59%	0	0.2	47	0
13	Feb_23_2010	40.47	38.73	38.96	39.32	39.32	39.21	38.52(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-20	-16	55	103.22	46%	-0.02	-39.6	1.58%	0	-0.3	43	0
14	Feb_22_2010	40.48	38.73	38.82	39.51	39.49	39.43	39.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	8	53	56.45	48%	0.05	-43.2	1.58%	0	0.7	50	0
15	Feb_19_2010	40.46	38.79	38.6	39.31	39.41	39.44	39.38(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	5	33	77.27	46%	0.05	-63.8	1.58%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Feb_18_2010	40.44	38.84	38.43	39.22	39.13	39.55	39.72(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	70	22	25	61.6	46%	0.02	-71.5	1.59%	0	0.9	55	0
17	Feb_17_2010	40.43	38.92	38.37	38.86	38.88	39.38	39.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	90	39	16	63.63	46%	0	-71.9	1.6%	0	0.6	53	0
18	Feb_16_2010	40.43	39.06	38.35	38.55	38.46	38.71	39.43(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	34	2	73.2	49%	0.1	-65.1	1.6%	0	0.3	51	0
19	Feb_12_2010	40.39	39.17	38.31	38.03	38.14	38.37	38.44(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	50	18	-38	63.05	44%	0	-72.6	1.6%	0	-0.5	41	0
20	Feb_11_2010	40.39	39.35	38.29	37.78	37.85	38.22	38.93(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	70	25	-60	90.21	44%	0.02	-72.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	45	0

21	Feb_10_2010	40.38	39.52	38.26	37.52	37.48	37.92	37.93(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	80	3	-101	84.65	41%	-0.05	-73.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	34	0
22	Feb_9_2010	40.4	39.74	38.36	37.82	37.54	37.48	38.03(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-30	-5	-114	133.34	45%	-0.02	-69.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	29	0
23	Feb_8_2010	40.41	39.99	38.46	38.14	37.96	37.05	36.83(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-180	-44	-145	78.75	41%	-0.05	-61.9	1.6%	0	-1.6	18	0
24	Feb_5_2010	40.43	40.31	38.78	38.63	38.55	37.61	37.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-180	-56	-144	165.91	44%	-0.05	-53.2	1.59%	0	-1.7	26	0
25	Feb_4_2010	40.45	40.6	39.03	38.85	39.04	38.86	37.62(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-20	-29	-145	131.79	46%		-49.2	1.61%	0	-1.7	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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