Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.9800 (0.07%) ($40.9200 - $41.1900) on Mon. Mar. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $40.9800(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    SPY(79%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.41(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.71(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.26(4.38%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2010	40.43	39.26	39.71	40.41	40.48	40.85	40.98(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	70	32	65	56.72	49%	0	49.2	1.5%	0	1.8	63	NAN
2	Mar_5_2010	40.43	39.08	39.54	40.13	40.24	40.32	40.95(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	26	57	78.18	49%	0	36.8	1.51%	0	1.9	70	NAN
3	Mar_4_2010	40.43	38.91	39.37	39.74	39.95	40.11	39.91(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	40	14	35	61.07	46%	-0.05	21.8	1.49%	0	1.1	59	NAN
4	Mar_3_2010	40.45	38.87	39.34	39.47	39.65	40.15	40.12(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	100	31	44	68.78	46%	0	16.2	1.49%	0	1.4	68	NAN
5	Mar_2_2010	40.45	38.83	39.27	39.22	39.14	39.79	40.07(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	110	39	48	66.35	46%	0	11.9	1.49%	0	1.4	66	NAN

6	Mar_1_2010	40.45	38.79	39.2	38.91	38.83	39.14	39.62(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	26	50	73.15	49%	0	-0.5	1.49%	0	1	71	NAN
7	Feb_26_2010	40.45	38.72	39.2	38.87	38.68	38.49	38.96(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-50	-8	44	65.73	43%	-0.02	-9.4	1.58%	0	0.3	65	NAN
8	Feb_25_2010	40.46	38.7	39.08	38.96	38.87	38.53	38.57(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-24	55	73.64	43%	-0.02	-16.5	1.58%	0	-0.2	59	NAN
9	Feb_24_2010	40.47	38.72	39.04	39.19	39.15	38.87	38.89(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-50	-18	58	73.04	43%	0	-24.1	1.59%	0	0.2	47	NAN
10	Feb_23_2010	40.47	38.73	38.96	39.32	39.32	39.21	38.52(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-20	-16	55	103.22	46%	-0.02	-39.6	1.58%	0	-0.3	43	NAN

11	Feb_22_2010	40.48	38.73	38.82	39.51	39.49	39.43	39.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	8	53	56.45	48%	0.05	-43.2	1.58%	0	0.7	50	NAN
12	Feb_19_2010	40.46	38.79	38.6	39.31	39.41	39.44	39.38(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	5	33	77.27	46%	0.05	-63.8	1.58%	0	0.7	56	NAN
13	Feb_18_2010	40.44	38.84	38.43	39.22	39.13	39.55	39.72(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	70	22	25	61.6	46%	0.02	-71.5	1.59%	0	0.9	55	NAN
14	Feb_17_2010	40.43	38.92	38.37	38.86	38.88	39.38	39.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	90	39	16	63.63	46%	0	-71.9	1.6%	0	0.6	53	NAN
15	Feb_16_2010	40.43	39.06	38.35	38.55	38.46	38.71	39.43(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	34	2	73.2	49%	0.1	-65.1	1.6%	0	0.3	51	NAN

16	Feb_12_2010	40.39	39.17	38.31	38.03	38.14	38.37	38.44(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	50	18	-38	63.05	44%	0	-72.6	1.6%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
17	Feb_11_2010	40.39	39.35	38.29	37.78	37.85	38.22	38.93(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	70	25	-60	90.21	44%	0.02	-72.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
18	Feb_10_2010	40.38	39.52	38.26	37.52	37.48	37.92	37.93(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	80	3	-101	84.65	41%	-0.05	-73.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
19	Feb_9_2010	40.4	39.74	38.36	37.82	37.54	37.48	38.03(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-30	-5	-114	133.34	45%	-0.02	-69.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
20	Feb_8_2010	40.41	39.99	38.46	38.14	37.96	37.05	36.83(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-180	-44	-145	78.75	41%	-0.05	-61.9	1.6%	0	-1.6	18	NAN

21	Feb_5_2010	40.43	40.31	38.78	38.63	38.55	37.61	37.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-180	-56	-144	165.91	44%	-0.05	-53.2	1.59%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
22	Feb_4_2010	40.45	40.6	39.03	38.85	39.04	38.86	37.62(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-20	-29	-145	131.79	46%	-0.02	-49.2	1.61%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
23	Feb_3_2010	40.46	40.88	39.32	39.06	39.16	39.49	39.4(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	70	15	-144	64.33	50%	0.02	-43.7	1.52%	0	-0.9	30	NAN
24	Feb_2_2010	40.45	41.06	39.53	38.98	39.02	39.21	39.63(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	40	19	-155	91.74	50%	0.05	-41	1.52%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
25	Feb_1_2010	40.43	41.21	39.82	38.87	38.86	38.84	39.31(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-0	-1	-172	81.93	50%		-39.3	1.53%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.