Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.0200 (0.73%) ($42.7600 - $43.1700) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $43.0200(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    SPY(79%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.95(2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.43(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.24(4.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.04%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2010	39.51	41.24	41.43	41.95	42.06	42.71	43.02(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	120	36	60	50.2	56%	0.23	21.5	1.74%	0	2.5	60	0
2	Jan_4_2010	39.42	41.16	41.15	41.62	41.65	42.01	42.71(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	60	30	35	70.76	56%	0.28	23.9	1.76%	0	2.7	61	0
3	Dec_31_2009	39.31	41.09	40.9	41.32	41.38	41.42	41.5(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	10	6	36.51	51%	0.15	8.9	1.73%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Dec_30_2009	39.25	41.1	40.88	41.17	41.27	41.28	41.36(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	10	6	2	30.59	51%	0.15	6	1.77%	0	0.5	55	0
5	Dec_29_2009	39.19	41.11	40.85	40.98	41.13	41.33	41.18(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	50	11	-2	31.57	51%	0.13	-3.3	1.77%	0	0.1	56	0

6	Dec_28_2009	39.14	41.08	40.89	40.81	40.87	41.25	41.34(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	13	70	19	-6	27.34	51%	0.2	-14.5	1.77%	0	0.5	47	0
7	Dec_24_2009	39.06	41.03	40.88	40.61	40.64	40.92	41.2(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	50	21	-18	19.69	49%	0.1	-29.1	1.76%	0	0.3	42	0
8	Dec_23_2009	39.02	41.05	40.87	40.42	40.43	40.48	40.79(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	10	1	-37	48.97	49%	0.1	-36	1.77%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Dec_22_2009	38.98	41.07	40.89	40.55	40.38	40.35	40.39(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-20	-10	-42	61.63	49%	0.1	-35.3	1.78%	0	-1.2	36	0
10	Dec_21_2009	38.94	41.13	40.93	40.71	40.69	40.38	40.31(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-50	-11	-43	54.92	49%	0.1	-32.8	1.79%	0	-1.5	37	0

11	Dec_18_2009	38.9	41.16	41.05	40.98	40.9	40.4	40.36(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-90	-27	-32	61.83	49%	0.13	-24	1.79%	0	-1.5	51	0
12	Dec_17_2009	38.85	41.19	41.2	41.17	41.21	41.01	40.25(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-30	-20	-8	77.32	49%	0.15	-10.5	1.79%	0	-1.8	54	0
13	Dec_16_2009	38.79	41.26	41.33	41.36	41.42	41.4	41.44(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	0	3	8	45.98	54%	0.15	2.7	1.76%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Dec_15_2009	38.73	41.28	41.36	41.27	41.33	41.42	41.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	20	4	9	47.04	54%	0.13	5.9	1.78%	0	-0.2	50	0
15	Dec_14_2009	38.68	41.32	41.41	41.17	41.21	41.44	41.63(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	40	9	8	54.21	54%	0.16	8.7	1.78%	0	0.6	51	0

16	Dec_11_2009	38.62	41.29	41.3	41.14	41.04	41.24	41.35(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	30	3	3	41.52	54%	0.16	20.2	1.78%	0	0.1	56	0
17	Dec_10_2009	38.56	41.29	41.19	41.24	41.11	40.99	41.2(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-30	-1	1	43.13	54%	0.18	29.3	1.78%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Dec_9_2009	38.49	41.24	41.24	41.29	41.32	40.84	40.96(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-80	-20	-3	62.36	54%	0.16	51.9	1.78%	0	-0.5	46	0
19	Dec_8_2009	38.43	41.25	41.27	41.47	41.57	41.24	40.71(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-50	-25	-2	76.09	55%	0.16	84.2	1.78%	0	-1	43	0
20	Dec_7_2009	38.37	41.27	41.36	41.66	41.81	41.79	41.48(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	10	2	14	78.38	57%	0.21	122.1	1.78%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Dec_4_2009	38.29	41.18	41.28	41.47	41.8	41.9	41.84(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	40	18	9	108.67	59%	0.24	111	1.79%	0	1	55	0
22	Dec_3_2009	38.2	41.08	41.28	41.13	41.41	41.83	41.46(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	90	10	-6	65.37	60%	0.21	90.6	1.8%	0	0.5	58	0
23	Dec_2_2009	38.12	40.96	41.18	41.19	40.94	41.7	41.85(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	110	24	4	64.27	60%	0.29	85.2	1.81%	0	1.1	53	0
24	Dec_1_2009	38.01	40.79	41.17	41.07	40.87	40.98	41.68(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	0	25	6	88.99	58%	0.29	62.4	1.81%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Nov_30_2009	37.9	40.62	41.2	41.03	40.77	40.19	40.52(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-120	-21	-7	102.17	54%		46.4	1.81%	0	-0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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