Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.8400 (0.92%) ($41.3000 - $42.5200) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $41.8400(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    EWG(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.47(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.28(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.18(1.6%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.75%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2009	38.29	41.18	41.28	41.47	41.8	41.9	41.84(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	40	18	9	108.67	59%	0.24	111	1.79%	0	1	55	NAN
2	Dec_3_2009	38.2	41.08	41.28	41.13	41.41	41.83	41.46(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	90	10	-6	65.37	60%	0.21	90.6	1.8%	0	0.5	58	NAN
3	Dec_2_2009	38.12	40.96	41.18	41.19	40.94	41.7	41.85(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	110	24	4	64.27	60%	0.29	85.2	1.81%	0	1.1	53	NAN
4	Dec_1_2009	38.01	40.79	41.17	41.07	40.87	40.98	41.68(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	0	25	6	88.99	58%	0.29	62.4	1.81%	0	0.9	54	NAN
5	Nov_30_2009	37.9	40.62	41.2	41.03	40.77	40.19	40.52(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-120	-21	-7	102.17	54%	0.24	46.4	1.81%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

6	Nov_27_2009	37.81	40.49	41.26	41.06	41.06	40.76	40.13(-3.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-16	-50	-23	4	105.9	54%	0.42	29.9	1.81%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
7	Nov_25_2009	37.65	40.46	41.3	41.2	41.22	40.76	41.75(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	20	4	27	56.19	58%	0.29	25.3	1.72%	0	0.9	65	NAN
8	Nov_24_2009	37.54	40.26	41.25	41.17	41.05	41.35	41.27(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	1	44	71.68	58%	0.24	15.6	1.72%	0	0.7	67	NAN
9	Nov_23_2009	37.45	40.18	41.22	41.3	41.2	41.09	41.5(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-30	6	75	62.39	58%	0.11	14	1.72%	0	1	72	NAN
10	Nov_20_2009	37.41	40.18	41.18	41.41	41.24	40.75	40.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-100	-24	95	66.35	56%	0.24	12.5	1.71%	0	0.4	70	NAN

11	Nov_19_2009	37.32	40.1	41.1	41.49	41.56	41.31	40.82(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-40	-9	123	119.41	56%	0.21	13.8	1.72%	0	0.5	74	NAN
12	Nov_18_2009	37.24	40.11	41	41.39	41.54	41.72	41.59(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	4	131	46.36	60%	0.27	11.4	1.7%	0	1.1	61	NAN
13	Nov_17_2009	37.14	40.05	40.75	41.33	41.28	41.8	41.92(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	80	21	147	49.65	56%	0.24	7.6	1.71%	0	1.4	70	NAN
14	Nov_16_2009	37.05	39.99	40.38	41.13	41.18	41.35	42.07(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	30	26	127	101.09	56%	0.27	5.9	1.78%	0	1.6	59	NAN
15	Nov_13_2009	36.95	39.94	39.99	40.94	40.92	40.75	41.04(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-30	0	94	70.03	54%	0.24	6.9	1.78%	0	0.9	52	NAN

16	Nov_12_2009	36.86	39.92	39.65	40.66	40.91	41.02	40.35(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	40	7	60	75.71	54%	0.24	3.6	1.78%	0	0.3	48	NAN
17	Nov_11_2009	36.77	39.96	39.55	40.53	40.61	41.09	41.27(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	90	30	51	69.18	56%	0.3	6	1.76%	0	1	49	NAN
18	Nov_10_2009	36.66	39.95	39.19	40.06	40.12	40.79	40.92(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	120	42	10	62.72	56%	0.27	3.5	1.77%	0	0.8	49	NAN
19	Nov_9_2009	36.56	39.91	39.03	39.51	39.66	40.13	41.11(3.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	31	90	49	-25	106.76	56%	0.27	-5.6	1.78%	0	1	49	NAN
20	Nov_6_2009	36.46	39.86	38.91	38.91	38.93	39.45	39.65(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	100	26	-75	58.87	53%	0.22	-14.3	1.73%	0	-0.2	40	NAN

21	Nov_5_2009	36.38	39.87	38.99	38.5	38.58	39.19	39.7(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	120	29	-95	75.49	53%	0.22	-16.6	1.73%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
22	Nov_4_2009	36.3	39.88	39.1	38.44	38.3	38.42	38.9(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	10	20	-106	95.72	51%	0.19	-10.6	1.72%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
23	Nov_3_2009	36.23	39.91	39.28	38.21	38.29	37.97	38.19(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-50	-17	-140	71.91	53%	0.17	-14.8	1.71%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
24	Nov_2_2009	36.17	39.98	39.55	38.48	38.43	38.19	38.13(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-50	-31	-126	137.97	53%	0.11	-5.9	1.77%	0	-1.6	43	NAN
25	Oct_30_2009	36.13	40.03	39.89	38.9	38.88	38.6	37.57(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-50	-31	-99	222.48	55%		4.7	1.76%	0	-2.1	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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