Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.7500 (-1.38%) ($40.3500 - $40.9200) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $40.7500(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    EWG(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.81(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.17(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.34(3.58%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.01%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2009	35.49	39.34	40.17	40.81	40.82	40.95	40.75(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	20	-1	123	72.39	66%	0.23	57.3	1.55%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Oct_15_2009	35.41	39.25	39.89	40.63	40.69	41.25	41.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	100	35	130	72.5	70%	0.28	60.8	1.53%	0	2.1	77	0
3	Oct_14_2009	35.31	39.12	39.55	40.33	40.34	40.7	41.55(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	55	60	37	108	96.05	70%	0.28	65.8	1.65%	0	2.8	80	0
4	Oct_13_2009	35.21	38.98	39.26	39.89	39.95	40.14	40.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	40	14	82	58.38	68%	0.14	77.2	1.61%	0	1.8	63	0
5	Oct_12_2009	35.16	38.87	39.1	39.71	39.74	39.99	40.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	50	20	71	38.02	68%	0.23	80	1.61%	0	1.9	55	0

6	Oct_9_2009	35.08	38.75	38.93	39.43	39.53	39.77	39.85(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	50	28	58	54.14	68%	0.26	82.4	1.62%	0	1.7	58	0
7	Oct_8_2009	34.99	38.65	38.75	39.03	39.19	39.48	39.82(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	60	28	30	62.07	68%	0.2	84.8	1.63%	0	1.9	55	0
8	Oct_7_2009	34.92	38.55	38.56	38.63	38.67	39.29	39.34(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	14	120	19	-3	51.4	68%	0.23	90.4	1.64%	0	1.3	52	0
9	Oct_6_2009	34.84	38.45	38.48	38.55	38.44	38.9	39.38(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	23	80	32	-6	80.65	68%	0.23	103	1.67%	0	1.5	51	0
10	Oct_5_2009	34.76	38.34	38.45	38.41	38.33	38.04	38.74(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-60	2	-17	73.83	68%	0.23	117.3	1.67%	0	0.7	55	0

11	Oct_2_2009	34.68	38.23	38.44	38.37	38.39	37.98	37.86(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-70	-24	-21	73.69	62%	0.23	100	1.66%	0	-0.5	54	0
12	Oct_1_2009	34.6	38.14	38.56	38.42	38.59	38.61	37.85(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	20	-5	-2	107.07	62%	0.23	79.7	1.7%	0	-0.3	52	0
13	Sep_30_2009	34.52	38.01	38.67	38.44	38.51	38.8	38.91(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	60	11	15	147.15	66%	0.23	59.6	1.67%	0	0.8	61	0
14	Sep_29_2009	34.44	37.81	38.69	38.39	38.37	38.56	38.67(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	30	5	25	42.2	66%	0.23	44.8	1.68%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Sep_28_2009	34.36	37.65	38.64	38.51	38.46	38.23	38.58(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-50	-3	38	52.27	66%	0.2	40.9	1.68%	0	0.7	65	0

16	Sep_25_2009	34.29	37.52	38.57	38.54	38.65	38.19	38.09(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-70	-22	44	61.31	68%	0.23	40.5	1.68%	0	0.4	68	0
17	Sep_24_2009	34.21	37.43	38.55	38.72	38.77	38.68	37.93(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-22	72	93.48	68%	0.21	45.8	1.71%	0	0.3	72	0
18	Sep_23_2009	34.14	37.35	38.56	38.92	38.95	39.11	38.69(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	30	5	121	72.56	71%	0.23	53.1	1.7%	0	0.9	83	0
19	Sep_22_2009	34.06	37.23	38.44	39.01	38.94	38.87	39.28(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-20	8	155	46.29	66%	0.24	61.2	1.69%	0	1.4	90	0
20	Sep_21_2009	33.98	37.08	38.22	38.79	39.04	38.78	38.69(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-30	1	156	78.14	66%	0.3	68.1	1.75%	0	1.2	78	0

21	Sep_18_2009	33.88	36.96	38.01	38.59	38.9	39.02	39.03(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	50	5	155	66.82	66%	0.3	69.1	1.75%	0	1.6	71	0
22	Sep_17_2009	33.78	36.79	37.68	38.36	38.52	39.3	38.92(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	150	27	151	76.63	66%	0.33	66.6	1.75%	0	1.8	68	0
23	Sep_16_2009	33.67	36.6	37.3	38.14	38.24	38.77	39.13(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	100	51	142	80.17	66%	0.39	63.1	1.75%	0	2.2	69	0
24	Sep_15_2009	33.54	36.39	36.86	37.79	37.63	37.74	38.17(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	10	94	61.6	59%	0.33	59.4	1.75%	0	1.7	64	0
25	Sep_14_2009	33.43	36.2	36.57	37.58	37.48	37.71	37.72(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	15	75	36.75	59%		46.3	1.81%	0	1.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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