Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $38.6900 (-1.5%) ($38.6900 - $39.5100) on Wed. Sep. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $38.6900(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    EWG(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.92(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.56(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.35(3.59%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   26.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.88% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2009	34.14	37.35	38.56	38.92	38.95	39.11	38.69(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	30	5	121	72.56	71%	0.23	53.1	1.7%	0	0.9	83	0
2	Sep_22_2009	34.06	37.23	38.44	39.01	38.94	38.87	39.28(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-20	8	155	46.29	66%	0.24	61.2	1.69%	0	1.4	90	0
3	Sep_21_2009	33.98	37.08	38.22	38.79	39.04	38.78	38.69(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-30	1	156	78.14	66%	0.3	68.1	1.75%	0	1.2	78	0
4	Sep_18_2009	33.88	36.96	38.01	38.59	38.9	39.02	39.03(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	50	5	155	66.82	66%	0.3	69.1	1.75%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Sep_17_2009	33.78	36.79	37.68	38.36	38.52	39.3	38.92(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	150	27	151	76.63	66%	0.33	66.6	1.75%	0	1.8	68	0

6	Sep_16_2009	33.67	36.6	37.3	38.14	38.24	38.77	39.13(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	100	51	142	80.17	66%	0.39	63.1	1.75%	0	2.2	69	0
7	Sep_15_2009	33.54	36.39	36.86	37.79	37.63	37.74	38.17(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	10	94	61.6	59%	0.33	59.4	1.75%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Sep_14_2009	33.43	36.2	36.57	37.58	37.48	37.71	37.72(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	15	75	36.75	59%	0.3	46.3	1.81%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Sep_11_2009	33.33	36.09	36.39	37.32	37.37	37.53	37.86(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	30	28	65	45.29	59%	0.3	38.3	1.82%	0	1.8	63	0
10	Sep_10_2009	33.23	36	36.21	36.89	36.93	37.25	37.84(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	60	25	46	58.47	59%	0.33	29.5	1.83%	0	2.1	67	0

11	Sep_9_2009	33.12	35.89	36.03	36.32	36.52	37.21	37.35(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	150	43	34	67.1	59%	0.33	9.4	1.83%	0	1.9	69	0
12	Sep_8_2009	33.01	35.79	35.91	35.78	35.91	36.61	37.15(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	35	150	41	17	59.87	59%	0.46	-20.2	1.83%	0	2	68	0
13	Sep_4_2009	32.86	35.73	35.83	35.41	35.42	35.83	36.4(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	80	23	9	58.98	58%	0.24	-45.5	1.82%	0	1.1	70	0
14	Sep_3_2009	32.78	35.72	35.8	35.34	35.22	35.21	35.71(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10	0	0	53.73	52%	0.24	-44.8	1.82%	0	-0	50	0
15	Sep_2_2009	32.7	35.74	35.81	35.44	35.38	35	35.01(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-80	-18	-7	68.41	50%	0.21	-35.8	1.86%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Sep_1_2009	32.63	35.82	35.84	35.69	35.67	35.23	34.64(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-90	-29	-3	95.73	54%	0.21	-13.3	1.86%	0	-1.8	44	0
17	Aug_31_2009	32.56	35.93	35.91	36.04	35.94	35.76	35.31(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-40	-21	15	72.35	56%	0.09	10.7	1.91%	0	-1	51	0
18	Aug_28_2009	32.53	36.01	35.83	36.27	36.26	36.1	36.02(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-4	19	51.68	58%	0.25	31.4	1.9%	0	0	49	0
19	Aug_27_2009	32.45	36	35.8	36.33	36.37	36.12	36.21(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-40	-6	15	59.72	58%	0.31	36.6	1.94%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Aug_26_2009	32.35	35.98	35.81	36.24	36.41	36.42	36.28(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	20	4	16	57.21	58%	0.31	31.2	1.94%	0	0.4	50	0

21	Aug_25_2009	32.25	35.9	35.75	36.02	36.24	36.61	36.39(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	90	20	6	61.42	58%	0.28	23.3	1.95%	0	0.7	49	0
22	Aug_24_2009	32.16	35.86	35.65	35.76	35.77	36.41	36.47(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	22	130	33	-11	58.47	58%	0.31	18.7	1.96%	0	0.9	47	0
23	Aug_21_2009	32.06	35.82	35.65	35.33	35.35	35.86	36.31(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	100	29	-41	81.21	58%	0.28	7.6	1.96%	0	0.7	43	0
24	Aug_20_2009	31.97	35.77	35.6	35.21	34.89	35.14	35.77(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	20	3	-52	71.35	58%	0.31	15.4	1.97%	0	0	51	0
25	Aug_19_2009	31.87	35.76	35.64	35.33	35.01	34.83	35.16(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-60	-4	-47	67.9	58%		34.2	1.96%	0	-0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.