Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 10, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $17.5000 (0.11%) ($17.4400 - $17.5300) on Thu. Jun. 10, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $17.5000(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.71(-1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.68(-1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.3(1.16%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2004	18.65	17.3		17.71	17.75	17.55	17.5(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-70	-4	44	1.7	36%	-0.11	27.2	1.7%	0	0.4	65	0
2	Jun_9_2004	18.67	17.28	17.68	17.66	17.76	17.78	17.48(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	20	-7	52	4.09	36%	-0.11	16.4	1.72%	0	0.4	63	0
3	Jun_8_2004	18.69	17.26	17.7	17.7	17.69	17.96	17.89(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	110	11	89	3.53	38%	-0.05	9.6	1.7%	0	1.1	75	0
4	Jun_7_2004	18.7	17.19	17.64	17.66	17.61	17.74	18.14(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	40	16	115	2.31	38%	0	-2.5	1.69%	0	1.7	83	0
5	Jun_4_2004	18.7	17.14	17.52	17.59	17.55	17.41	17.53(1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-60	-8	113	2.21	34%	-0.05	-8.3	1.63%	0	0.8	64	0

6	Jun_3_2004	18.71	17.15	17.45	17.65	17.64	17.47	17.28(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-70	-12	117	2.39	34%	-0.11	-6.5	1.62%	0	0.2	54	0
7	Jun_2_2004	18.73	17.19	17.41	17.7	17.77	17.68	17.67(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-20	-4	127	2.57	35%	-0.11	-6.8	1.6%	0	0.8	58	0
8	Jun_1_2004	18.75	17.19	17.29	17.69	17.78	17.81	17.67(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	30	6	119	2.63	38%	-0.05	-14.6	1.61%	0	0.8	58	0
9	May_28_2004	18.76	17.2	17.12	17.61	17.7	17.86	17.79(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	80	18	102	0.85	38%	-0.11	-29.5	1.63%	0	1	65	0
10	May_27_2004	18.78	17.2	16.99	17.45	17.56	17.74	17.83(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	90	26	70	1.74	39%	-0.05	-50.4	1.65%	0	1	53	0

11	May_26_2004	18.79	17.19	16.89	17.22	17.35	17.53	17.56(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	100	20	26	1.45	39%	-0.11	-65.4	1.64%	0	0.6	46	0
12	May_25_2004	18.81	17.23	16.83	17.07	17.13	17.37	17.62(2.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	16	110	25	-13	3.23	39%	-0.05	-66	1.65%	0	0.5	43	0
13	May_24_2004	18.82	17.29	16.76	16.82	17.04	17.18	17.24(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	100	33	-61	2.33	37%	-0.11	-68.6	1.63%	0	-0.1	40	0
14	May_21_2004	18.84	17.38	16.69	16.55	16.8	16.9	16.98(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	90	11	-129	3.83	37%	-0.11	-71.5	1.6%	0	-0.4	42	0
15	May_20_2004	18.86	17.5	16.72	16.46	16.55	16.91	16.71(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-36	170	2	-150	3.77	34%	-0.05	-70.2	1.6%	0	-0.8	42	0

16	May_19_2004	18.87	17.63	16.81	16.52	16.52	16.71	16.81(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	80	14	-144	4.04	34%	-0.05	-67.4	1.6%	0	-0.8	39	0
17	May_18_2004	18.88	17.75	16.94	16.56	16.49	16.18	16.36(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-140	-18	-166	2.38	30%	-0.11	-65.8	1.56%	0	-1.2	29	0
18	May_17_2004	18.9	17.91	17.11	16.7	16.63	16.33	15.88(-4.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-68	-140	-30	-181	4.44	29%	-0.11	-65.1	1.51%	0	-1.8	20	0
19	May_14_2004	18.92	18.1	17.3	16.83	16.87	16.79	16.55(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-64	-30	-19	-197	7.55	31%	-0.11	-68.3	1.46%	0	-1.5	23	0
20	May_13_2004	18.94	18.26	17.42	17	16.86	16.94	16.99(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-66	10	-15	-218	3.63	33%	-0.05	-68.4	1.44%	0	-1.2	23	0

21	May_12_2004	18.95	18.39	17.51	17.15	16.99	16.95	17.04(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-40	-17	-230	7.23	33%	-0.05	-68.7	1.44%	0	-1.3	26	0
22	May_11_2004	18.96	18.52	17.66	17.38	17.21	16.79	17.03(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-81	-200	-32	-227	3.69	35%	0	-66.1	1.44%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	May_10_2004	18.96	18.67	17.87	17.59	17.52	17.04	16.54(-4.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-93	-200	-49	-224	4.05	31%	-0.05	-61.9	1.4%	0	-2.2	17	0
24	May_7_2004	18.97	18.86	18.14	17.84	17.89	17.64	17.38(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-67	-90	-19	-210	5.9	37%	0	-62.3	1.28%	0	-1.7	19	0
25	May_6_2004	18.97	18.99	18.35	17.88	17.95	18	17.78(-2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-58	30	-8	-208	3.13	42%		-62.5	1.26%	0	-1.5	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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