Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $19.9900 (0.65%) ($19.9600 - $20.0200) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $19.9900(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.65(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.25(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.02(5.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2004	18.44	19.02	19.25	19.65	19.73	19.93	19.99(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	80	31	149	1.18	57%	0.16	8.3	1.14%	0	2.1	75	0
2	Apr_2_2004	18.41	18.99	19.09	19.46	19.53	19.73	19.86(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	80	31	116	4	60%	0.16	-6.5	1.22%	0	2	77	0
3	Apr_1_2004	18.38	18.99	18.97	19.25	19.33	19.53	19.66(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	80	27	84	1.65	60%	0.16	-16.7	1.24%	0	1.6	64	0
4	Mar_31_2004	18.35	18.97	18.9	19.08	19.13	19.33	19.5(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	80	26	70	1.77	61%	0.22	-22.2	1.25%	0	1.3	65	0
5	Mar_30_2004	18.31	18.96	18.83	18.91	18.96	19.13	19.26(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	70	22	42	2.09	60%	0.11	-27.8	1.25%	0	0.7	52	0

6	Mar_29_2004	18.29	18.98	18.76	18.78	18.82	18.93	19.03(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	50	19	4	1.03	61%	0.16	-25.6	1.24%	0	0.1	42	0
7	Mar_26_2004	18.26	19.02	18.7	18.66	18.71	18.78	18.79(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	30	5	-46	1.9	60%	0.11	-23.5	1.24%	0	-0.5	36	0
8	Mar_25_2004	18.24	19.05	18.69	18.65	18.66	18.71	18.82(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	20	-1	-74	1.72	60%	0.11	-21.5	1.24%	0	-0.5	34	0
9	Mar_24_2004	18.22	19.06	18.67	18.69	18.7	18.63	18.64(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-20	-4	-97	0.89	60%	0.05	-22	1.25%	0	-0.9	32	0
10	Mar_23_2004	18.21	19.08	18.7	18.69	18.76	18.61	18.62(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-50	-8	-106	1.31	60%	0.11	-23.7	1.25%	0	-1	35	0

11	Mar_22_2004	18.19	19.1	18.77	18.73	18.83	18.76	18.44(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-5	-113	3.33	60%	0.11	-33.5	1.24%	0	-1.5	30	0
12	Mar_19_2004	18.17	19.13	18.88	18.73	18.81	18.92	18.74(-1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	60	4	-119	2.42	62%	0.17	-41.4	1.23%	0	-0.9	31	0
13	Mar_18_2004	18.14	19.15	18.98	18.72	18.71	18.89	18.99(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	70	16	-110	1.19	66%	0.11	-45.8	1.21%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Mar_17_2004	18.12	19.16	19.04	18.64	18.65	18.7	18.88(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	20	5	-113	3.9	64%	0.11	-50.7	1.23%	0	-0.7	48	0
15	Mar_16_2004	18.1	19.19	19.11	18.67	18.61	18.53	18.62(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-40	-21	-111	2.36	63%	0.17	-44.2	1.23%	0	-1.3	46	0

16	Mar_15_2004	18.07	19.25	19.21	18.83	18.78	18.6	18.39(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-80	-30	-75	2.13	62%	0.11	-28.6	1.22%	0	-2.1	47	0
17	Mar_12_2004	18.05	19.3	19.36	19.07	19.03	18.69	18.74(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-130	-35	-24	1.8	65%	0.17	-8	1.19%	0	-1.6	50	0
18	Mar_11_2004	18.02	19.34	19.44	19.27	19.28	18.96	18.59(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-30	-110	-43	10	3.83	66%	0.11	21	1.19%	0	-2.2	44	0
19	Mar_10_2004	18	19.38	19.5	19.49	19.54	19.37	19(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-6	-50	-23	47	3.87	70%	0.11	61.3	1.17%	0	-1.3	46	0
20	Mar_9_2004	17.98	19.39	19.52	19.6	19.54	19.61	19.44(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10	-9	63	1.15	75%	0.17	80.7	1.13%	0	0.2	49	0

21	Mar_8_2004	17.95	19.37	19.46	19.65	19.65	19.72	19.57(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	20	-4	50	1.36	75%	0.17	90.3	1.13%	0	0.7	45	0
22	Mar_5_2004	17.92	19.33	19.4	19.71	19.65	19.68	19.76(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	11	56	1.04	75%	0.22	92.2	1.12%	0	1.3	56	0
23	Mar_4_2004	17.88	19.26	19.33	19.63	19.66	19.59	19.69(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-20	9	38	0.84	75%	0.17	73.3	1.12%	0	1.2	56	0
24	Mar_3_2004	17.85	19.2	19.29	19.52	19.59	19.65	19.56(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	30	9	20	2.04	75%	0.17	53.2	1.13%	0	0.9	53	0
25	Mar_2_2004	17.82	19.15	19.28	19.41	19.48	19.73	19.68(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	100	30	22	1.1	75%		36.8	1.12%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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