Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $19.3500 (0.68%) ($19.1900 - $19.3500) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $19.3500(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(80%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.28(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.1(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.88(2.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.96%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2004	16.9	18.88	19.1	19.28	19.26	19.27	19.35(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	0	14	29	1.95	73%	0.18	105.3	1.12%	0	1.1	51	0
2	Jan_23_2004	16.87	18.79	19.08	19.16	19.22	19.23	19.22(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	10	14	23	0.81	70%	0.24	89.8	1.12%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Jan_22_2004	16.83	18.71	19.07	19.04	19.08	19.25	19.25(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	70	8	27	1.6	67%	0.24	85.3	1.14%	0	1.1	71	0
4	Jan_21_2004	16.79	18.63	19.05	19	18.98	19.21	19.3(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	80	20	53	1.26	67%	0.24	77.1	1.16%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Jan_20_2004	16.75	18.53	19.03	18.94	18.91	18.91	19.28(2.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-0	11	70	1.51	67%	0.24	70.5	1.16%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Jan_16_2004	16.71	18.44	19.03	18.91	18.89	18.74	18.73(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-60	-18	100	1.7	64%	0.24	64.2	1.11%	0	0.4	75	0
7	Jan_15_2004	16.67	18.36	19.02	18.99	19.01	18.9	18.65(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-40	-19	145	1.4	65%	0.24	64.5	1.1%	0	0.4	75	0
8	Jan_14_2004	16.63	18.29	18.98	19.1	19.1	19.04	19.04(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	46	-20	-5	197	1.15	65%	0.24	66.5	1.07%	0	1	85	0
9	Jan_13_2004	16.59	18.2	18.89	19.11	19.13	19.11	19.01(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	51	-0	-3	212	1.36	67%	0.24	67.7	1.11%	0	1	86	0
10	Jan_12_2004	16.55	18.11	18.79	19.12	19.12	19.11	19.12(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	56	10	-3	234	1.75	67%	0.24	70.4	1.12%	0	1.3	90	0

11	Jan_9_2004	16.51	18.02	18.65	19.15	19.13	19.16	19.14(-0.16%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	77	10	14	264	1.14	69%	0.3	75.4	1.12%	0	1.5	91	0
12	Jan_8_2004	16.46	17.9	18.5	19.04	19.12	19.08	19.17(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	84	-0	22	271	1.15	69%	0.24	73.6	1.13%	0	1.7	93	0
13	Jan_7_2004	16.42	17.79	18.34	18.85	18.96	19.09	19.1(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	70	23	252	1.08	69%	0.31	67.9	1.14%	0	1.8	84	0
14	Jan_6_2004	16.37	17.68	18.17	18.63	18.75	19.16	19.06(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	170	44	236	3.78	69%	0.24	61.2	1.14%	0	2.1	82	0
15	Jan_5_2004	16.33	17.57	18	18.4	18.46	18.84	19.27(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	101	150	63	215	2.98	69%	0.31	60.7	1.12%	0	2.9	87	0

16	Jan_2_2004	16.28	17.45	17.79	18.08	18.13	18.33	18.62(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	71	90	39	166	1.85	68%	0.37	63.6	1.05%	0	2.6	84	0
17	Dec_31_2003	16.22	17.38	17.63	17.88	17.92	18.09	18.21(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	70	27	133	0.98	68%	0.31	72	1.03%	0	2.3	85	0
18	Dec_30_2003	16.17	17.32	17.53	17.74	17.78	17.94	18(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	70	23	113	1.37	67%	0.25	86.7	1.07%	0	2.3	79	0
19	Dec_29_2003	16.13	17.28	17.45	17.64	17.65	17.75	17.92(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	40	20	104	1.45	67%	0.19	108	1.07%	0	2.5	74	0
20	Dec_26_2003	16.1	17.22	17.38	17.53	17.54	17.63	17.65(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	40	15	92	0.22	66%	0.44	121.6	1.06%	0	1.9	72	0

21	Dec_24_2003	16.03	17.17	17.34	17.45	17.45	17.56	17.6(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	40	19	86	0.28	63%	0.19	115	1.08%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Dec_23_2003	16	17.12	17.27	17.34	17.35	17.46	17.55(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	50	16	58	1.33	63%	0.25	96.1	1.08%	0	1.7	62	0
23	Dec_22_2003	15.96	17.07	17.21	17.27	17.24	17.35	17.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	40	10	37	1.56	60%	0.19	84.1	1.08%	0	1.5	58	0
24	Dec_19_2003	15.93	17.01	17.16	17.23	17.2	17.24	17.33(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	6	21	0.56	60%	0.25	68.2	1.1%	0	1.1	50	0
25	Dec_18_2003	15.89	16.95	17.12	17.22	17.21	17.12	17.29(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-40	0	23	0.66	61%		49	1.1%	0	1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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