Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $19.1700 (0.37%) ($19.0100 - $19.2100) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $19.1700(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(80%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.04(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.5(3.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.9(7.09%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2004	16.46	17.9	18.5	19.04	19.12	19.08	19.17(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	84	-0	22	271	1.15	69%	0.24	73.6	1.13%	0	1.7	93	0
2	Jan_7_2004	16.42	17.79	18.34	18.85	18.96	19.09	19.1(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	70	23	252	1.08	69%	0.31	67.9	1.14%	0	1.8	84	0
3	Jan_6_2004	16.37	17.68	18.17	18.63	18.75	19.16	19.06(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	170	44	236	3.78	69%	0.24	61.2	1.14%	0	2.1	82	0
4	Jan_5_2004	16.33	17.57	18	18.4	18.46	18.84	19.27(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	101	150	63	215	2.98	69%	0.31	60.7	1.12%	0	2.9	87	0
5	Jan_2_2004	16.28	17.45	17.79	18.08	18.13	18.33	18.62(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	71	90	39	166	1.85	68%	0.37	63.6	1.05%	0	2.6	84	0

6	Dec_31_2003	16.22	17.38	17.63	17.88	17.92	18.09	18.21(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	70	27	133	0.98	68%	0.31	72	1.03%	0	2.3	85	0
7	Dec_30_2003	16.17	17.32	17.53	17.74	17.78	17.94	18(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	70	23	113	1.37	67%	0.25	86.7	1.07%	0	2.3	79	0
8	Dec_29_2003	16.13	17.28	17.45	17.64	17.65	17.75	17.92(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	40	20	104	1.45	67%	0.19	108	1.07%	0	2.5	74	0
9	Dec_26_2003	16.1	17.22	17.38	17.53	17.54	17.63	17.65(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	40	15	92	0.22	66%	0.44	121.6	1.06%	0	1.9	72	0
10	Dec_24_2003	16.03	17.17	17.34	17.45	17.45	17.56	17.6(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	40	19	86	0.28	63%	0.19	115	1.08%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Dec_23_2003	16	17.12	17.27	17.34	17.35	17.46	17.55(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	50	16	58	1.33	63%	0.25	96.1	1.08%	0	1.7	62	0
12	Dec_22_2003	15.96	17.07	17.21	17.27	17.24	17.35	17.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	40	10	37	1.56	60%	0.19	84.1	1.08%	0	1.5	58	0
13	Dec_19_2003	15.93	17.01	17.16	17.23	17.2	17.24	17.33(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	6	21	0.56	60%	0.25	68.2	1.1%	0	1.1	50	0
14	Dec_18_2003	15.89	16.95	17.12	17.22	17.21	17.12	17.29(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-40	0	23	0.66	61%	0.19	49	1.1%	0	1	64	0
15	Dec_17_2003	15.86	16.9	17.1	17.2	17.23	17.15	17.02(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-30	-5	29	1.11	60%	0.19	42.3	1.1%	0	0.3	63	0

16	Dec_16_2003	15.83	16.87	17.11	17.18	17.24	17.3	17.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	8	49	0.67	64%	0.19	40.2	1.09%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Dec_15_2003	15.8	16.83	17.11	17.12	17.17	17.31	17.29(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	70	13	64	1.23	61%	0.19	34.1	1.11%	0	1.2	76	0
18	Dec_12_2003	15.77	16.8	17.1	17.07	17.1	17.19	17.28(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	40	15	85	1.1	61%	0.19	29.9	1.13%	0	1.3	78	0
19	Dec_11_2003	15.74	16.78	17.05	17.01	17.03	17.04	17.2(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	10	5	92	0.82	61%	0.25	27.1	1.13%	0	1.2	80	0
20	Dec_10_2003	15.7	16.75	17	16.98	17	17.01	16.89(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	10	-6	95	0.56	57%	0.19	22.5	1.11%	0	0.4	66	0

21	Dec_9_2003	15.67	16.73	16.97	17.03	17.03	17.02	16.96(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-0	-5	107	1.6	54%	0.19	18.8	1.13%	0	0.7	64	0
22	Dec_8_2003	15.64	16.71	16.92	17.08	17.07	16.99	17.03(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-8	115	0.75	56%	0.19	20.3	1.16%	0	1	67	0
23	Dec_5_2003	15.61	16.7	16.85	17.13	17.13	17.03	16.99(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-40	-2	114	1.26	56%	0.26	29.7	1.18%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Dec_4_2003	15.57	16.69	16.77	17.09	17.17	17.15	17.03(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	10	7	94	0.71	56%	0.13	30.6	1.18%	0	1.1	53	0
25	Dec_3_2003	15.55	16.68	16.7	17.01	17.09	17.23	17.14(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	70	17	78	0.82	56%		28	1.17%	0	1.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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