Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $17.5000 (0.98%) ($17.2800 - $17.5000) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $17.5000(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(80%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.27(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.21(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.07(2.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2003	15.96	17.07	17.21	17.27	17.24	17.35	17.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	40	10	37	1.56	60%	0.19	84.1	1.08%	0	1.5	58	NAN
2	Dec_19_2003	15.93	17.01	17.16	17.23	17.2	17.24	17.33(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	6	21	0.56	60%	0.25	68.2	1.1%	0	1.1	50	NAN
3	Dec_18_2003	15.89	16.95	17.12	17.22	17.21	17.12	17.29(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-40	0	23	0.66	61%	0.19	49	1.1%	0	1	64	NAN
4	Dec_17_2003	15.86	16.9	17.1	17.2	17.23	17.15	17.02(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-30	-5	29	1.11	60%	0.19	42.3	1.1%	0	0.3	63	NAN
5	Dec_16_2003	15.83	16.87	17.11	17.18	17.24	17.3	17.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	8	49	0.67	64%	0.19	40.2	1.09%	0	0.9	73	NAN

6	Dec_15_2003	15.8	16.83	17.11	17.12	17.17	17.31	17.29(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	70	13	64	1.23	61%	0.19	34.1	1.11%	0	1.2	76	NAN
7	Dec_12_2003	15.77	16.8	17.1	17.07	17.1	17.19	17.28(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	40	15	85	1.1	61%	0.19	29.9	1.13%	0	1.3	78	NAN
8	Dec_11_2003	15.74	16.78	17.05	17.01	17.03	17.04	17.2(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	10	5	92	0.82	61%	0.25	27.1	1.13%	0	1.2	80	NAN
9	Dec_10_2003	15.7	16.75	17	16.98	17	17.01	16.89(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	10	-6	95	0.56	57%	0.19	22.5	1.11%	0	0.4	66	NAN
10	Dec_9_2003	15.67	16.73	16.97	17.03	17.03	17.02	16.96(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-0	-5	107	1.6	54%	0.19	18.8	1.13%	0	0.7	64	NAN

11	Dec_8_2003	15.64	16.71	16.92	17.08	17.07	16.99	17.03(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-8	115	0.75	56%	0.19	20.3	1.16%	0	1	67	NAN
12	Dec_5_2003	15.61	16.7	16.85	17.13	17.13	17.03	16.99(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-40	-2	114	1.26	56%	0.26	29.7	1.18%	0	0.9	55	NAN
13	Dec_4_2003	15.57	16.69	16.77	17.09	17.17	17.15	17.03(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	10	7	94	0.71	56%	0.13	30.6	1.18%	0	1.1	53	NAN
14	Dec_3_2003	15.55	16.68	16.7	17.01	17.09	17.23	17.14(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	70	17	78	0.82	56%	0.26	28	1.17%	0	1.5	58	NAN
15	Dec_2_2003	15.51	16.66	16.62	16.89	16.94	17.2	17.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	120	32	64	2.51	58%	0.13	23.6	1.17%	0	1.9	65	NAN

16	Dec_1_2003	15.49	16.64	16.54	16.73	16.76	16.95	17.28(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	36	80	37	34	1.34	58%	0.26	19.1	1.18%	0	2.4	60	NAN
17	Nov_28_2003	15.45	16.6	16.48	16.53	16.55	16.68	16.8(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	15	60	23	-10	0.62	55%	0.26	5	1.14%	0	0.9	47	NAN
18	Nov_26_2003	15.41	16.6	16.48	16.4	16.42	16.56	16.65(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	60	16	-38	1.21	55%	0.13	-3.8	1.13%	0	0.3	45	NAN
19	Nov_25_2003	15.39	16.59	16.47	16.34	16.31	16.42	16.5(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	40	9	-59	2.04	55%	0.2	-6.8	1.14%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
20	Nov_24_2003	15.36	16.6	16.46	16.34	16.27	16.29	16.44(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-0	3	-79	1.18	55%	0.07	-10.8	1.15%	0	-0.7	38	NAN

21	Nov_21_2003	15.35	16.6	16.48	16.32	16.31	16.19	16.27(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-14	-96	0.36	57%	0.13	-16.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
22	Nov_20_2003	15.33	16.59	16.53	16.41	16.37	16.26	16.13(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-50	-25	-75	0.51	57%	0.2	-13.2	1.16%	0	-1.8	45	NAN
23	Nov_19_2003	15.3	16.6	16.61	16.55	16.52	16.42	16.34(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-50	-13	-43	1.09	58%	0.2	-5.8	1.14%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
24	Nov_18_2003	15.27	16.61	16.67	16.62	16.63	16.49	16.44(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-60	-5	-19	1.24	60%	0.2	-0.7	1.14%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
25	Nov_17_2003	15.24	16.62	16.72	16.61	16.66	16.62	16.41(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10	-11	-13	1.9	60%		3.8	1.17%	0	-1	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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