Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $82.9500 (3.11%) ($81.5500 - $83.1920) on Thu. May. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $82.9500(3.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(19%)    IPO(2%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $74.22(-10.52%)
Resistance Level   $84.63
5 Day Moving Average   $80.94(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.95(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.63(-1.99%)
To recent high   -19%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.53%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.33%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2017	98.96	84.63	81.95	80.94	80.6	81.27	82.95(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	50	36	-88	0.13	38%	-0.47	-37.6	2.35%	0	-0.5	40	0
2	May_3_2017	99.43	84.78	82.29	80.83	80.51	79.68	80.45(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-80	-15	-113	0.13	35%	-0.39	-36.1	2.33%	0	-1.3	38	0
3	May_2_2017	99.82	85.03	83.23	81.15	80.99	79.92	78.9(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-100	-43	-115	0.13	35%	-0.45	-34.3	2.32%	0	-2	32	0
4	May_1_2017	100.27	85.37	84.21	81.54	81.6	81.35	80.65(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-20	-22	-100	0.13	35%	-0.41	-34.5	2.31%	0	-1.7	36	0
5	Apr_28_2017	100.68	85.69	84.73	82.07	81.71	82.05	81.75(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	20	-11	-92	0.1	35%	-0.37	-26.7	2.28%	0	-1.6	41	0

6	Apr_27_2017	101.05	85.87	85.37	83.11	82.03	81.85	82.4(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-50	-15	-72	0.05	35%	-0.38	-16.1	2.3%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	Apr_26_2017	101.44	85.96	85.86	84.02	83.25	81.36	82.05(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-190	-54	-71	0.13	35%	-0.45	-8	2.3%	0	-1.7	44	0
8	Apr_25_2017	101.9	86.09	86.5	85.69	84.68	82.21	80.85(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-94	-240	-107	-56	0.13	35%	-0.48	9.7	2.29%	0	-2.5	44	0
9	Apr_24_2017	102.39	86.32	87.26	87.26	86.74	85.14	83.3(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-50	-150	-65	-5	0.11	37%	-0.49	40	2.3%	0	-1.7	49	0
10	Apr_21_2017	102.89	86.37	87.65	87.71	88.03	87.16	86.95(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-60	-26	18	0.1	37%	-0.45	42.9	2.3%	0	0.3	51	0

11	Apr_20_2017	103.35	86.25	87.59	87.93	87.88	88.35	86.95(-3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	40	-11	32	0.13	37%	-0.4	42.9	2.31%	0	0.4	57	0
12	Apr_19_2017	103.77	86.14	87.5	87.95	87.83	88.89	90.4(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	80	43	62	0.15	39%	-0.36	36.3	2.27%	0	2.3	70	0
13	Apr_18_2017	104.15	85.89	86.94	87.52	87.36	87.41	88.7(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-0	16	48	0.12	39%	-0.4	10.1	2.26%	0	1.8	64	0
14	Apr_17_2017	104.57	85.6	86.57	87.35	87.35	86.76	85.55(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-50	-20	33	0.08	35%	-0.44	-23.6	2.22%	0	-0	55	0
15	Apr_13_2017	105.03	85.62	86.7	87.56	87.72	87.32	88.05(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-30	-8	52	0.09	37%	-0.43	-54.4	2.19%	0	1.7	67	0

16	Apr_12_2017	105.48	85.49	86.38	87.19	87.55	87.94	87.05(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	40	3	52	0.12	37%	-0.41	-109.1	2.19%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Apr_11_2017	105.91	85.48	86.04	86.94	87.22	88.13	88.25(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	80	42	61	0.16	37%	-0.44	-87.8	2.19%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Apr_10_2017	106.38	85.74	85.61	86.27	86.31	87.16	87.85(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	70	34	41	0.14	37%	-0.49	-82.4	2.22%	0	0.7	56	0
19	Apr_7_2017	106.9	85.95	85.26	85.7	85.66	86.32	86.6(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	50	22	31	0.13	37%	-0.48	-71.1	2.2%	0	0.2	63	0
20	Apr_6_2017	107.42	86.42	84.98	85.73	85.45	85.47	86.2(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	13	23	0.15	37%	-0.48	-54.9	2.21%	0	-0	50	0

21	Apr_5_2017	107.94	87.06	84.79	85.45	85.53	85	85.8(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-40	-4	7	0.2	37%	-0.46	-49.5	2.22%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Apr_4_2017	108.44	87.62	84.66	84.98	85.48	85.43	84.9(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	10	-8	-10	0.08	37%	-0.54	-46.7	2.24%	0	-0.5	42	0
23	Apr_3_2017	109.03	88.12	84.74	84.81	85.16	86.06	85(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	90	18	-27	0.13	35%	-0.51	-48.4	2.25%	0	-0.6	29	0
24	Mar_31_2017	109.59	88.64	84.56	84.73	84.79	85.53	86.75(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	60	39	-48	0.12	35%	-0.42	-47.7	2.28%	0	-0.3	35	0
25	Mar_30_2017	110.05	89.07	84.43	84.13	84.46	84.25	84.8(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10	6	-103	0.11	32%		-47.5	2.27%	0	-0.7	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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