Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $88.7000 (3.68%) ($87.4500 - $89.2500) on Tue. Apr. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $88.7000(3.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(19%)    SHY(2%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.52(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.94(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.89(3.27%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.72%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2017	104.15	85.89	86.94	87.52	87.36	87.41	88.7(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-0	16	48	0.12	39%	-0.4	10.1	2.26%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Apr_17_2017	104.57	85.6	86.57	87.35	87.35	86.76	85.55(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-50	-20	33	0.08	35%	-0.44	-23.6	2.22%	0	-0	55	0
3	Apr_13_2017	105.03	85.62	86.7	87.56	87.72	87.32	88.05(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-30	-8	52	0.09	37%	-0.43	-54.4	2.19%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Apr_12_2017	105.48	85.49	86.38	87.19	87.55	87.94	87.05(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	40	3	52	0.12	37%	-0.41	-109.1	2.19%	0	1.1	60	0
5	Apr_11_2017	105.91	85.48	86.04	86.94	87.22	88.13	88.25(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	80	42	61	0.16	37%	-0.44	-87.8	2.19%	0	1.2	65	0

6	Apr_10_2017	106.38	85.74	85.61	86.27	86.31	87.16	87.85(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	70	34	41	0.14	37%	-0.49	-82.4	2.22%	0	0.7	56	0
7	Apr_7_2017	106.9	85.95	85.26	85.7	85.66	86.32	86.6(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	50	22	31	0.13	37%	-0.48	-71.1	2.2%	0	0.2	63	0
8	Apr_6_2017	107.42	86.42	84.98	85.73	85.45	85.47	86.2(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	13	23	0.15	37%	-0.48	-54.9	2.21%	0	-0	50	0
9	Apr_5_2017	107.94	87.06	84.79	85.45	85.53	85	85.8(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-40	-4	7	0.2	37%	-0.46	-49.5	2.22%	0	-0.2	49	0
10	Apr_4_2017	108.44	87.62	84.66	84.98	85.48	85.43	84.9(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	10	-8	-10	0.08	37%	-0.54	-46.7	2.24%	0	-0.5	42	0

11	Apr_3_2017	109.03	88.12	84.74	84.81	85.16	86.06	85(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	90	18	-27	0.13	35%	-0.51	-48.4	2.25%	0	-0.6	29	0
12	Mar_31_2017	109.59	88.64	84.56	84.73	84.79	85.53	86.75(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	60	39	-48	0.12	35%	-0.42	-47.7	2.28%	0	-0.3	35	0
13	Mar_30_2017	110.05	89.07	84.43	84.13	84.46	84.25	84.8(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10	6	-103	0.11	32%	-0.34	-47.5	2.27%	0	-0.7	25	0
14	Mar_29_2017	110.43	89.72	84.51	84.07	84.38	84.06	83.45(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-52	-20	-18	-153	0.08	29%	-0.25	-43.8	2.27%	0	-1.1	19	0
15	Mar_28_2017	110.71	90.24	84.89	84.29	84.58	84.66	84.05(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	20	-8	-171	0.13	29%	-0.27	-41.6	2.33%	0	-1	26	0

16	Mar_27_2017	111.01	90.92	85.86	84.65	84.88	84.69	84.6(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-32	-10	11	-160	0.18	29%	-0.39	-37.3	2.34%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Mar_24_2017	111.44	91.47	86.67	84.34	84.54	84.51	83.75(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	0	-15	-184	0.14	29%	-0.36	-40.4	2.33%	0	-1.4	31	0
18	Mar_23_2017	111.84	92.02	87.94	84.77	84.41	85.08	84.5(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	40	5	-167	0.18	29%	-0.35	-40.7	2.35%	0	-1.4	32	0
19	Mar_22_2017	112.23	92.4	89.45	85.03	84.64	84.57	84.55(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-20	11	-156	0.37	29%	-0.3	-43.5	2.35%	0	-1.6	29	0
20	Mar_21_2017	112.57	92.79	90.78	85.58	84.73	83.74	85.85(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-84	-110	-57	-163	0.37	29%	-0.27	-47.2	2.41%	0	-1.5	41	0

21	Mar_20_2017	112.87	93.14	91.76	87.33	86.37	84.71	83.05(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-170	-74	-154	0.25	25%	-0.31	-42.4	2.37%	0	-2.2	32	0
22	Mar_17_2017	113.22	93.79	93.1	89.37	89.01	85.72	85.9(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-105	-270	-95	-134	0.24	27%	-0.26	-37.3	2.35%	0	-2	40	0
23	Mar_16_2017	113.52	94.24	94.16	91.62	90.99	88.03	85.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-147	-250	-155	-123	0.45	27%	-0.24	-31.3	2.37%	0	-2.4	41	0
24	Mar_15_2017	113.79	94.64	95.46	94.53	94.02	92.31	87.3(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-72	-140	-84	-36	0.5	27%	-0.2	-21.8	2.38%	0	-2.5	49	0
25	Mar_14_2017	114.02	95.07	96.19	96.68	96.5	93.95	94.6(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-35	-190	-52	18	0.11	43%		-15.6	2.19%	0	-0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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