Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $84.8000 (1.62%) ($83.7875 - $84.9250) on Thu. Mar. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $84.8000(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(19%)    SHY(2%)    IGOV(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $72.94(-13.99%)
Resistance Level   $89.07
5 Day Moving Average   $84.13(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.43(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.07(-4.79%)
To recent high   -32.8%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 6.74% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.05%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.11%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -5.36%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.83%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2017	110.05	89.07	84.43	84.13	84.46	84.25	84.8(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10	6	-103	0.11	32%	-0.34	-47.5	2.27%	0	-0.7	25	0
2	Mar_29_2017	110.43	89.72	84.51	84.07	84.38	84.06	83.45(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-52	-20	-18	-153	0.08	29%	-0.25	-43.8	2.27%	0	-1.1	19	0
3	Mar_28_2017	110.71	90.24	84.89	84.29	84.58	84.66	84.05(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	20	-8	-171	0.13	29%	-0.27	-41.6	2.33%	0	-1	26	0
4	Mar_27_2017	111.01	90.92	85.86	84.65	84.88	84.69	84.6(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-32	-10	11	-160	0.18	29%	-0.39	-37.3	2.34%	0	-1.1	33	0
5	Mar_24_2017	111.44	91.47	86.67	84.34	84.54	84.51	83.75(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	0	-15	-184	0.14	29%	-0.36	-40.4	2.33%	0	-1.4	31	0

6	Mar_23_2017	111.84	92.02	87.94	84.77	84.41	85.08	84.5(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	40	5	-167	0.18	29%	-0.35	-40.7	2.35%	0	-1.4	32	0
7	Mar_22_2017	112.23	92.4	89.45	85.03	84.64	84.57	84.55(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-20	11	-156	0.37	29%	-0.3	-43.5	2.35%	0	-1.6	29	0
8	Mar_21_2017	112.57	92.79	90.78	85.58	84.73	83.74	85.85(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-84	-110	-57	-163	0.37	29%	-0.27	-47.2	2.41%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Mar_20_2017	112.87	93.14	91.76	87.33	86.37	84.71	83.05(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-170	-74	-154	0.25	25%	-0.31	-42.4	2.37%	0	-2.2	32	0
10	Mar_17_2017	113.22	93.79	93.1	89.37	89.01	85.72	85.9(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-105	-270	-95	-134	0.24	27%	-0.26	-37.3	2.35%	0	-2	40	0

11	Mar_16_2017	113.52	94.24	94.16	91.62	90.99	88.03	85.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-147	-250	-155	-123	0.45	27%	-0.24	-31.3	2.37%	0	-2.4	41	0
12	Mar_15_2017	113.79	94.64	95.46	94.53	94.02	92.31	87.3(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-72	-140	-84	-36	0.5	27%	-0.2	-21.8	2.38%	0	-2.5	49	0
13	Mar_14_2017	114.02	95.07	96.19	96.68	96.5	93.95	94.6(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-35	-190	-52	18	0.11	43%	-0.13	-15.6	2.19%	0	-0.2	58	0
14	Mar_13_2017	114.17	95.12	96.5	96.84	97.21	95.73	93.25(-4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-52	-100	-76	20	0.11	43%	-0.16	-23.6	2.48%	0	-0.8	55	0
15	Mar_10_2017	114.35	95.28	96.75	97.34	97.61	99.06	97.15(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	110	16	65	0.12	46%	-0.13	-25.4	2.47%	0	0.8	54	0

16	Mar_9_2017	114.5	95.33	96.47	97.07	97.12	98.69	100.35(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	110	67	84	0.19	50%	-0.08	-32.9	2.46%	0	2	61	0
17	Mar_8_2017	114.59	95.28	95.54	96.63	96.16	96.17	98.05(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	21	57	0.14	50%	-0.12	-43.4	2.45%	0	1.1	60	0
18	Mar_7_2017	114.73	95.44	94.87	95.71	96.15	95.55	95.4(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-30	-14	22	0.11	41%	-0.21	-48.5	2.42%	0	-0	51	0
19	Mar_6_2017	114.97	95.68	94.54	96.16	95.93	96.16	95.75(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-13	20	0.11	41%	-0.19	-46.7	2.49%	0	0	50	0
20	Mar_3_2017	115.19	95.88	94.45	96.04	96.12	96.75	95.8(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	50	28	32	0.26	41%	-0.2	-49.3	2.49%	0	-0	49	0

21	Mar_2_2017	115.42	96.15	94.25	95.71	95.75	95.71	98.15(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-0	25	15	0.24	41%	-0.16	-49.7	2.5%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Mar_1_2017	115.6	96.36	93.68	94.29	95.03	95.49	93.45(-4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	60	10	-30	0.25	35%	-0.19	-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	Feb_28_2017	115.82	96.85	93.84	93.84	94.04	95.79	97.65(2.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	30	140	52	-38	0.14	38%	-0.08	-56.1	2.35%	0	0.2	37	0
24	Feb_27_2017	115.91	97.13	93.56	92.69	92.84	94.58	95.15(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	140	57	-67	0.11	34%	-0.14	-62.6	2.32%	0	-0.5	36	0
25	Feb_24_2017	116.07	97.49	93.63	92.68	92.25	92.29	94.15(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10	21	-93	0.13	34%		-71	2.32%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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