Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $138.8000 (5.67%) ($135.7500 - $143.6000) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.94% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $138.8000(5.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(17%)    SHY(1%)    DIA(-0%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.97% (StdDev 3.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.76(13.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.87(13.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.24(18.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 6.51% (three month std-dev: 3.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.45%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.47%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.72%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -14.3%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.11%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2016	125.08	117.24	121.87	122.76	124.82	133.54	138.8(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	167	540	177	138	0.89	57%	-0.12	30.4	3.94%	0	2.8	73	0
2	Nov_10_2016	125.23	116.05	119.48	120.23	118.71	124.06	131.35(8.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	111	280	113	103	0.75	55%	-0.28	33.1	3.92%	0	2.6	68	0
3	Nov_9_2016	125.58	115.28	117.74	118.47	118.13	116.11	121(9.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-130	33	67	0.66	51%	-0.37	39.2	3.78%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Nov_8_2016	126.05	114.94	116.89	118.56	118.52	113.37	110.15(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-85	-310	-119	16	0.18	46%	-0.48	47.5	3.58%	0	-1	54	0
5	Nov_7_2016	126.66	115.18	116.92	120.02	120.58	120.15	112.5(-10.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-27	-10	-53	53	0.21	46%	-0.55	54.7	3.58%	0	-0.6	54	0

6	Nov_4_2016	127.36	114.96	116.73	120.39	120.86	123.67	126.15(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	81	170	74	101	0.41	52%	-0.44	53.4	3.35%	0	2.3	59	0
7	Nov_3_2016	127.92	114.13	115.12	118.46	118.13	121.01	122.55(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	160	66	72	0.33	52%	-0.46	46.1	3.34%	0	2	55	0
8	Nov_2_2016	128.51	113.43	113.88	116.96	116.58	118.06	121.45(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	80	66	49	0.37	52%	-0.5	33.3	3.34%	0	2.1	53	0
9	Nov_1_2016	129.16	112.81	112.64	115.13	114.94	115.25	117.45(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	10	20	7	0.38	50%	-0.52	23.9	3.32%	0	1.4	54	0
10	Oct_31_2016	129.84	112.62	111.99	113.42	114	115.11	114.35(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	80	25	-11	0.2	50%	-0.48	14.2	3.3%	0	0.5	50	0

11	Oct_28_2016	130.47	112.43	112.25	112.41	112.65	114.64	116.5(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	130	49	5	0.32	50%	-0.37	-3.1	3.3%	0	1.3	67	0
12	Oct_27_2016	130.95	112.22	112.26	111.24	110.92	112.89	115.05(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	120	43	2	0.2	50%	-0.34	-12.5	3.3%	0	0.9	58	0
13	Oct_26_2016	131.4	112.16	112.45	110.37	110.41	110.65	112.3(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	20	32	2	0.25	50%	-0.38	-10.6	3.28%	0	0	57	0
14	Oct_25_2016	131.9	112	112.7	109.83	110.02	108.95	108.9(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-60	-23	-17	0.13	50%	-0.45	-17.3	3.27%	0	-1	52	0
15	Oct_24_2016	132.49	112.17	113.27	110.34	110.22	110.18	109.3(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10	-30	-15	0.14	50%	-0.48	-24.2	3.29%	0	-0.9	44	0

16	Oct_21_2016	133.13	112.53	113.15	112.05	110.99	111.09	110.65(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-20	-9	3	0.13	50%	-0.54	-15.6	3.3%	0	-0.6	52	0
17	Oct_20_2016	133.85	112.61	113.2	113.44	112.5	110.27	110.7(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-160	-30	5	0.2	50%	-0.56	-19.1	3.3%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Oct_19_2016	134.6	112.5	113.1	114.88	113.93	110.88	109.6(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-210	-85	-12	0.14	50%	-0.57	-24.4	3.3%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Oct_18_2016	135.37	112.55	113.16	115.94	116.24	114.74	111.45(-5.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-29	-80	-44	16	0.18	50%	-0.18	-35.3	3.33%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Oct_17_2016	135.61	112.96	113.47	116.52	117.07	116.97	117.85(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	9	48	0.17	53%	-0.51	-37.9	3.28%	0	1.2	57	0

21	Oct_14_2016	136.3	113.03	112.71	114.34	116.1	117.75	117.6(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	150	36	30	0.21	53%	-0.51	-46.4	3.28%	0	1	50	0
22	Oct_13_2016	137	113.24	112.16	112.93	113.91	117.18	117.9(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	230	72	33	0.38	53%	-0.53	-52.2	3.31%	0	1	56	0
23	Oct_12_2016	137.73	113.32	111.73	111.15	111.65	114.44	114.9(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	190	75	27	0.22	53%	-0.61	-46.1	3.29%	0	0.3	58	0
24	Oct_11_2016	138.57	113.87	111.1	110.06	110.42	110.64	114.35(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	25	20	34	-1	0.39	53%	-0.65	-33.3	3.33%	0	0.1	55	0
25	Oct_10_2016	139.47	114.5	110.81	110.09	109.55	108.86	106.95(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-36	-42	0.2	49%		-19.8	3.22%	0	-1.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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