Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $206.2000 (4.41%) ($205.8750 - $209.1500) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.25% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $206.2000(4.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(29%)    UUP(24%)    TLT(17%)    IPO(2%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.625% (StdDev 5.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $229.22
5 Day Moving Average   $202.63(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.1(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $229.22(-10.04%)
To recent high   -38.9%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 11.58% (three month std-dev: 5.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.58%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 8.48%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.4%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	264.5	229.22	206.1	202.63	201.77	201.8	206.2(4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	-10	50	-103	0.22	45%	-0.41	-74.5	5.25%	0	-0.9	27	0
2	Mar_14_2016	265.6	232.33	208.32	203.84	201.99	196.18	197.5(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-97	-230	-75	-161	0.18	45%	-0.49	-76.2	5.26%	0	-1.3	23	0
3	Mar_11_2016	266.91	236.88	214.1	204.75	205.62	201.74	193.9(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-91	-120	-71	-150	0.38	45%	-0.53	-70.4	5.3%	0	-1.5	31	0
4	Mar_10_2016	268.34	242.37	220.96	206.22	207.63	207.81	207.3(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	30	-13	-122	0.17	47%	-0.45	-60.5	5.28%	0	-1.2	29	0
5	Mar_9_2016	269.56	246.53	225.8	207.54	206.68	209.49	208.25(-1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	80	1	-113	0.17	47%	-0.46	-56.5	5.33%	0	-1.3	32	0

6	Mar_8_2016	270.81	250.86	230.86	210.18	209.08	207.46	212.25(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-70	6	-102	0.17	47%	-0.45	-54.5	5.38%	0	-1.3	35	0
7	Mar_7_2016	272.03	254.48	235.45	213.89	212.75	203.87	202.05(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-134	-310	-128	-152	0.15	47%	-0.54	-51.4	5.39%	0	-1.8	26	0
8	Mar_4_2016	273.52	258.2	239.92	225.24	221.07	210.69	201.25(-5.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-186	-380	-192	-168	0.21	47%	-0.57	-44.9	5.45%	0	-2.1	22	0
9	Mar_3_2016	275.09	261.62	246.32	237.97	234.19	221.63	213.9(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-156	-420	-160	-143	0.17	49%	-0.49	-43	5.44%	0	-2.1	22	0
10	Mar_2_2016	276.45	264.66	251.12	246.67	244.48	231.44	221.45(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-186	-400	-198	-150	0.09	49%	-0.45	-45.5	5.47%	0	-2.1	30	0

11	Mar_1_2016	277.7	268.41	254.77	254.36	253.1	246.74	230.8(-10.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-141	-190	-145	-127	0.16	49%	-0.39	-40.8	5.5%	0	-2	31	0
12	Feb_29_2016	278.79	270.5	258.82	259.85	260.3	257.51	258.8(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-70	-11	-69	0.12	54%	-0.17	-50.2	5.29%	0	-0.7	43	0
13	Feb_26_2016	279.27	270.76	261.64	256.72	259.84	259.46	264.9(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	30	-16	-72	0.13	54%	-0.13	-65.7	5.33%	0	-0.4	49	0
14	Feb_25_2016	279.62	271.92	265.25	256.27	256.79	263.09	257.4(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	180	22	-43	0.13	54%	-0.2	-76.6	5.39%	0	-0.9	51	0
15	Feb_24_2016	280.18	274.17	268.48	256.59	257.44	260.23	259.9(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	78	90	104	-2	0.19	54%	-0.19	-80.5	5.45%	0	-0.8	49	0

16	Feb_23_2016	280.7	276.15	271.87	255.54	254.96	250.5	258.25(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-130	-46	-64	0.15	54%	-0.21	-84.2	5.52%	0	-1	41	0
17	Feb_22_2016	281.29	278.86	274.43	257.86	255.99	254.65	243.15(-7.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-60	-91	-72	0.13	52%	-0.36	-80.3	5.52%	0	-1.9	46	0
18	Feb_19_2016	282.32	281.76	277.72	267.23	262.49	259.42	262.65(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-140	-36	-28	0.11	55%	-0.19	-74.2	5.43%	0	-1.1	53	0
19	Feb_18_2016	282.86	285.16	278.12	275.84	270.48	257.33	259(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-130	-400	-152	-64	0.16	55%	-0.24	-49.2	5.51%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Feb_17_2016	283.55	288.97	279.52	282.27	283.15	265.56	254.65(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-177	-430	-208	-85	0.17	55%	-0.3	-30.6	5.59%	0	-1.5	40	0

21	Feb_16_2016	284.4	292.14	283.64	290.38	289.87	283.63	269.85(-6.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-157	-160	-189	-62	0.15	59%	-0.15	-18.6	5.56%	0	-1	44	0
22	Feb_12_2016	284.84	295.15	283.78	293.02	295.75	300.74	290(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	150	60	28	0.18	63%	0.06	-8.7	5.48%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Feb_11_2016	284.68	295.5	281.08	289.39	293.3	296.11	305.7(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	110	111	27	0.3	63%	0.24	-12.2	5.46%	0	0.5	52	0
24	Feb_10_2016	284	295.51	279.03	280.9	283.96	290.76	291.15(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	200	40	-34	0.22	63%	0.08	-14.6	5.5%	0	-0.2	41	0
25	Feb_9_2016	283.76	295.92	279.92	276.63	278.04	290.49	295.2(4.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	102	330	140	-13	0.21	63%		-10.6	5.57%	0	-0	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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