Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $259.9000 (0.64%) ($257.4000 - $275.1000) on Wed. Feb. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.45% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $259.9000(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(30%)    UUP(23%)    TLT(18%)    IPO(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.725% (StdDev 5.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.1%

Resistance Level   $274.17
5 Day Moving Average   $256.59(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $268.48(-3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $274.17(-5.2%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 6.36% (three month std-dev: 5.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.62%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160324

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2016	280.18	274.17	268.48	256.59	257.44	260.23	259.9(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	78	90	104	-2	0.19	54%	-0.19	-80.5	5.45%	0	-0.8	49	0
2	Feb_23_2016	280.7	276.15	271.87	255.54	254.96	250.5	258.25(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-130	-46	-64	0.15	54%	-0.21	-84.2	5.52%	0	-1	41	0
3	Feb_22_2016	281.29	278.86	274.43	257.86	255.99	254.65	243.15(-7.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-60	-91	-72	0.13	52%	-0.36	-80.3	5.52%	0	-1.9	46	0
4	Feb_19_2016	282.32	281.76	277.72	267.23	262.49	259.42	262.65(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-140	-36	-28	0.11	55%	-0.19	-74.2	5.43%	0	-1.1	53	0
5	Feb_18_2016	282.86	285.16	278.12	275.84	270.48	257.33	259(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-130	-400	-152	-64	0.16	55%	-0.24	-49.2	5.51%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	Feb_17_2016	283.55	288.97	279.52	282.27	283.15	265.56	254.65(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-177	-430	-208	-85	0.17	55%	-0.3	-30.6	5.59%	0	-1.5	40	0
7	Feb_16_2016	284.4	292.14	283.64	290.38	289.87	283.63	269.85(-6.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-157	-160	-189	-62	0.15	59%	-0.15	-18.6	5.56%	0	-1	44	0
8	Feb_12_2016	284.84	295.15	283.78	293.02	295.75	300.74	290(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	150	60	28	0.18	63%	0.06	-8.7	5.48%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Feb_11_2016	284.68	295.5	281.08	289.39	293.3	296.11	305.7(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	110	111	27	0.3	63%	0.24	-12.2	5.46%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Feb_10_2016	284	295.51	279.03	280.9	283.96	290.76	291.15(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	200	40	-34	0.22	63%	0.08	-14.6	5.5%	0	-0.2	41	0

11	Feb_9_2016	283.76	295.92	279.92	276.63	278.04	290.49	295.2(4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	102	330	140	-13	0.21	63%	0.14	-10.6	5.57%	0	-0	40	0
12	Feb_8_2016	283.36	296.18	280.06	276.45	274.23	277.16	283.05(4.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	68	50	102	-34	0.31	63%	-0.01	-1.5	5.64%	0	-0.6	44	0
13	Feb_5_2016	283.38	297.1	282.82	273.47	275.01	265.58	271.85(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-220	-50	-105	0.16	63%	-0.15	8.1	5.71%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	Feb_4_2016	283.8	298.25	285.52	271.42	275.45	271.3	263.25(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-131	-60	-128	-138	0.28	63%	-0.28	18.3	5.8%	0	-1.6	46	0
15	Feb_3_2016	284.59	298.79	292.37	276.61	277.06	284.43	269.8(-8.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	190	23	-61	0.23	63%	-0.21	35.9	5.88%	0	-1.4	45	0

16	Feb_2_2016	285.18	298.31	299	283.45	279.09	279.59	294.3(9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	46	-30	68	-22	0.17	70%	0.13	48.9	5.68%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	Feb_1_2016	284.8	296.51	301.15	284.69	282.39	269.68	268.15(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-129	-340	-138	-100	0.11	65%	-0.26	0	5.52%	0	-1.2	45	0
18	Jan_29_2016	285.53	295.33	307.61	293.9	290.83	278.58	261.6(-9.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-182	-330	-209	-101	0.21	65%	-0.38	0	5.63%	0	-1.4	44	0
19	Jan_28_2016	286.62	294.39	311.77	301.37	300.93	295.1	289.2(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-90	-140	-105	-44	0.19	76%	0.05	0	5.28%	0	-0.2	53	0
20	Jan_27_2016	286.49	291.42	314	310.26	304.17	303.07	304(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-80	-90	-5	0.16	76%	0.3	0	5.21%	0	0.4	64	0

21	Jan_26_2016	285.62	287.64	313.77	316.99	312.32	306.75	300.5(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	-170	-41	45	0.13	76%	0.28	0	5.35%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Jan_25_2016	284.83	287.64	314.06	320.22	321.49	305.26	314.2(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-109	-340	-128	-51	0.11	76%	0.58	0	5.29%	0	8.5	70	0
23	Jan_22_2016	283.2	287.64	312.78	323.67	322.4	317.88	298.95(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-192	-110	-226	-90	0.1	76%	0.33	0	5.39%	0	8	72	0
24	Jan_21_2016	282.28	287.64	312.38	323.14	330.11	337.72	333.65(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	230	176	70	0.28	91%	1.15	0	4.57%	0	8.7	83	0
25	Jan_20_2016	279.07	287.64	305.85	318.07	322.3	326.91	337.65(6.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	140	129	52	0.26	91%		0	4.61%	0	9	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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