Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $70.5500 (-6.02%) ($69.8119 - $75.5800) on Tue. Dec. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.47% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $70.5500(-6.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(89%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-21%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.235% (StdDev 4.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.1(-2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.18(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.64(2.78%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.2% (three month std-dev: 4.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.78%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2018	78.76	68.64	69.18	72.1	72.45	74.09	70.55(-6.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	170	20	55	0.42	50%	-0.27	38.1	4.47%	0	0.5	60	-0.8
2	Dec_3_2018	78.97	68.65	68.89	71.61	71.97	72.83	75.07(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	100	47	72	0.41	52%	-0.24	52.3	4.47%	0	1.8	68	1.7
3	Nov_30_2018	79.16	68.39	68.36	69.96	69.88	70.8	70.72(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	90	11	50	0.18	48%	-0.29	56.9	4.41%	0	0.7	59	1.1
4	Nov_29_2018	79.39	68.31	68.25	68.7	69.03	71.11	71.16(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	230	41	49	0.26	48%	-0.24	56.7	4.51%	0	0.9	52	0.7
5	Nov_28_2018	79.58	67.9	67.7	67.8	67.36	68.96	72.98(7.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	150	42	24	0.55	48%	-0.28	52.1	4.51%	0	1.5	47	1

6	Nov_27_2018	79.8	67.3	66.82	65.88	66.38	66.95	68.13(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	80	19	-18	0.18	47%	-0.35	28.7	4.42%	0	0.2	47	0.6
7	Nov_26_2018	80.08	66.82	66.29	65.8	65.61	65.76	66.79(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	10	-8	-46	0.26	47%	-0.31	12.9	4.45%	0	-0	45	0.4
8	Nov_23_2018	80.33	66.55	66.13	66.58	65.96	65.8	64.42(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-40	-12	-50	0.42	47%	-0.29	12.1	4.47%	0	-0.5	43	-0.7
9	Nov_21_2018	80.56	66.49	66.6	67.73	67.2	65.46	66.68(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-200	-9	-38	0.29	48%	-0.27	17.2	4.47%	0	0	48	-0.4
10	Nov_20_2018	80.78	66.16	67.34	67.54	67.62	66.12	63.37(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-150	-36	-30	0.27	46%	-0.31	6.1	4.44%	0	-0.6	54	-1.1

11	Nov_19_2018	81.03	66.3	68.12	67.78	68.08	68.94	67.75(-4.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	100	11	10	0.24	48%	-0.28	1.5	4.38%	0	0.3	63	-0.2
12	Nov_16_2018	81.26	66.29	68.45	66.73	67.19	69.13	70.69(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	220	40	35	0.59	48%	-0.21	-4.2	4.37%	0	1	70	0.5
13	Nov_15_2018	81.43	66.03	68.42	65.63	65.65	67.22	70.14(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	170	30	37	0.54	46%	-0.18	-14.6	4.38%	0	0.9	63	-0.2
14	Nov_14_2018	81.58	65.71	68.32	65.43	64.78	65.24	65.77(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	20	-7	34	0.36	44%	-0.29	-15.8	4.42%	0	0	56	-0.5
15	Nov_13_2018	81.82	65.88	68.12	67.27	65.98	64.07	64.56(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-260	-27	56	0.3	42%	-0.33	-0.9	4.42%	0	-0.3	60	-0.2

16	Nov_12_2018	82.09	66.23	67.86	68.56	68.34	64.32	62.47(-4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-36	-420	-64	49	0.26	42%	-0.4	6.8	4.43%	0	-0.8	49	-0.2
17	Nov_9_2018	82.42	66.48	67.53	70.34	70.13	67.9	65.19(-5.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-38	-230	-67	51	0.36	41%	-0.33	11.8	4.47%	0	-0.3	48	0.8
18	Nov_8_2018	82.69	66.68	67.17	71.48	71.57	72.36	69.18(-7.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	80	-2	83	0.38	42%	-0.33	15.4	4.42%	0	0.5	55	0.8
19	Nov_7_2018	82.96	66.42	66.53	71.53	71.81	72.37	74.96(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	61	70	46	104	0.31	44%	-0.24	6.3	4.33%	0	1.9	62	0.9
20	Nov_6_2018	83.16	66.42	64.93	69.1	70.12	70.77	71(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	110	22	46	0.14	42%	-0.34	-22.9	4.29%	0	1.2	51	0.1

21	Nov_5_2018	83.44	65.92	64.32	67.06	68.18	71.25	71.39(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	370	61	24	0.29	42%	-0.37	-43.7	4.29%	0	1.2	48	-0.3
22	Nov_2_2018	83.75	65.95	63.85	64.29	65.32	69.47	70.88(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	490	87	3	0.77	41%	-0.4	-69.6	4.3%	0	1.1	54	-0.5
23	Nov_1_2018	84.09	65.98	63.25	62.25	62.28	65.1	69.44(10.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	43	320	69	-35	0.48	41%	-0.45	-88.6	4.32%	0	0.7	50	-0.5
24	Oct_31_2018	84.47	66.14	62.64	60.89	60.41	61.17	62.81(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	60	28	-72	0.42	36%	-0.54	-92.4	4.1%	0	-0.6	51	-0.8
25	Oct_30_2018	84.93	66.93	63.25	60.19	60.26	59.46	60.78(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-90	-15	-92	0.3	36%		-88.6	4.08%	0	-1	46	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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