Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $118.9400 (-0.09%) ($118.7710 - $120.2800) on Mon. Oct. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $118.9400(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-21%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.92(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.4(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.97(7.18%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   27.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 2.5%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.6%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 5.34%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -4.13%(70%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 4.45%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.63%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2017	98.86	110.97	114.4	116.92	117.57	119.33	118.94(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	102	120	71	196	0.12	61%	0.33	36.3	2.1%	0	1.6	83	0
2	Oct_13_2017	98.53	110.61	113.13	115.37	116.22	117.71	119.05(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	111	110	86	184	0.16	64%	0.35	31.1	2.14%	0	1.9	80	0
3	Oct_12_2017	98.19	110.19	111.8	113.85	114.12	115.81	116.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	73	110	50	141	0.11	65%	0.33	29.8	2.13%	0	1.4	59	0
4	Oct_11_2017	97.87	109.85	110.47	113.28	112.71	114.73	116.08(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	110	68	115	0.14	67%	0.35	28.6	2.23%	0	1.6	54	0
5	Oct_10_2017	97.53	109.46	109.13	112.24	112.09	112.43	114.44(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	20	55	76	0.21	68%	0.32	25.7	2.25%	0	1.4	52	0

6	Oct_9_2017	97.22	109.24	108.06	111.53	111.28	110.69	111.2(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-40	-11	18	0.11	67%	0.3	29.2	2.24%	0	0.6	43	0
7	Oct_6_2017	96.93	109.22	107.4	110.5	110.99	111.75	111.47(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	60	21	-1	0.21	63%	0.35	24.1	2.24%	0	0.6	45	0
8	Oct_5_2017	96.59	108.98	107.19	109.35	109.89	111.88	113.19(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	140	79	2	0.18	63%	0.32	15.5	2.28%	0	1.2	51	0
9	Oct_4_2017	96.28	108.75	106.96	107.19	107.97	110.23	110.91(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	67	170	95	-16	0.13	63%	0.26	1.6	2.27%	0	0.6	52	0
10	Oct_3_2017	96.03	108.54	106.98	105.54	105.69	107.9	110.88(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	53	150	83	-37	0.25	63%	0.26	-10.4	2.29%	0	0.7	53	0

11	Oct_2_2017	95.78	108.23	107.14	104.14	103.87	105.71	106.03(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	120	58	-62	0.18	61%	0.24	-23.4	2.23%	0	-0.6	40	0
12	Sep_29_2017	95.55	108.39	107.79	103.89	103.44	103.47	105.73(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10	23	-77	0.32	58%	0.24	-23.7	2.24%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Sep_28_2017	95.32	108.45	108.39	104.76	103.57	102.03	102.39(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-140	-74	-94	0.08	57%	0.21	-15.6	2.27%	0	-1.8	44	0
14	Sep_27_2017	95.12	108.69	109.2	106.71	105.68	103.4	102.67(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-83	-180	-86	-73	0.24	54%	0.24	2.4	2.28%	0	-1.9	40	0
15	Sep_26_2017	94.89	108.89	109.92	108.61	108.21	105.11	103.9(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-89	-210	-102	-49	0.14	56%	0.27	24.9	2.32%	0	-1.7	48	0

16	Sep_25_2017	94.63	109.05	110.67	110.55	110.15	107.96	104.76(-4.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-84	-150	-108	-13	0.28	56%	0.3	57.5	2.34%	0	-1.5	54	0
17	Sep_22_2017	94.35	109.21	111.38	112.18	112	111.31	110.1(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	-50	-36	45	0.1	60%	0.37	93.8	2.25%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Sep_21_2017	94	108.99	111.11	112.53	112.81	112.34	112.12(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-20	1	67	0.1	60%	0.36	112	2.24%	0	1.1	61	0
19	Sep_20_2017	93.66	108.61	110.8	112.07	112.46	112.69	112.15(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	20	3	70	0.32	57%	0.35	113.3	2.23%	0	1.3	62	0
20	Sep_19_2017	93.33	108.17	110.28	111.45	111.65	113.28	113.63(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	110	41	79	0.13	59%	0.38	114.7	2.27%	0	1.9	66	0

21	Sep_18_2017	92.98	107.49	109.39	110.85	110.64	112.23	112.88(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	90	60	76	0.18	59%	0.4	106.6	2.29%	0	1.7	63	0
22	Sep_15_2017	92.61	106.79	108.95	110.52	109.96	110.02	111.87(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10	32	65	0.14	57%	0.38	102.2	2.29%	0	1.5	59	0
23	Sep_14_2017	92.26	106.03	108.41	109.51	109.78	109.05	109.83(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-40	-12	37	0.13	57%	0.37	86.7	2.33%	0	1	59	0
24	Sep_13_2017	91.92	105.55	108.05	109.34	109.41	109.9	109.03(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	30	-8	41	0.19	57%	0.34	84.6	2.33%	0	0.9	60	0
25	Sep_12_2017	91.61	104.98	107.72	108.87	109.26	110.52	110.64(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	90	59	68	0.17	57%		69.3	2.32%	0	1.3	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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