Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $85.6200 (1.19%) ($85.3062 - $86.5700) on Thu. May. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $85.6200(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.04(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.77(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.64(4.88%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   32.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 3.98% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.53%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.93%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2017	71.49	81.64	83.77	84.04	84.26	85.02	85.62(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	70	47	69	0.26	58%	0.42	60.6	2.57%	0	1.2	67	0
2	May_24_2017	71.19	81.21	83.49	82.59	83.4	83.83	84.61(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	70	30	58	0.22	56%	0.44	54.7	2.58%	0	1.1	69	0
3	May_23_2017	70.88	80.83	83.25	82.1	81.74	83.5	83.47(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	140	4	50	0.31	56%	0.18	62.1	2.62%	0	0.8	61	0
4	May_22_2017	70.75	80.57	83.01	82.76	81.71	82.97	83.43(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	70	43	79	0.3	56%	0.44	77.1	2.62%	0	0.9	57	0
5	May_19_2017	70.44	80.2	82.49	83.35	82.44	79.98	83.08(6.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-240	-20	63	0.42	57%	0.43	79.2	2.63%	0	0.8	59	0

6	May_18_2017	70.14	79.72	82.01	83.52	83.29	80.46	78.34(-4.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-76	-250	-113	35	0.83	54%	0.4	78.3	2.55%	0	-0.4	55	0
7	May_17_2017	69.86	79.49	81.88	84.43	84.81	84.9	82.2(-5.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	20	-22	90	0.48	57%	0.47	76.3	2.49%	0	0.7	64	0
8	May_16_2017	69.53	78.93	81.54	84.45	84.62	86.12	86.73(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	130	56	131	0.28	61%	0.26	71.6	2.4%	0	1.8	74	0
9	May_15_2017	69.35	78.17	80.82	83.25	83.46	84.72	86.42(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	110	68	123	0.39	63%	0.55	68.7	2.41%	0	2.1	69	0
10	May_12_2017	68.97	77.54	79.98	81.53	82.09	83.11	83.9(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	110	49	95	0.22	61%	0.54	64.4	2.36%	0	1.8	70	0

11	May_11_2017	68.6	76.95	79.3	80.32	80.74	82.2	82.92(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	140	57	90	0.28	61%	0.48	55.7	2.38%	0	1.8	74	0
12	May_10_2017	68.27	76.46	78.67	78.95	79.28	81.07	82.26(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	170	61	79	0.24	61%	0.49	46.5	2.4%	0	1.9	74	0
13	May_9_2017	67.94	75.95	78.13	78.21	77.99	79.29	80.76(3.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	110	43	80	0.34	61%	0.46	38.3	2.41%	0	1.6	76	0
14	May_8_2017	67.63	75.53	77.84	78.08	77.62	77.49	77.8(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-30	10	87	0.14	59%	0.4	35.7	2.37%	0	0.8	67	0
15	May_5_2017	67.36	75.32	77.69	78.22	78.03	76.7	77.86(2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-130	-26	83	0.22	59%	0.39	38.1	2.35%	0	0.9	58	0

16	May_4_2017	67.1	75.12	77.25	78.11	78.45	77.74	76.09(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-37	81	0.34	59%	0.37	35.8	2.36%	0	0.4	60	0
17	May_3_2017	66.85	75.03	76.99	78.26	78.57	79.35	78.52(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	80	13	107	0.16	62%	0.33	33.8	2.33%	0	1.3	62	0
18	May_2_2017	66.63	74.84	76.21	77.98	78.14	79.16	80.12(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	100	42	110	0.24	62%	0.39	31.1	2.32%	0	2.1	68	0
19	May_1_2017	66.37	74.56	75.37	77.61	77.55	77.78	78.51(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	21	94	0.26	62%	0.33	30.1	2.32%	0	1.8	64	0
20	Apr_28_2017	66.15	74.29	74.94	77.12	77.46	77.12	77.3(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-20	9	85	0.17	62%	0.32	20.2	2.29%	0	1.5	59	0

21	Apr_27_2017	65.94	74.18	74.44	76.27	77.19	77.32	76.84(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	12	65	0.21	62%	0.32	8.2	2.3%	0	1.4	56	0
22	Apr_26_2017	65.73	74.14	74.07	75.48	76.16	77.79	77.15(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	180	48	61	0.28	62%	0.37	-1.2	2.3%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Apr_25_2017	65.49	74.06	73.56	74.11	74.94	77.05	78.23(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	80	230	92	43	0.35	62%	0.4	-17.8	2.3%	0	2.3	56	0
24	Apr_24_2017	65.23	73.9	72.96	72.82	73.23	74.53	76.07(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	39	140	54	-5	0.34	60%	0.38	-47.2	2.31%	0	1.3	51	0
25	Apr_21_2017	64.98	73.89	72.68	72.5	72.2	72.82	73.04(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	50	18	-26	0.31	60%		-47.5	2.31%	0	-0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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