Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $82.2600 (1.86%) ($81.1900 - $82.3300) on Wed. May. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $82.2600(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.95(4.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.67(4.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.46(7.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 4.53%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(75%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 4.18%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(54%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 3.63%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.69%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2017	68.27	76.46	78.67	78.95	79.28	81.07	82.26(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	170	61	79	0.24	61%	0.49	46.5	2.4%	0	1.9	74	INF
2	May_9_2017	67.94	75.95	78.13	78.21	77.99	79.29	80.76(3.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	110	43	80	0.34	61%	0.46	38.3	2.41%	0	1.6	76	INF
3	May_8_2017	67.63	75.53	77.84	78.08	77.62	77.49	77.8(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-30	10	87	0.14	59%	0.4	35.7	2.37%	0	0.8	67	INF
4	May_5_2017	67.36	75.32	77.69	78.22	78.03	76.7	77.86(2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-130	-26	83	0.22	59%	0.39	38.1	2.35%	0	0.9	58	INF
5	May_4_2017	67.1	75.12	77.25	78.11	78.45	77.74	76.09(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-37	81	0.34	59%	0.37	35.8	2.36%	0	0.4	60	INF

6	May_3_2017	66.85	75.03	76.99	78.26	78.57	79.35	78.52(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	80	13	107	0.16	62%	0.33	33.8	2.33%	0	1.3	62	INF
7	May_2_2017	66.63	74.84	76.21	77.98	78.14	79.16	80.12(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	100	42	110	0.24	62%	0.39	31.1	2.32%	0	2.1	68	INF
8	May_1_2017	66.37	74.56	75.37	77.61	77.55	77.78	78.51(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	20	21	94	0.26	62%	0.33	30.1	2.32%	0	1.8	64	INF
9	Apr_28_2017	66.15	74.29	74.94	77.12	77.46	77.12	77.3(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-20	9	85	0.17	62%	0.32	20.2	2.29%	0	1.5	59	INF
10	Apr_27_2017	65.94	74.18	74.44	76.27	77.19	77.32	76.84(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	12	65	0.21	62%	0.32	8.2	2.3%	0	1.4	56	INF

11	Apr_26_2017	65.73	74.14	74.07	75.48	76.16	77.79	77.15(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	180	48	61	0.28	62%	0.37	-1.2	2.3%	0	1.6	56	INF
12	Apr_25_2017	65.49	74.06	73.56	74.11	74.94	77.05	78.23(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	80	230	92	43	0.35	62%	0.4	-17.8	2.3%	0	2.3	56	INF
13	Apr_24_2017	65.23	73.9	72.96	72.82	73.23	74.53	76.07(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	39	140	54	-5	0.34	60%	0.38	-47.2	2.31%	0	1.3	51	INF
14	Apr_21_2017	64.98	73.89	72.68	72.5	72.2	72.82	73.04(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	50	18	-26	0.31	60%	0.34	-47.5	2.31%	0	-0.5	48	INF
15	Apr_20_2017	64.76	74.02	72.76	72.38	72.41	71.93	72.9(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-50	5	-39	0.28	60%	0.29	-46.9	2.33%	0	-0.7	42	INF

16	Apr_19_2017	64.57	74.16	72.89	72.46	72.54	71.59	70.33(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-90	-39	-63	0.33	58%	0.28	-40.4	2.29%	0	-2.3	30	INF
17	Apr_18_2017	64.39	74.39	73.38	72.86	72.97	72.89	71.74(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-0	-16	-51	0.38	58%	0.3	-21.1	2.27%	0	-1.9	35	INF
18	Apr_17_2017	64.2	74.39	73.72	73.05	73.03	73.49	74.51(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	16	-38	0.29	62%	0.36	7.5	2.23%	0	-0.1	45	INF
19	Apr_13_2017	63.97	74.67	73.63	72.88	72.74	73.05	72.4(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	20	4	-56	0.33	60%	0.33	30.8	2.21%	0	-1.7	32	INF
20	Apr_12_2017	63.76	74.81	73.93	73.21	72.91	72.57	73.32(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-40	-4	-55	0.34	60%	0.33	76.2	2.2%	0	-1.2	39	INF

21	Apr_11_2017	63.55	74.84	74.24	73.43	73.2	72.43	72.34(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-80	-36	-61	0.36	62%	0.35	74.7	2.2%	0	-1.3	34	INF
22	Apr_10_2017	63.33	74.69	74.63	73.99	73.98	73.25	72.68(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-29	-42	0.36	62%	0.38	74.9	2.23%	0	-1	44	INF
23	Apr_7_2017	63.09	74.56	74.95	73.99	74.53	73.96	73.68(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-20	-35	0.17	62%	0.38	68.3	2.21%	0	-0.3	36	INF
24	Apr_6_2017	62.85	74.26	75.22	74.47	74.73	74.71	74.03(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	10	-11	-26	0.28	62%	0.4	53.2	2.23%	0	-0.1	50	INF
25	Apr_5_2017	62.6	73.84	75.39	74.76	74.67	75.1	74.4(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	40	2	-12	0.38	62%		49.1	2.24%	0	0.2	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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